Look forward to seeing what you come up with on this Podtog, sounds very promising already!
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Look forward to seeing what you come up with on this Podtog, sounds very promising already!
My keyboard's running out of ink....
Been having looking at this too this week Podtog, and as well as the winners, seems to also possibly suggest a lay system too - choosing the next horse up in the betting to lay (at under 10.5) gave 8 losing horses yesterday and two today (with two n/r) with no winners - hardly the 1000 horse test but maybe more than a fluke too, I hope :)
It's not the pace of life that worries me, it's the sudden stop at the end.
Has anybody got a copy of todays qualifiers please, Top spotted and marked fancied or strongly fancied in non handicaps only, Thursday. Thanks.
Hereford:
2:15 Assoon SF/spot(16 ran)
2:45 Bob's Lad SF/spot(4 ran)
Goodwood:
2:35 Binanti SF/spot(12 ran)
3:40 Polar way F/spot(11 ran)
4:50 Love Thirty SF/spot(10 ran)
5:20 Royal Lustre F/spot(10ran)
Newmarket:
1:15 Lost Soldier Three F/spot(7ran)
1:50 Baltic King f/spot(15ran)
2:25 Damson F/spot(7ran)
3:00 Kings Quay SF/spot(9ran)
Cheers Inittowinit, were these all Non Handicaps?
yes
Cheers mate, Terrible day.
Only on these selections!!...........
Incidentally, I've just noticed this minute that today's second qualifying race -- the 5 runner Newm 1.50 has thrown up PRIVATE CHARTER W 16/1.
Look lads, I'm not trying to justify or make a case for this ( on the previous page I've posted that this system was not for me -- the LSP was not high enough) This was intended as just a distillation and more selective approach to the original thread regarding the analysis of the Mirror's SF/F selections.
Regards to all,
Jack C.
Hi Icebreaker,looking at the 2:15(Hereford) for instance,you have Sir brastias as a qualifier.If i understood the query correctly,then this would not be a qualifier as it was only marked F(fancied) and not spotformed aswell.
Someone enlighten me please?
Hello Innit,
Apologies for the delay in reply -- I was away for a dirty weekend (Bogsnorkling :D )
Hmm ............ the thread-starter (coolboy) posted regarding BOTH the SF and F in a race. Therefore there are TWO selections in each qualifying race. So, Sir Brasitas was a selection as was Assoom. It's up to you to make your pick between them. Or as the original poster said, dutch 'em.
Fridays selections (for illustration) were:
LING 1.30 L
NEMW 1.50 PRIVATE CHARTER W 16/1
LING 2.00 DANES CASTLE W 9/2
HEX 2.45 N/R
NEMW 3.00 L
HEX 3.55 GARY'S PIMPERNEL W 5/4
NEWM 4.10 L
LING 4.55 MEISSEN W 11/4
Saturday's results were very poor ;
L, 5/2, L, 2/5, L, L, 6/4, L, 11/4, L, L,
Regards,
Ice.
Sundays results were somewhat better:
KEL2.20 HERNANDO'S BOY W13/8
M.RAS 2.40 IT'S DEFINITE W 13/8
M.RAS 3.15 L
UTTOX4.15 SABY W 5/4
KEL 4.35 RIEVER'S MOON W 11/8
UTTOX4.45 MISS COSPECTOR W 4/1
Satch,
Sorry for the delay - I simply designed a dutching spreadsheet and transferred to the Palm in the standard fashion via HotSync.
Hello OC,
Very interesting. The way this thread is going, we'll get the strike-rate up to 99.99% before long :D .
Your refinement of this approach is very exciting indeed. I'll be keeping a watching brief over the next coupla weeks. But .............. I presume when you mention Novice races in NH you are including Novice chases also? Keeping in mind that around 50% or runners in Novice Chases fall before the finish, I would be slightly concerned about this aspect. However the system seems to be pulling in the profits for you, so apparently this doubt of mine is unfounded.
Thanks again for your contribution.
I'd always be hesitant betting against the fav/f2 in a maiden,12 runners or less,where they were a few points clear of the field in the betting.
But as always,it's easy to end up backfitting or even worse where systems collide,trying to decide which to bet or giving it a wide berth altogether.
hayzee.
Well IceB,with this DM system giving 2,my usual(as above) indicating a bet,system 20 which I'm following from A.N.Other place giving something else,looks like you would have been the only one to clean up with the lay!!!
I should have waited to see how it panned out,as that's where my ticket ended up.
hayzee.
Yesterday was a no-bet day using Outside Chance's refinement of the system. Previous day was a loser (1 winner from the two races)
Todays bet has a winner in the first leg (HONEST ENDEAVOUR W 9/4) going down on either AMMONIAS or RAMBLING MINSTER in the Weth 4.45. Fingers crossed.
Well, AMMONIAS did win........ but at 1/2 :( . (RAMBLING MINSTER was a non-runner which is a bit of a bollox as that resulted in a ridiculously short price about Ammonias.) At least, in consolation, one of the doubles is returned as a stake-back.
I think I'll continue playing this idea with real money (four fiver doubles) ....it looks promising. So, in conclusion, today's P/L for OC's system is a plus 1.875 LSP
IceB,
do you ever get the feeling that when you paper trade,the rules go with you,when the cash is on the line,things crop up that you never thought about......what a way to learn.
If the rules had stated 14 or less SAW,we'd all be money in this week,you can drive yerself crazy I guess,think I'll put the backfitting gremlin away and look and learn.
hayzee.
Would I be right in saying todays races are TAUNTON....1.30......2.05, WORCESTER......2.25.....3.00.....3.35 ?, If not I have got it wrong lol
I agree, but as we have to take the picture overall, and still interested in this method, my brother used a similar system years ago on 2nd fav. and was quite succesful, 2 races and x doubles, but I cannot find a bookie on here who accepts 2nd favs. unless going to the shop itself, any ideas on this ?. cheers
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