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TDM
18th February 2010, 14:31
We all have our own methods on how to pick winners, i like to base my own trnends around races. This i find a strong factor to find winners at big meetings and here i will be placing my selections.

TDM
18th February 2010, 14:32
Haydock (Sat)

15.35 Blue Square Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 3m 4f

Age Factor

Since 1980 there have been three favorable ages to win this race which have been seven year old's and nine and ten year olds with nine year old's with nine year old's just holding sway with seven wins.

Horse's that coincide with the age criteria are..

Mon Mome
Dream Alliance
Miko De Beauchene
Beat The Boys
Le Beau Bai
Ballyfitz
The Package
Chief Dan George
Ballytrim
According to Pete
According to John

Weight advantages

Since 1980 seventeen of the thirty renewals have gone to entries carrying under 11st and this would rule out.

Mon Mome
Dream Alliance
Miko De Beauchene
Beat The Boys
Le Beau Bai

Won Last Time

Winners of this event in the last twenty years have either won or been placed second on their prior run with twelve doing so in twenty renewals and this would eliminate..

Ballyfitz
Chief Dan George
Ballytrim
According to Pete
According to John

Previous Winning Trainers

With just The Package left trainer Martin Pipe won this in 1998 and 2004 and handed the reigns over to son David who trains The Package and Old Vic here.Proven stamina is a must in this and both entries have plenty in that department..Now pending on who gets the mount on this after Timmy Murphy's fall in mid week this would be a good spare ride for any jockey.He won nicely at Cheltenham when beating The Tother One by one length when cruising into the race easily and looked to have plenty in hand.Will be on a 9lb penalty here but i feel this will not stop him.

The Package : 1pt Win @ 6.2 BF

barrelmaniac
20th February 2010, 02:28
I like your method.