mathare's Team Ratings Systems

[mathare]

Just one midweel bet

Premiership - Linear
05/01/2010 Stoke v Fulham @ 7/4

[mathare]

Assuming these games go ahead, here are this weekend's bets:

Linear
09/01/2010 Crystal Palace v Bristol City @ 11/4 - postponed

Logarithmic
09/01/2010 Wigan v Aston Villa @ 9/4 - postponed

Polynomial
None

Premiership - Linear
09/01/2010 Birmingham v Man United @ 8/13
09/01/2010 Wigan v Aston Villa @ 7/5 - postponed

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
08/01/2010 West Brom v Nott'm Forest @ 10/3
09/01/2010 Cardiff v Blackpool @ 15/4

Championship - Logarithmic
08/01/2010 West Brom v Nott'm Forest @ 10/3
09/01/2010 Cardiff v Blackpool @ 15/4

Championship - Polynomial
08/01/2010 West Brom v Nott'm Forest @ 10/3

Nothing in the League One, League Two or Football League systems

[mathare]

Forest's away win at West Brom has provided a welcome boost to the Championship banks. Latest standings for each system are shown in the attached table

[mathare]

[Linear
16/01/2010 Everton v Man City @ 2/1
16/01/2010 Stoke v Liverpool @ 29/10
16/01/2010 Stoke v Liverpool @ 5/4
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Bristol City v Preston @ 5/2
16/01/2010 Doncaster v Watford @ 11/4
16/01/2010 Sheffield United v Middlesbrough @ 11/4
16/01/2010 Swansea v Leicester @ 12/5
16/01/2010 Bournemouth v Bury @ 5/2
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5
16/01/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 7/2 - postponed
17/01/2010 Blackburn v Fulham @ 23/10

Logarithmic
16/01/2010 Wolves v Wigan @ 9/4
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 17/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8

Polynomial
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 7/2 - postponed

Premiership - Linear
16/01/2010 Everton v Man City @ 13/8
17/01/2010 Blackburn v Fulham @ 23/10

Premiership - Polynomial
16/01/2010 Portsmouth v Birmingham @ 7/4 - postponed
17/01/2010 Bolton v Arsenal @ 8/13

Championship - Linear
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v Reading @ 5/1

Championship - Logarithmic
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v Reading @ 5/1

Championship - Polynomial
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v Reading @ 5/1

League One - Linear
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8

League One - Logarithmic
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8

League One - Polynomial
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8

League Two - Linear
16/01/2010 Bournemouth v Bury @ 5/2
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5

League Two - Logarithmic
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5

League Two - Polynomial
16/01/2010 Bournemouth v Bury @ 5/2
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5

Football League - Linear
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Huddersfield v Southend @ 11/2
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5
16/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1 - postponed

Football League - Logarithmic
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v Reading @ 5/1
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Huddersfield v Southend @ 11/2
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8
16/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1 - postponed

Football League - Polynomial
16/01/2010 Barnsley v Sheffield Weds @ 3/1
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Brentford v Carlisle @ 23/10
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 13/8
16/01/2010 Huddersfield v Southend @ 11/2
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 15/8
16/01/2010 Chesterfield v Torquay @ 7/2
16/01/2010 Dag and Red v Crewe @ 13/5
16/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1 - postponed

[mathare]

The Championship is still the only bright spot in these :(

[mathare]

Midweek bets as follows:

Linear
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1
20/01/2010 Liverpool v Tottenham @ 21/10
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

Championship - Linear
18/01/2010 Newcastle v West Brom @ 3/1

Championship - Logarithmic
18/01/2010 Newcastle v West Brom @ 3/1

Championship - Polynomial
None

League One - Linear
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

League One - Logarithmic
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

League One - Polynomial
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

League Two - Linear
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1

League Two - Logarithmic
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1

League Two - Polynomial
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1

Football League - Linear
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

Football League - Logarithmic
19/01/2010 Port Vale v Burton @ 9/4

Football League - Polynomial
19/01/2010 Bury v Bradford @ 3/1
20/01/2010 Oldham v Tranmere @ 11/4

[mathare]

A midweek to forget! On to the weekend...

