mathare's False Favs

[mathare]

Saturday 2nd January
12.35 Lingfield Equinity
12.55 Southwell Prohibition
2.00 Southwell Stormy Summer
2.05 Sandown Any Currency
2.10 Lingfield Wunder Strike
2.40 Lingfield Erinjay
3.10 Sandown Oscar Whisky
3.40 Sandown Qozak

[mathare]

A loss of 3.60pts to SP+10% or 4.56pts for BSP

Stats
646 from 819 (78.88%)
SP+10: 57.05pts (1.66% ROI)
BSP: 1.12pts (0.03% ROI)

[mathare]

Sunday 3rd January
12.50 Plumpton Ranjobaie
3.35 Kempton Tripitaka

[mathare]

Monday 4th January
3.05 Wolverhamton High Constable

I meant to post this earlier but forgot!

[mathare]

The winners keep coming :(

The SR is about right for this system in as much as the SR I am showing now is in line with the back test I performed a while back. The ROI to SP+10% is about right too, or at least near enough, which suggests it may not be possible to profit from this system if using Betfair SP but I am not about to give up, I shall persevere and build up more data before I decide what to do with this system.

Stats
647 from 822 (78.71%)
SP+10: 52.87pts (1.53% ROI)
BSP: -3.17pts (-0.09% ROI)

[mathare]

I would have posted these earlier but I have only just got Auto-Sys working again and a while back I added this system to that to make life easier

Tuesday 5th January
1.10 Southwell Freddie's Girl
2.40 Southwell Dart
3.10 Southwell Moonshine Creek

[mathare]

No racing yesterday so no qualifiers.

Thursday 7th January
2.10 Southwell Cosimo De Medici

[mathare]

To bring things up to date after the last few days...

Stats
650 from 826 (78.69%)
SP+10: 52.97pts (1.53% ROI)
BSP: -2.87pts (-0.08% ROI)

[mathare]

Friday 8th January
2.15 Southwell Royal Dignitary
2.30 Lingfield Bound By Honour
3.45 Southwell Home

[mathare]

A NR and two losers, up 1.90pts

Stats
652 from 828 (78.74%)
SP+10: 54.87pts (1.58% ROI)
BSP: -0.97pts (-0.03% ROI)

[mathare]

Saturday 9th January
12.55 Kempton Major Lawrence
1.05 Lingfield Lovers Causeway
1.25 Kempton Greystoke Prince
1.55 Kempton Mr Deal
2.10 Lingfield Fathsta
3.10 Lingfield Lord Fidelio
3.40 Lingfield Billie Jean

[mathare]

A profit of 2pts to SP+10% or 2.05pts is using BSP

Stats
657 from 834 (78.78%)
SP+10: 56.87pts (1.62% ROI)
BSP: 1.08pts (0.03% ROI)

[mathare]

Sunday 10th January
2.50 Southwell Elusive Fame
3.50 Southwell Love Delta

[mathare]

Up 0.22pts to SP+10% and 0.2pts to BSP

Stats
658 from 836 (78.71%)
SP+10: 57.09pts (1.63% ROI)
BSP: 1.28pts (0.04% ROI)

[mathare]

Monday 11th January
2.00 Wolverhampton Heathyards Junior
3.00 Wolverhampton Brave Decision
3.15 Kempton Kames Park
3.45 Kempton Starburst
4.15 Kempton Ramamara
4.30 Wolverhampton Head First
5.15 Kempton Join Up

[mathare]

A profit of 4.90pts to SP+10% or 4.86pts to BSP

Stats
664 from 843 (78.77%)
SP+10: 61.99pts (1.75% ROI)
BSP: 6.14pts (0.18% ROI)

[mathare]

Thursday 14th January
1.20 Southwell Laureldeans Best
1.30 Lingfield Kinky Afro
2.30 Lingfield Takajan
2.50 Southwell Vertigo On Course
3.00 Lingfield Formidable Guest

[mathare]

I seem to have missed posting a few bets from 12th Jan - sorry about that. An oversight on my part. The stats below include those bets though as it's easier that way with these figures coming straight off my spreadsheet

Stats
671 from 853 (78.66%)
SP+10: 57.79pts (1.62% ROI)
BSP: 2.00pts (0.06% ROI)

[mathare]

Friday 15th January
2.10 Lingfield Obe Gold
2.15 Southwell Tealing
2.40 Lingfield Winning Show
3.40 Lingfield Mid Wicket
3.45 Southwell Striker Torres

[mathare]

Up 1.05pts to SP+10% or 1.15pts to BSP

Stats
675 from 858 (78.67%)
SP+10: 58.84pts (1.64% ROI)
BSP: 3.15pts (0.09% ROI)

[mathare]

Saturday 16th January
12.45 Huntingdon Kilshannig
12.55 Kempton Mad Max
2.10 Lingfield Alfie Tupper
2.45 Kempton Tasheba
3.00 Huntingdon Laharna
3.00 Huntingdon She's Humble
3.35 Huntingdon Rowan River
3.40 Lingfield Full Toss
3.40 Lingfield Mafeking
3.45 Kempton Spear Thistle
4.05 Huntingdon Mister Chancer

[mathare]

Slowly getting back on track with a profit of 1.67pts to BSP or 2.13pts to SP+10%

Stats
684 from 869 (78.71%)
SP+10: 60.97pts (1.68% ROI)
BSP: 4.82pts (0.14% ROI)

[mathare]

Sunday 17th January
1.35 Ffos Las Bescot Springs
1.55 Wolverhampton Il Forno
2.50 Ffos Las Gold Award
3.05 Wolverhampton No Wonga
3.40 Wolverhampton King's Jester
3.55 Ffos Las King Of Castile
3.55 Ffos Las Knock Em Dead
4.10 Wolverhampton Matsunosuke

[mathare]

Monday 18th January
1.30 Fakenham Madame Mado
2.00 Fakenham Five Dream
3.40 Plumpton The Pious Prince
4.10 Plumpton Harcourt

[mathare]

A serious setback on Sunday with a loss of 12.30pts to SP+10% but only 3.25pts to BSP as the big 9/1 winner went off at 13.99 so was above the cut-off.

Monday clawed a little bit back, a clean sheet netting 3.80pts regardless of the prices used.

Stats
693 from 881 (78.66%)
SP+10: 52.47pts (1.42% ROI)
BSP: 5.37pts (0.15% ROI)

[mathare]

Tuesday 19th January
1.00 Southwell Noun De La Thinte
2.10 Folkestone She's Humble
3.00 Southwell Ragamuffin Man
3.10 Folkestone Colonial Jim
3.30 Southwell Quinte Du Chatelet

[mathare]

Wednesday 20th January
12.50 Lingfield Nubar Boy
2.15 Newcastle Quattrocento
2.30 Lingfield Basra

[mathare]

A loss of 0.05pts to SP+10% on Tuesday (exactly breakeven to BSP) and a loss of 0.03pts again yesterday (down 0.25pts to BSP)

Stats
699 from 889 (78.63%)
SP+10: 52.39pts (1.41% ROI)
BSP: 5.12pts (0.14% ROI)

[mathare]

Thursday 21st January
1.50 Southwell Silken Promise
2.20 Southwell Istiqdaam
2.30 Taunton Express Leader
3.00 Taunton Qozak
3.30 Taunton Deep Pockets

[mathare]

Up 1.60pts to SP+10% or 1.59pts to BSP

Stats
703 from 894 (78.64%)
SP+10: 53.99pts (1.44% ROI)
BSP: 6.71pts (0.18% ROI)