Maxy's football bets

[MaxySerb]

I don't want to spam Merlin's threads, so I thought that I can make my one. :)

It is very hard to get some good values in this stage of UEFA Cup because almost no one knows nothing about the teams. So, I'll pick some of them that I know...

1st Pick:

Rabotnicki (Macedonia) - Zrinjski (BIH)

First of all, you all should know that Zrinjski is in this stage because UEFA DISQUALIFIED FC Partizan (Serbia) due to bad conduct of violent supporters. They had some fights in Bosnia and many fights on some other games.
That game against Zrinjski was a first competitive game for Partizan in this season and they absolutely trashed Zrinjski. Goal difference from that two matches was 11:1.
Partizan demolished Zrinjski at away game 6:1, and then in Belgrade they demolished them again 5:0. Partizan was disqualified so Zrinjski went trough.
I've watched both games and I must say that Zrinjski is bad as hell! They are bad in every aspect of the game, and I think that their goalie is not a footballer at all. He must be some honorary player or something like that, no one that bad could make for a living from football.

Here is a of form last 6 games:

Rabotnicki: 4-2-0 (Goal diff 9:3) Rabotnicki currently lay on 4th place in their domestic league.

Zrinjski: 2-0-4 (Goal diff 8:17) Zrinjski currently lay on 9th place in their domestic league.

Every value higher than 1.5 is OK for me, so my pick is:

Rabotnicki to win, at 1.50.
10/10 Points

[yerotsluap]

Certainly looks like a good bet

I'll put Blackburn forward as a bit of value also at 1.50. Full strength team picked for the game and Roque Santa Cruz's first start

[MattR]

Thanks for the info Maxy. 1.50 looks a good price from what you are saying.


Paul, I'm always a bit cautious about away teams but you've got to think Blackburn can win against a finnish side. I'm tempted to lay MyPa to be on the safe side but 1.50 does look a good price.

[yerotsluap]

I'm always cautious about Blackburn in europe after Trelleborg but the quality of the side playing today should be enough. Just settling down to watch it

[MattR]

Good luck, at least Blackburn went for the intertoto unlike us who decided the financial rewards of the Asian Trophy was more important

[yerotsluap]

The intertoto isn't as arduous as it once was. Only two rounds to get into uefa cup first round proper, just means we'll probably collapse dramatically at the end of the season. Am actually quite surprised at the team selection what with Arsenal coming up at the weekend

[scoobydoo]

Thanks for the post Maxy....they are backing it in...must be Matts thousands I reckon:wink...would you still make it a bet at 1.45 or not mate?

[MaxySerb]

On 1.45...yes.
Under 1.40...never. I think that there is no game on the world that is worth a risk if value is under 1.40.

[MaxySerb]

This is my local bookie, some 100 yds for my home, so I'm looking the prices on their site:
http://www.mozzart.co.yu/matchAction.do

I think that the price on Litex (Bulgaria) against Besa (Albania) at 1.85 it's quite good. But, it's away game for Litex so I'm not sure enough to make it Maxy bet. I've watched Besa against Bezanija in Belgrade, they are quite bad, as Bezanija as well...Bezanija Belgrade is not strong team, so Besa got trough on away goals. But, I think that Litex can win this one.

[MaxySerb]

21. min Besa - Litex 0:1

[MaxySerb]

22. min Besa - Litex 0:2

:D

[scoobydoo]

On 1.45...yes.
Under 1.40...never. I think that there is no game on the world that is worth a risk if value is under 1.40.

Thanks Maxy..gone back to 1.50

[MaxySerb]

Well...this is not going to "Maxy Bank" because it wasn't "Maxy pick". But, it always feels good to be right. :D
I've placed some small money on this.

HT Besa - Litex 0:3

@to Scooby

What can I say...I think that 1.50 is very good value for that game. Too good to be true.

[MaxySerb]

FT Besa - Litex 0:3

I don't know why, but, value on Rabotnicki on Bet365 raised on 1.80.
http://www.bet365.com/home/default.asp?affiliate=lis10

[MattR]

2.02 on betfair now!

[MaxySerb]

2.02...well...now I'm starting to be worried... :)
I think it's a decoy, they do that often...

[MaxySerb]

Rabotnicki - Zrinjski 0-0 FT...

And Zrinjski had a player sent off in 65. min...

[scoobydoo]

Never mind Maxy...price went out hugely didnt it?! Not sure Ive seen many 1/2 shots go out like that before in football before the game....

[MaxySerb]

Neither do I...
They fixed it, 100%.

[scoobydoo]

Neither do I...
They fixed it, 100%.

Maxy....did you manage to see the game at all? Just would like to know if there was much action in the last 2/3's of the pitch?

[MaxySerb]

No...it wasn't on TV...but, I have some sources, I'll get you a statistics with description of game.

[Merlin]

Unlucky , Maxy...

[MaxySerb]

Yeah...tomorrow is Irish league, chance for cutting back the losses... :)

[Merlin]

Yeah...tomorrow is Irish league, chance for cutting back the losses... :)

Thats just woth I am looking at right now

[MaxySerb]

I'll take a look later, I have to study now... :( It's 23:57 PM already...