Linear
23/01/2010 Blackpool v Watford @ 3/1
23/01/2010 Middlesbrough v Swansea @ 12/5
23/01/2010 Bristol Rvs v Hartlepool @ 10/3
23/01/2010 Cheltenham v Rochdale @ 11/4
23/01/2010 Torquay v Burton @ 3/1

Logarithmic
23/01/2010 Cheltenham v Rochdale @ 11/4

Polynomial
23/01/2010 Cheltenham v Rochdale @ 11/4

League One - Logarithmic
23/01/2010 Bristol Rvs v Hartlepool @ 10/3
23/01/2010 Carlisle v Stockport @ 6/1
23/01/2010 Oldham v Millwall @ 13/8
23/01/2010 Yeovil v Exeter @ 9/4

League One - Polynomial
23/01/2010 Bristol Rvs v Hartlepool @ 10/3

League Two - Linear
23/01/2010 Morecambe v Barnet @ 7/2
23/01/2010 Torquay v Burton @ 3/1

League Two - Logarithmic
23/01/2010 Morecambe v Barnet @ 7/2

League Two - Polynomial
23/01/2010 Morecambe v Barnet @ 7/2
23/01/2010 Torquay v Burton @ 3/1

Football League - Linear
23/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere @ 11/2

Football League - Logarithmic
23/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere @ 11/2
23/01/2010 Yeovil v Exeter @ 9/4
23/01/2010 Morecambe v Barnet @ 7/2

Football League - Polynomial
23/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere @ 11/2
23/01/2010 Oldham v Millwall @ 13/8

[mathare]

It doesn't get much better does it? :(

[mathare]

Linear
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 12/5
26/01/2010 Darlington v Northampton @ 3/1

Logarithmic
26/01/2010 Portsmouth v West Ham @ 2/1
26/01/2010 Bristol City v Cardiff @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Ipswich v West Brom @ 21/10
26/01/2010 Peterboro v Preston @ 28/13
26/01/2010 Exeter v Carlisle @ 12/5
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 13/10
26/01/2010 Chesterfield v Rotherham @ 21/10

Polynomial
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 13/10

Premiership - Linear
26/01/2010 Wolves v Liverpool @ 3/4

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
26/01/2010 Barnsley v Leicester @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Ipswich v West Brom @ 3/2
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Peterboro v Preston @ 28/13
26/01/2010 Swansea v Coventry @ 5/1
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

Championship - Logarithmic
26/01/2010 Barnsley v Leicester @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Peterboro v Preston @ 28/13
26/01/2010 Swansea v Coventry @ 5/1
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

Championship - Polynomial
26/01/2010 Barnsley v Leicester @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Peterboro v Preston @ 28/13
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

League One - Linear
26/01/2010 Exeter v Carlisle @ 12/5

League One - Logarithmic
26/01/2010 Exeter v Carlisle @ 12/5
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 13/10

League One - Polynomial
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 13/10

League Two - Linear
None

League Two - Logarithmic
None

League Two - Polynomial
None

Football League - Linear
26/01/2010 Bristol City v Cardiff @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Chesterfield v Rotherham @ 21/10
26/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

Football League - Logarithmic
26/01/2010 Barnsley v Leicester @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Bristol City v Cardiff @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Peterboro v Preston @ 28/13
26/01/2010 Exeter v Carlisle @ 12/5
26/01/2010 Swindon v Leeds @ 13/10
26/01/2010 Chesterfield v Rotherham @ 21/10
26/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

Football League - Polynomial
26/01/2010 Bristol City v Cardiff @ 15/8
26/01/2010 Nott'm Forest v QPR @ 5/1
26/01/2010 Exeter v Carlisle @ 12/5
26/01/2010 Chesterfield v Rotherham @ 21/10
26/01/2010 Rochdale v Port Vale @ 6/1
27/01/2010 Newcastle v Crystal Palace @ 5/1

[mathare]

At least there is some green in there this time round. A profit of 11.07pts midweek though so at least things go our way a bit.

