I wrote a post called How To Profit From Backing Favourites at Individual Racecourses, so I thought it would be worth doing the opposite with the same stats and seeing if we can profit from any tracks that favourites run absolutely crap at, and no surprise we have a few.
As with the earlier post I have published results for the last 3 years, but filtered them by including 5 years for comparison and those with low ROI, although in this case we accept anything above 1% as that is basically what the bookmakers make in the long term.We do have a lot more qualifying tracks, although that isn’t a surprise as far more favourites lose than win, around 68% overall.
Free Horseracing System Rules:
Lay all the favourites, or joint favourites at the tracks below.
Course | Runners | Winners | Win S/R | Lay P/L Exc | Lay ROI Exc |
Downpatrick | 210 | 59 | 28.1 | £39.98 | 19.04 |
Nottingham | 411 | 109 | 26.52 | £35.43 | 8.62 |
Yarmouth | 568 | 169 | 29.75 | £32.88 | 5.79 |
Chepstow | 529 | 149 | 28.17 | £31.47 | 5.95 |
Thurles | 213 | 59 | 27.7 | £30.98 | 14.55 |
Epsom | 287 | 80 | 27.87 | £25.78 | 8.98 |
Roscommon | 207 | 53 | 25.6 | £23.17 | 11.19 |
Ffos Las | 529 | 177 | 33.46 | £17.73 | 3.35 |
Sedgefield | 340 | 112 | 32.94 | £15.39 | 4.53 |
Curragh | 441 | 125 | 28.34 | £13.52 | 3.07 |
Wexford | 232 | 65 | 28.02 | £10.40 | 4.48 |
Laytown | 24 | 4 | 16.67 | £9.52 | 39.68 |
Dundalk | 675 | 178 | 26.37 | £8.86 | 1.31 |
Worcester | 390 | 120 | 30.77 | £7.74 | 1.98 |
Market Rasen | 399 | 123 | 30.83 | £4.99 | 1.25 |
Taunton | 239 | 82 | 34.31 | £4.37 | 1.83 |
£312.21 |
*All exchange prices include 5% commission deducted.