Mavrick's System backs

[Mavrick]

These are just a bit of fun and something I stumbled across whilst making a lay system. I don't know if it's going to be profitable as I have no way of back testing it, but I would be very surprised it wasn't. My prices won't include the stake and they are to betfair prices.

These are win bets at 2% (Which was changed to 2.5% on the 17th October and then to 3% on the 2nd November)

Starting bank £1000
Stake £20.00

11th October

400 Wincanton Compton Star 2.60 LOST

650 Kempton Silk Hall 8.6 LOST
-----------------------------------------------------------------


Todays Loss £40.00
Bank £960.00
Next Stake £19.20

[Mavrick]

Friday 12th October

325 Lingfield Matsunosuke 2.25 WON

Stake £19.20
------------------------------------------------
It drifted out over a point just before the off!

Todays Profit
£41.04
New Bank
£1001.04
Next Stake
£20.02

[Mavrick]

Sunday 14th October

440 Goodwood Fringe 1.24 WON

Stake £20.02
-----------------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£23.57
New Bank
£1024.61
Next Stake
£20.49

[Mavrick]

Monday 15th October

250 Wolv Abounding 23.0 LOST

Stake £20.49
-------------------------------------

Todays Loss
£20.49
New Bank
£1004.12
Next Stake
£20.08

[Mavrick]

Tuesday 16th October

350 Newcastle Snakes Head 2.4 WON
330 Hunt Mr Wiseguy 8.0 LOST

Stake £20.08
---------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£25.70
New Bank
£1029.82
Next Stake
£20.60

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 17th October

300 Uttox The Sliotar 1.60 WON

Stake £20.60

[Mug OUFC]

Tuesday 16th October

350 Newcastle Snakes Head 2.4 WON
330 Hunt Mr Wiseguy 8.0 LOST

Stake £20.08
---------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£25.70
New Bank
£1029.82
Next Stake
£20.60

Excuse my ignorance my friend, but is that right?

You staked £40.16 and returned 48.19?

Im probably wrong, I usually am

Keep up the good work anyway :thumbs

[Mavrick]

I staked £40.16 and returned £68.27 before comm. My prices do not include the stake.

Cheers

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 17th October

300 Uttox The Sliotar 1.60 WON

Stake £20.60
-------------------------------------
Todays Profit £31.31
New Bank £1061.13

Stake changed to 2.5%
Next Stake £26.53

I am actually quite pleased how this has been going. I´ve had a good look at this system over the last couple of days and have decided to break it down into 3 separate systems. One of the systems picks horses at much bigger odds then the other two and although I am sure it would be proftable and probably even more so then the other two, I am going to ditch it from this thread as the strike rate is so much lower then the other two, and instead I am going to raise the staking to 2.5% starting tomorrow and then probably to 3% at a later date.

[Mavrick]

Thursday 18th October

320 Ludlow Lusaka De Pembo 2.5 LOST

Stake £26.53

[Mavrick]

There is another one

520 Ludlow The Hairy Mutt 1.08 LOST

Stake £26.53

[Mavrick]

Both lost

Todays Loss £53.06
New Bank £1008.07
Next Stake £25.20

[Mavrick]

Friday 19th October

235 Newmarket Emmrooz 1.56/1 LOST
320 Redcar Spinning Lucy 1.3/1 WON
345 Newmarket Short Skirt 1.82/1 WON

Stake £25.20
-------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£49.46
New Bank
£1057.53
Next Stake
£26.44

[Mavrick]

Saturday 20th October

155 Catterick Torrens 0.88 LOST
245 Kelso Frankie Figg 0.79 WON

Stake
£26.44
-----------------------------------------
Todays Loss
£6.61
New Bank
£1050.92
Next Stake
£26.27

[Mavrick]

Sunday 21st October

325 Kemp French Opera BET CANCELLED AS I HAD MADE A MISTAKE. THE RACE HAD NOT GONE AND THE PRICE HAD NOT CHANGED.

[Mavrick]

I have made a mistake. French Opera is not a bet. The race has not gone off and the price has not really changed, so I am cancelling it as it would be possible to lay it off without and loss.

[Mavrick]

Monday 22nd October

400 High Standing 0.64 WON

Stake £26.27
----------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£15.96
New Bank
£1066.88
Next Stake
£26.67

[Mavrick]

Tuesday 23rd October

210 Exeter Prince De Bersy 1.72 WON

Stake
£26.67
------------------------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£43.57
New Bank
£1110.45
Next Stake
£27.76

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 24th October

250 Folk Santando 0.55 WON

Stake £27.76

---------------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£14.49
New Bank
£1124.94
Next Stake
£28.12

[Mavrick]

Thursday 25th October

820 Wolv Ballad Maker 0.69 LOST

Stake
£28.12

----------------------------------------

Todays Loss
£28.12
New Bank
£1096.82
Next Stake
£27.42

[Mavrick]

Friday 26th October

230 Fak Cool Roxy 1.46 WON

Stake £27.42

[Mavrick]

There's another one

335 Fak That Look IGNORE, BET CANCELLED

Stake
£27.42

[Mavrick]

I've :icon_tong up again. That Look is not a bet and the price hasn't changed so it is being cancelled. There's 40 minutes yet before the off.