[mathare]

Linear
30/01/2010 Birmingham v Tottenham @ 9/4
30/01/2010 Fulham v Aston Villa @ 7/4
30/01/2010 West Ham v Blackburn @ 11/4
30/01/2010 Derby v Nott'm Forest @ 3/1
30/01/2010 Reading v Barnsley @ 3/1
30/01/2010 Carlisle v Leyton Orient @ 3/1
01/02/2010 Sunderland v Stoke @ 14/5

Logarithmic
30/01/2010 Fulham v Aston Villa @ 7/4
30/01/2010 Wigan v Everton @ 9/4
30/01/2010 Wigan v Everton @ 7/5
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 Derby v Nott'm Forest @ 3/1
30/01/2010 Leicester v Newcastle @ 2/1
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2
30/01/2010 Crewe v Bournemouth @ 9/4

Polynomial
30/01/2010 Fulham v Aston Villa @ 7/4
30/01/2010 Wigan v Everton @ 7/5
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2

Premiership - Linear
30/01/2010 Fulham v Aston Villa @ 7/4
30/01/2010 West Ham v Blackburn @ 11/4
01/02/2010 Sunderland v Stoke @ 14/5

Premiership - Polynomial
30/01/2010 Birmingham v Tottenham @ 11/8
30/01/2010 Wigan v Everton @ 7/5

Championship - Linear
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Preston v Ipswich @ 2/1
30/01/2010 QPR v Scunthorpe @ 9/2
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1

Championship - Logarithmic
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 QPR v Scunthorpe @ 9/2
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1

Championship - Polynomial
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 Watford v Swansea @ 13/8 - postponed
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1

League One - Linear
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2

League One - Logarithmic
30/01/2010 Brighton v Millwall @ 3/2
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2
30/01/2010 Oldham v Brentford @ 2/1 - postponed

League One - Polynomial
30/01/2010 Carlisle v Leyton Orient @ 3/1

League Two - Linear
30/01/2010 Shrewsbury v Accrington @ 10/3

League Two - Logarithmic
None

League Two - Polynomial
None

Football League - Linear
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 Leicester v Newcastle @ 3/2
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2
30/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Exeter @ 11/2
30/01/2010 Crewe v Bournemouth @ 9/4
30/01/2010 Notts County v Barnet @ 7/1

Football League - Logarithmic
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 Leicester v Newcastle @ 3/2
30/01/2010 Preston v Ipswich @ 2/1
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2
30/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Exeter @ 11/2
30/01/2010 Oldham v Brentford @ 2/1 - postponed
30/01/2010 Crewe v Bournemouth @ 9/4
30/01/2010 Notts County v Barnet @ 7/1

Football League - Polynomial
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 5/1
30/01/2010 Coventry v Blackpool @ 21/10
30/01/2010 Leicester v Newcastle @ 3/2
30/01/2010 West Brom v Sheffield United @ 4/1
30/01/2010 Gillingham v Walsall @ 5/2
30/01/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Exeter @ 11/2
30/01/2010 Crewe v Bournemouth @ 9/4
30/01/2010 Notts County v Barnet @ 7/1

[mathare]

Rubbish!

[mathare]

Polynomial
03/02/2010 Blackpool v West Brom @ 9/4

Just that one midweek, I expected more. Ho hum.

