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Thread: system test selections.
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8th March 2006 #1
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system test selections.
I wanted to post some selections from my system. here goes my rep on the line
Catterick
2:00 - Selling Hurdle - beau torero
2:30 - Handicap Chase - derainey
3:00 - Novices Hurdle - the duke s speech
4:00 - Maiden Chase - brave rebelion
Southwell
3:40 - Banded Stakes - noul
4:40 - Banded Stakes - the job
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8th March 2006 #2
You haven't said if they are win or lays, so wait until the results before telling us. :wink
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8th March 2006 #3
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on the nose mate.
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8th March 2006 #4
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2 out of 6. a loss at level stakes. not good tipping but perfect for my system, 1st horse in.
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9th March 2006 #5
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try again
todays selections, lets hope for better wheather.
backed to win
Carlisle
2:10 - Novice Hurdle - some touch
3:50 - Handicap Chase - dickie lewis
Towcester
3:40 - Novice Chase - lord olympia
4:50 - Hunt Chase - paddy for paddy
Wincanton
2:20 - Handicap Chase - chabrimal minister
4:40 - Handicap Chase - christopher
heres a fun e/w lucky 31
2:00 - Handicap Hurdle - jackie boy (towc)
2:55 - Handicap Hurdle - kawagino (winc)
3:05 - Handicap Hurdle - andy gin (towc)
3:30 - Hunter Chase - guldage (winc)
4:25 - Handicap Hurdle - primative poppy (carl)
5:10 - National Hunt Flat - handle with care (winc)
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9th March 2006 #6
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2 out of six again, again a level stakes loss, but perfect for my system.
made a profit on my lucky 31, with 2 8/1 winners. posted 6 horses instead of 5 handle with care was put there by mistake.
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9th March 2006 #7No offence, but how are 2 losing days good for your system? Would 200 losing days be 100 times as good?2 out of six again, again a level stakes loss, but perfect for my system.
Sorry, I'm not being rude, but I just don't understand how losing days are perfect for the system.
Tada gan iarracht
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10th March 2006 #8
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the system stops at a winner. i never back more than 5 a day, and the stakes are arranged to profit if any of the 5 come in. its very early days (5 weeks), and still at a paper stage but it works well. combined with a good selection system and a way of dealing with the losing days. so when a winner comes in the first race its perfect.
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10th March 2006 #9
:splapme Stop at a winner, and then watch the selections you don't back after that win at 33/1 & 50/1.....lovely plan :)
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Keith Driscoll - Administrator
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10th March 2006 #10
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thats a bit smug mate. lets have your selections, i,ll take you on today. you against my stupid system.
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10th March 2006 #11
Their is no logical sense in a stop-at-a-winner system, what I state is true, and as a professional gambler for years, I wouldn't even consider using such a plan. My results on the site speak for themselves.
I'm just trying to make you aware, that you are losing profit with this plan, when I would have thought your intentions were to make more profit.
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10th March 2006 #12
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i pick selections from the days racing, a star rating system means i can select the top 5. getting a winner in this block of 5 is my aim, i make more than 5 selections, but the hope is that the top rated horses perform better than the lower rated, which is the case at the moment. fair enough, my results show i would make more by going to 2 blocks of 5 a day when avaiable.
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10th March 2006 #13I think Keith publishes enough systems for you to measure your performance against
Originally Posted by system1
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10th March 2006 #14
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todays selections
to win
3:00 - Beginner's Chase - ever present
2:20 - Handicap Chase - bay island
2:50 - Hunters' Chase - coole glen
4:00 - Hunt Chase - the lyme volunteer
3:15 - Amtr Chase - back nine
5:00 - Novice Hurdle - aztec warrior
lucky 31 e/w
4:10 - Handicap Chase - strong resolve
3:25 - Novice Chase - sunley future
2:40 - Handicap Chase - royal acadou
3:50 - Handicap Hurdle - alpha gamble
4:25 - Hunt Chase - haut cercy
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10th March 2006 #15
Keith is right there is no logical or Mathematical sense in stop at a winner. It is a psycological thing. You personally feel better if you end the days betting by stopping at a winner. As a subset of your selections though it will long term make no difference.
Marcus
I believe in the Mathematics of large numbers or ask you the occasional dumb question
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11th March 2006 #16
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2 out of 6 again yesterday. a small level stakes profit.
These will do better.
Ayr
4:00 - Handicap Chase - green ideal
Chepstow
4:50 - Handicap Chase - nycteos
5:25 - Handicap Hurdle - canavan
Sandown Park
3:20 - Handicap Hurdle - tarlac
3:55 - National Ht Ft Rce - wydello
Wolverhampton
2:25 - Handicap - bayeux de moi
4:45 - Stakes - border music
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11th March 2006 #17
Moved to System Qualifiers
Marcus
I believe in the Mathematics of large numbers or ask you the occasional dumb question
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11th March 2006 #18
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4 out of 7. a level stakes profit.
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12th March 2006 #19
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4:00 - Handicap Chase - green ideal win 9/2
4:50 - Handicap Chase - nycteos win 5/6
2:25 - Handicap - bayeux de moi win 7/4
4:45 - Stakes - border music win 8/11
5:25 - Handicap Hurdle - canavan
3:20 - Handicap Hurdle - tarlac
3:55 - National Ht Ft Rce - wydello
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12th March 2006 #20
Some nice wins there! I honestly think you are wasting money if you are stopping at a winner though. you have had some good pics which would have been wasted on the stop at a winner thing I reckon.
Well done anyway
Tada gan iarracht
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12th March 2006 #21
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i accept what you say but at the moment, i have to be realistic about my ability. blocks of 5 and stopping at a winner works for me. theres more to it than winning. i want to develop disipline as well, i dont go past 5, i stop win or lose, it helps me accept that there will be days i win and days i lose. accepting that is part of the disipline required. its a personal thing, its early days with a paper system i belive in.
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12th March 2006 #22
Fair enough. As long as you are profiting, that is the main thing. Just don't forget to paper trade the results using different staking and see if any profitable trends emerge.
Tada gan iarracht
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12th March 2006 #23
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todays selections to win. not happy with todays racing, i dont feel confident.
Market Rasen
2:15 - Novice Hurdle - oscatello
2:45 - Novice Hurdle - custom design
Warwick
2:30 - Novice Hurdle - killdonan
4:30 - Hunter Chase - knife edge
Naas
3:40 - Novice Handicap Chase - seisiun eile
5:10 - National Hunt Flat Race - in the high grass
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12th March 2006 #24
What's your selection for the 5:40 at Naas?
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12th March 2006 #25
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I didnt have one. if anything i would go eachway on country cousin.
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