It'll probably still win though. I hope no one is following these.

[Mavrick]

Todays Profit
£38.02
New Bank
£1134.84
Next Stake
£28.37

[Mavrick]

Sunday 28th October

210 Aintree Katchit 0.99 WON

Stake
£28.37

---------------------------------

Todays Profit
£26.67
New Bank
£1161.51
New Stake
£29.03

[Mavrick]

Monday 29th October


420 Leicester Welsh Emperor 0.61 WON

Stake
£29.03
------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£16.81
New Bank
£1178.32
Next Stake
£29.45

[Mavrick]

31st October

240 Hunt Mexican Bob 0.86 WON
Stake
£29.45
-------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£24.05
New Bank
£1202.37
Next Stake
£30.06

[Mavrick]

1st November

300 Newcastle Willie The Fish 1.14 LOST

Stake

£30.06

[Mavrick]

and another one

320 Stratford O Toole 1.8 WON

Stake

£30.06

Just noticed this is my 1000 post. Must be a good sign.

----------------------

Two bets today. One winner, one loser

Todays Profit
£21.33
New Bank
£1223.70


As of tomorrow I am raising the stake to 3%

Next Stake
£36.71

[Mavrick]

2nd November

230 Newmarket Watchful 1.14 LOST

305 Newmarket Paco Boy 1.94 WON

Stake
£36.71
----------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£30.93
New Bank
£1254.63
Next Stake
£37.64

[Mavrick]

1235 Ascot Hot Zone 1.20 LOST
205 Newmarket Queen of Naples 1.56 LOST
240 Newmarket Fairmile 0.94 LOST

Stake
£37.64
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Terrible day today

Todays Loss
£112.92
New Bank
£1141.70
Next Stake
£34.25

[Mavrick]

Monday 5th November

130 plumpton Bon Viveur 0.92 LOST

Stake £34.25

[Mavrick]

And another one

210 Warwick Twist Bookie 1.24 WON

Stake £34.25
-------------------------------------------
A bit up and down at the moment, but still nicely in profit for the month.

Two bets, One winner.

Todays Profit
£6.09
New Bank
£1147.79
Next Stake
£34.43

[Mavrick]

Tuesday 6th November

220 Exeter Counting House 1.74 WON
130 Lingfield Dhhamaan 0.61 LOST

Stake
£34.43
-----------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£22.47
New Bank
£1170.26
Next Stake
£35.11

[Win2Win]

At this rate you'll be paying for our Xmas party :happyboun

[Mavrick]

At this rate you'll be paying for our Xmas party :happyboun

Yep I'm really happy how this is going.

Now if only I had ditched the much higher price system from the thread to start off with and just ran with the two that I'm doing now as at one point it would have been up 42% to 2.5% staking and a whopping 53% to 3% staking in just 3 weeks!!

Now I am just being greedy:D

The odds on shots keep letting the side down though.

[Win2Win]

The odds on shots keep letting the side down though.

It's been like that the last 6 months.

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 7th November

A bit of a late one

720 Kempton Points Of View 1.34 WON

Stake
£35.11
----------------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£44.63
New Bank
£1214.90
Next STake
£36.45

[Mavrick]

Thursday 8th November

An odds on day today.

120 Hunt Sir Haydn 0.69 WON
150 Hunt Calusa Caldera 0.91 WON
200 Muss Pieter Brueghel 0.84 LOST

Stake
£36.45
----------------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£18.94
New Bank
£1233.84
Next Stake
£37.02

[Mavrick]

My monthly report

Right, it has been four weeks today since I started this thread. I'm very happy how this is going. It is doing much better then I thought it would, but maybe it is due to go belly up. Let's hope not.

[scaaty]

Well done Mav, excellent first month ! :thumbs
Been watching since it started, nice to see it doing so well :)

[Mavrick]

Well done Mav, excellent first month ! :thumbs
Been watching since it started, nice to see it doing so well :)

Cheers Scaaty:thumbs


Friday 9th November


220 Hexham Ice Tea 1.06 WON
200 Muss Hieroglyph 2.00 WON

Stake
£37.02

[Mavrick]

Another one for Friday

350 Hexham Its A Discovery 0.80 WON

Stake
£37.02

[Mavrick]

All three won, but there were a few non-runners so there is abit of a deduction in Its A Discoveries race and Hieroglyphs race.