[mathare]

Linear
06/02/2010 Bolton v Fulham @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Stoke v Blackburn @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Sunderland v Wigan @ 3/1
06/02/2010 Barnsley v Watford @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Blackpool v Leicester @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Exeter v Southampton @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 2/1
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5
07/02/2010 Chelsea v Arsenal @ 5/6

Logarithmic
06/02/2010 Burnley v West Ham @ 2/1
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 7/4
06/02/2010 Dag and Red v Northampton @ 9/4
07/02/2010 Chelsea v Arsenal @ 5/6

Polynomial
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Stockport v Milton Keynes Dons @ 15/4


Premiership - Linear
06/02/2010 Bolton v Fulham @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Stoke v Blackburn @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Sunderland v Wigan @ 3/1

Premiership - Polynomial
06/02/2010 Stoke v Blackburn @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Sunderland v Wigan @ 3/1

Championship - Linear
05/02/2010 Newcastle v Cardiff @ 7/2
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2

Championship - Logarithmic
05/02/2010 Newcastle v Cardiff @ 7/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2
06/02/2010 Swansea v Preston @ 7/2

Championship - Polynomial
05/02/2010 Newcastle v Cardiff @ 7/2
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2

League One - Linear
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2

League One - Logarithmic
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Tranmere v Oldham @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Walsall v Bristol Rvs @ 9/4

League One - Polynomial
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2

League Two - Linear
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5

League Two - Logarithmic
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5

League Two - Polynomial
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5

Football League - Linear
06/02/2010 Barnsley v Watford @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 7/4
06/02/2010 Dag and Red v Northampton @ 9/4

Football League - Logarithmic
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2
06/02/2010 Huddersfield v Carlisle @ 5/1
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 7/4
06/02/2010 Dag and Red v Northampton @ 9/4

Football League - Polynomial
06/02/2010 Barnsley v Watford @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield Weds @ 11/2
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 7/4
06/02/2010 Dag and Red v Northampton @ 9/4

[mathare]

Latest figures following the weekend matches

[mathare]

Linear
06/02/2010 Bolton v Fulham @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Stoke v Blackburn @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Sunderland v Wigan @ 3/1
06/02/2010 Barnsley v Watford @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Blackpool v Leicester @ 12/5
06/02/2010 Exeter v Southampton @ 11/4
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 2/1
06/02/2010 Accrington v Morecambe @ 13/5
07/02/2010 Chelsea v Arsenal @ 5/6
09/02/2010 Wigan v Stoke @ 13/5
09/02/2010 Coventry v Nott'm Forest @ 11/4
09/02/2010 Watford v Bristol City @ 5/2
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4
10/02/2010 Arsenal v Liverpool @ 11/10
10/02/2010 Everton v Chelsea @ 8/11

Logarithmic
06/02/2010 Burnley v West Ham @ 2/1
06/02/2010 Doncaster v Reading @ 5/2
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 7/4
06/02/2010 Dag and Red v Northampton @ 9/4
07/02/2010 Chelsea v Arsenal @ 5/6
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

Polynomial
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 3/2
06/02/2010 Stockport v Milton Keynes Dons @ 15/4
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

Premiership - Linear
09/02/2010 Wigan v Stoke @ 13/5

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
09/02/2010 Cardiff v Peterboro @ 6/1
09/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Barnsley @ 4/1
09/02/2010 QPR v Ipswich @ 21/10

Championship - Logarithmic
09/02/2010 Cardiff v Peterboro @ 6/1
09/02/2010 Leicester v Doncaster @ 4/1
09/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Barnsley @ 4/1

Championship - Polynomial
09/02/2010 Cardiff v Peterboro @ 6/1

League One - Linear
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4

League One - Logarithmic
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4

League One - Polynomial
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4

League Two - Linear
09/02/2010 Rotherham v Dag and Red @ 7/2

League Two - Logarithmic
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

League Two - Polynomial
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

Football League - Linear
08/02/2010 Colchester v Southend @ 5/1
09/02/2010 Cardiff v Peterboro @ 6/1
09/02/2010 Preston v Sheffield United @ 21/10
09/02/2010 Watford v Bristol City @ 5/2
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

Football League - Logarithmic
08/02/2010 Colchester v Southend @ 5/1
09/02/2010 QPR v Ipswich @ 21/10
09/02/2010 Watford v Bristol City @ 5/2
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

Football League - Polynomial
08/02/2010 Colchester v Southend @ 5/1
09/02/2010 Cardiff v Peterboro @ 6/1
09/02/2010 Preston v Sheffield United @ 21/10
09/02/2010 Watford v Bristol City @ 5/2
09/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Walsall @ 11/4
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 12/5

[mathare]

I haven't done the sums but there's too much red in there for that to be good isn't there?

[mathare]

Linear
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Southend v Tranmere @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Barnet v Cheltenham @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 7/2

Logarithmic
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2
13/02/2010 Swansea v Newcastle @ 17/10

Polynomial
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2

Premiership - Linear
None

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
13/02/2010 Doncaster v Nott'm Forest @ 7/5
13/02/2010 Leicester v Scunthorpe @ 9/2
13/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Peterboro @ 6/1

Championship - Logarithmic
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Leicester v Scunthorpe @ 9/2
13/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Peterboro @ 6/1
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2

Championship - Polynomial
13/02/2010 Doncaster v Nott'm Forest @ 7/5
13/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Peterboro @ 6/1
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2

League One - Linear
None

League One - Logarithmic
None

League One - Polynomial
13/02/2010 Southend v Tranmere @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Yeovil v Gillingham @ 7/2

League Two - Linear
12/02/2010 Northampton v Aldershot @ 10/3
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 7/2

League Two - Logarithmic
13/02/2010 Chesterfield v Bury @ 15/8

League Two - Polynomial
13/02/2010 Chesterfield v Bury @ 15/8

Football League - Linear
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2
13/02/2010 Millwall v Exeter @ 11/2
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 7/2
13/02/2010 Chesterfield v Bury @ 15/8

Football League - Logarithmic
12/02/2010 Burton v Crewe @ 5/2
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2
13/02/2010 Millwall v Exeter @ 11/2

Football League - Polynomial
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Preston v Blackpool @ 5/2
13/02/2010 Millwall v Exeter @ 11/2
13/02/2010 Barnet v Cheltenham @ 11/4
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 7/2
13/02/2010 Chesterfield v Bury @ 15/8

[MattR]

Do any of the previous years have a similar trough on these Mat, is it just a case of you catching the start at a bad time and historically it will pick up or do you think it's just not going to pan out as the prior years suggested?

[mathare]

Do any of the previous years have a similar trough on these Mat, is it just a case of you catching the start at a bad time and historically it will pick up or do you think it's just not going to pan out as the prior years suggested?

Good question. I'd need to dig out all the spreadsheets I used to put this together to answer it but I suspect it's just not as robust as I thought it was. I kinda gave up on this one a while back but will paper-trade to the end of the season just to see how it goes. I will be starting work on some new systems soon but I'm not sure I will have anythng concrete before the end of the season.

[mathare]

I've picked out one of the worst-performing systems to examine - Football League Linear which is showing a loss of nearly 40pts this season (although only 6.30pts since the paper trade started). I have produced a graph of the profits prior to this season and attached it. It shows there have been bad spells before but not this bad.

Now, that's only 1 system out of many but I think the reason for the poor showing from these systems is a bit of bad luck as well as the fact that they are not that well thought out. A lot of work went into them but the basic premise is a bit dodgy as it takes each team in isolation without considering the strength of the opposition at all.

As I said a few minutes ago, I'm going to be working on other systems soon and they will be far better prepared than these have been. They will also be more complicated in terms of the rules as this is quite simplistic. I fear I may have back-fitted elements of some of these system too as the odds have to be in a certain range for a team to qualify and while I can sort of justify these odds filters it may be a little dodgy to use them as I have done.