Todays Profit
£124.47
New Bank
£1358.31
Next Stake
£40.75

[MattR]

Well done with this Mav, it's going great :D :thumbs

[Mavrick]

Well done with this Mav, it's going great :D :thumbs

Cheers Matt, just don't want 10 losers on the trot now:D


There's nothing for Saturday.

[MattR]

I better not start following it then, I may jinx it :laugh

[Mavrick]

Monday 12th November
155 Carlisle According To John 2.10 LOST
225 Carlisle Caipiroska 1.96 LOST

Stake
£40.75
--------------------------------------------

Caipiroska traded at 0.04/1 in-running, was a mile clear, then decided to lose the plot. What a monkey!

Todays Loss
£81.50
New Bank
£1276.81
Next Stake
£38.30

[Mavrick]

Tuesday 13th November

A busy day today

155 Exeter Alfadora 1.04 LOST
305 Exeter Ouninpohja 1.44 LOST
340 Exeter Roussea 1.86 LOST
100 Sedge John Dillon 0.60 WON
205 Sedge Soulard 1.28 WON
400 Kempton Twist Bookie 1.8 LOST

Stake
£38.30
--------------------------------------------
Todays Loss
£84.81
New Bank
£1192.00
Next Stake
£35.76

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 14th November

250 Bangor Qrackers 1.8 LOST
620 Kempton Howdigo 1.86 WON
240 Wolv Speagle 0.98 LOST

Stake
£35.76

[Mavrick]

A bit of a balls up today. I missed a selection which won and put up a horse which wasn't a selection which lost. Apologies if anyone backed them.

Todays loss
£8.34
New Bank
£1183.66
Next Stake
£35.51

There is nothing for Thursday

[Mavrick]

Friday 16th November

1235 Newcastle Stagecoach Diamond 0.64 LOST

Stake
£35.51
----------------------------------------------

Todays Loss
£35.51
New Bank
£1148.15
Next Stake
£34.44

[Mavrick]

Monday 19th November

210 Leicester Baarij 2.4/1 NON RUNNER

A cracking price if you ask me. Probably get well and truely turned over now:D

Stake
£34.44

[Mavrick]

**I've messed up**

After a closer inspection the selection doesn't actually qualify as a system selection, however I am still backing it anyway because it is a normal method bet for me, but whether it wins or loses it will not go down as a bet on this thread. You can lay it off without loss and if you wait a couple of hours you could probably lay it off for a decent profit as I can only see the price going one way.

The system has a few rather complicated rules and it is quite easily to make a mistake if you don't pay attention.

[Mavrick]

Wednesday 21st November

220 Warwick Marodima 1.94 WON

Stake
£34.44
---------------------------------------------

Todays Profit
£63.46
New Bank
£1211.61
New Stake
£36.35

[Mavrick]

Tuesday 27th Novemebr

310 Wolv Propaganda 2.00 LOST

Stake
£36.35

Betfair's website is down for maintanace untill 0900 so I'm using Betdaq's current price. I would have though that offers of 2.3/1would get matched but you never know and I probably won't be awake before the race goes off so I'll take it as it is now.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Todays Lost
£36.35
New Bank
£1175.26
Next Stake
£35.26

Not having the best of times lately, but I've got a good feeling about the next couple of weeks. Probably break the bank now.

[Mavrick]

Thirsday 29th November

110 Taunton Ardesia 1.44 WON

Stake
£35.26
----------------------------------------------

I got butchered with the non-runners. The price ended up 0.94/1 when SP returned 15/8!

Todays Profit
£31.48
New Bank
£1206.74
Next Stake
£36.20

[Mavrick]

Sunday 2nd December

1240 Leic Nom Der Guerre 0.95 WON

Stake
£36.20
------------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£33.21
New Bank
£1239.95
Next Stake
£37.20

[Mavrick]

Monday 3rd December


220 Fak Cool Roxy 1.14 LOST

Stake
£37.20
-----------------------------------------
Todays Loss
£37.20
New Bank
£1202.75
New Stake
£36.08

[Mavrick]

11th December

330 Southwell Alto Vertigo 1.92 LOST

Stake
£36.08
-----------------------------------------------

Todays Loss
£36.08
New Bank
£1166.67
Next Stake
£35.00

[Mavrick]

Thursday 13th December

110 Ludlow Enlightenment 1.12 WON

Stake
£35.00
-----------------------------------------------
Todays Profit
£37.24
New Bank
£1203.91
Next Stake
£36.12

[Mavrick]

Friday 14th December

1245 Chelt Imperial Commander 1.14

Stake
£36.12