[mathare]

You have to admit that was a pretty special performance this weekend. I got both Friday night games in League Two right and then nothing at all on Saturday! 0 out of 38 on Saturday

[mathare]

Linear
16/02/2010 Stoke v Man City @ 5/2
16/02/2010 Sheffield Weds v Doncaster @ 14/5
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2
17/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Reading @ 5/2

Logarithmic
16/02/2010 Cardiff v West Brom @ 13/8
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 9/4
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4

Polynomial
16/02/2010 Cardiff v West Brom @ 13/8
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 9/4

Premiership - Linear
None

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
16/02/2010 Bristol City v Leicester @ 9/5
16/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield United @ 15/4
17/02/2010 Newcastle v Coventry @ 13/2

Championship - Logarithmic
16/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield United @ 15/4
17/02/2010 Newcastle v Coventry @ 13/2

Championship - Polynomial
16/02/2010 Bristol City v Leicester @ 9/5
16/02/2010 Nott'm Forest v Sheffield United @ 15/4
17/02/2010 Newcastle v Coventry @ 13/2

League One - Linear
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4

League One - Logarithmic
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4

League One - Polynomial
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4

League Two - Linear
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2

League Two - Logarithmic
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2

League Two - Polynomial
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2

Football League - Linear
16/02/2010 Cardiff v West Brom @ 13/8
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 9/4
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2
17/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Reading @ 5/2
17/02/2010 Notts County v Grimsby @ 7/1

Football League - Logarithmic
16/02/2010 Cardiff v West Brom @ 13/8
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 9/4
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4
17/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Reading @ 5/2

Football League - Polynomial
16/02/2010 Cardiff v West Brom @ 13/8
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 9/4
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 7/4
16/02/2010 Morecambe v Burton @ 5/2
17/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Reading @ 5/2
17/02/2010 Notts County v Grimsby @ 7/1

[mathare]

Better than at the weekend but still not great :(

[mathare]

Linear
20/02/2010 Everton v Man United @ 5/6
20/02/2010 Blackpool v Reading @ 5/2
20/02/2010 QPR v Doncaster @ 12/5
20/02/2010 Walsall v Brentford @ 12/5
20/02/2010 Wycombe v Millwall @ 11/4
20/02/2010 Accrington v Bradford @ 11/4
20/02/2010 Darlington v Chesterfield @ 10/3
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3
21/02/2010 Wigan v Tottenham @ 14/5
21/02/2010 Bristol City v West Brom @ 11/4

Logarithmic
20/02/2010 Everton v Man United @ 5/6
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 Wycombe v Millwall @ 11/4
21/02/2010 Man City v Liverpool @ 3/2

Polynomial
20/02/2010 Wycombe v Millwall @ 11/4
20/02/2010 Darlington v Chesterfield @ 10/3
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3
21/02/2010 Man City v Liverpool @ 3/2

Premiership - Linear
20/02/2010 Portsmouth v Stoke @ 9/4
21/02/2010 Blackburn v Bolton @ 10/3

Premiership - Polynomial
20/02/2010 Portsmouth v Stoke @ 9/4
21/02/2010 Blackburn v Bolton @ 10/3

Championship - Linear
20/02/2010 Cardiff v Barnsley @ 9/2
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 Newcastle v Preston @ 6/1

Championship - Logarithmic
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 Newcastle v Preston @ 6/1

Championship - Polynomial
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 Newcastle v Preston @ 6/1

League One - Linear
20/02/2010 Walsall v Brentford @ 12/5

League One - Logarithmic
None

League One - Polynomial
20/02/2010 Walsall v Brentford @ 12/5

League Two - Linear
19/02/2010 Bury v Shrewsbury @ 3/1
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3

League Two - Logarithmic
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3

League Two - Polynomial
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3

Football League - Linear
20/02/2010 Blackpool v Reading @ 5/2
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 QPR v Doncaster @ 12/5
20/02/2010 Exeter v Stockport @ 4/1
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3

Football League - Logarithmic
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5

Football League - Polynomial
20/02/2010 Blackpool v Reading @ 5/2
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 13/5
20/02/2010 QPR v Doncaster @ 12/5
20/02/2010 Port Vale v Barnet @ 10/3

[mathare]

It doesn't look that impressive from the colouring above but if my sums are correct it represents a profit of 44.43pts across all systems

[mathare]

Linear
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4
23/02/2010 Milton Keynes Dons v Millwall @ 21/10
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/1
23/02/2010 Wycombe v Southampton @ 3/1
23/02/2010 Accrington v Burton @ 13/5 - postponed
23/02/2010 Port Vale v Lincoln @ 3/1

Logarithmic
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10
23/02/2010 Tranmere v Huddersfield @ 23/10
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/11
23/02/2010 Darlington v Notts County @ 4/1 - postponed

Polynomial
None

Premiership - Linear
None

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
None

Championship - Logarithmic
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10

Championship - Polynomial
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10

League One - Linear
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/1

League One - Logarithmic
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/1

League One - Polynomial
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4

League Two - Linear
22/02/2010 Rotherham v Shrewsbury @ 3/1
23/02/2010 Accrington v Burton @ 13/5 - postponed

League Two - Logarithmic
23/02/2010 Accrington v Burton @ 13/5 - postponed

League Two - Polynomial
23/02/2010 Accrington v Burton @ 13/5 - postponed

Football League - Linear
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10
23/02/2010 Charlton v Brighton @ 11/2
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4
23/02/2010 Swindon v Stockport @ 15/2
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/1
23/02/2010 Rochdale v Bradford @ 6/1

Football League - Logarithmic
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10
23/02/2010 Charlton v Brighton @ 11/2
23/02/2010 Walsall v Yeovil @ 3/1
23/02/2010 Aldershot v Dag and Red @ 13/5

Football League - Polynomial
23/02/2010 Doncaster v Leicester @ 19/10
23/02/2010 Charlton v Brighton @ 11/2
23/02/2010 Gillingham v Leyton Orient @ 11/4
23/02/2010 Swindon v Stockport @ 15/2
23/02/2010 Accrington v Burton @ 13/5 - postponed
23/02/2010 Aldershot v Dag and Red @ 13/5
23/02/2010 Rochdale v Bradford @ 6/1

[mathare]

Up 56.2pts midweek

[mathare]

Linear
27/02/2010 Doncaster v Crystal Palace @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Huddersfield v Leeds @ 9/5
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4

Logarithmic
27/02/2010 Macclesfield v Rochdale @ 7/2
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4

Polynomial
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

Premiership - Linear
27/02/2010 Birmingham v Wigan @ 10/3

Premiership - Polynomial
None

Championship - Linear
27/02/2010 Barnsley v Blackpool @ 21/10
27/02/2010 Sheffield United v Plymouth @ 11/2
27/02/2010 Swansea v Peterboro @ 15/2
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2

Championship - Logarithmic
27/02/2010 Sheffield United v Plymouth @ 11/2
27/02/2010 Swansea v Peterboro @ 15/2
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2

Championship - Polynomial
27/02/2010 Swansea v Peterboro @ 15/2
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2

League One - Linear
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5

League One - Logarithmic
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5

League One - Polynomial
27/02/2010 Brighton v Exeter @ 10/3
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5

League Two - Linear
None

League Two - Logarithmic
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

League Two - Polynomial
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

Football League - Linear
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5
27/02/2010 Millwall v Hartlepool @ 6/1
27/02/2010 Southampton v Walsall @ 5/1
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Notts County v Hereford @ 6/1
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

Football League - Logarithmic
27/02/2010 Barnsley v Blackpool @ 21/10
27/02/2010 Swansea v Peterboro @ 15/2
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5
27/02/2010 Southampton v Walsall @ 5/1
27/02/2010 Dag and Red v Grimsby @ 9/2
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Notts County v Hereford @ 6/1
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

Football League - Polynomial
27/02/2010 Leicester v Nott'm Forest @ 9/5
27/02/2010 West Brom v Derby @ 11/2
27/02/2010 Bristol Rvs v Colchester @ 8/5
27/02/2010 Millwall v Hartlepool @ 6/1
27/02/2010 Southampton v Walsall @ 5/1
27/02/2010 Morecambe v Port Vale @ 11/4
27/02/2010 Notts County v Hereford @ 6/1
27/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Bournemouth @ 11/5

[mathare]

0 again! That's a loss of 49 points A good midweek wiped out by a rubbish weekend.