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Healio
18th August 2007, 05:27
This does not work dont read any further...................



Day 1:

Portsmouth vs Bolton
Lay: Draw @ 3.5 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €25.00
1-1 @ 7.4 for €39.06
2-2 @ 18.5 for €14.29
If it ends as draw +/- 0.00
If it ends home/away win +16.75

Fulham vs Middlesboro
Lay: Draw @ 3.45 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €24.50
1-1 @ 7.2 for €39.52
2-2 @ 18 for €14.41
If it ends as draw + 0.00
If it ends home/away win +16.57

Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Lay: Draw @ 3.55 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €25.50
1-1 @ 7.4 for €39.84
2-2 @ 18.5 for €14.57
If it ends as draw + 0.00
If it ends home/away win +15.08

Comment all you like i am still just getting into this!! Some matches you can guarantee around the same amount for home/draw/away but im just playing around, and subsequently going home/away!!

I know it might not be worth risking 300+ to win 10-20 pound, but judging by archived results, i should win an awful lot more than i lose.

My aim is to complete the mythical challenge!! By my reckoning i should have it complete by February!! :p

Bank: 1000.00
Liabilities: -985.78
Balance: 14.22

Healio
18th August 2007, 14:54
Tottenham vs Derby
Lay: Draw @ 4.2 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 16 for €21.33
1-1 @ 7.4 for €50.00
2-2 @ 18.5 for €18.29
If it ends as draw +/- 0.00
If it ends home/away win +5.48

Healio
18th August 2007, 17:41
Balance: 1000.00
Returns:
Portsmouth vs Bolton: +16.75
Fulham vs Middlesboro: +16.57
Tottenham vs Derby: +12.81
New Balance: 1046.13
___________________________________________________

One more for today:

Auxerre vs Caen
Lay: Draw @ 4.2 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 8.2 for €31.94
1-1 @ 7 for €38.33
2-2 @ 23 for €10.45
If it ends as draw +/- 0.00
If it ends home/away win +14.37

Bank: 1046.13
Liabilities: -310.73
Balance: 735.4

Healio
19th August 2007, 03:09
Balance: 735.40
Returns:
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: -0.00
Auxerre vs Caen: +14.37
Liabilities returned: +310.73
New Balance: 1060.50

Healio
19th August 2007, 03:43
Man Utd vs Man City
Lay: Draw @ 3.45 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11.5 for €24.29
1-1 @ 7.2 for €41.13
2-2 @ 18 for €15.00
If it ends as draw + 10.00
If it ends home/away win +14.69

Bank: 1060.50
Liabilities: -325.41
Balance: 735.09

more to follow later...........

Healio
19th August 2007, 12:15
1860 Munich v Kaiserslautern
Lay: Draw @ 3.6 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 14 for €20.77
1-1 @ 7.6 for €40.91
2-2 @ 15.5 for €18.62
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: + 10.00
If it ends home/away win: +14.80

Sheff Wed v Wolves
Lay: Draw @ 3.4 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 12.5 for €21.74
1-1 @ 7.2 for €40.32
2-2 @ 15 for €17.86
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: +10.00
If it ends home/away win: +15.18

Bank: 735.09
Liabilities: -340.30/-319.92
Balance: 74.87

Healio
19th August 2007, 15:59
Balance: 74.87
Returns:
1860 Munich v Kaiserslautern: +14.80
Sheff Wed v Wolves: +15.18
Man Utd vs Man City: +14.69
Liabilities returned: +985.63
New Balance: 1105.17

Liverpool vs Chelsea
Lay: Draw @ 3.2 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 8.2 for €31.94
1-1 @ 7.2 for €37.10
2-2 @ 21 for €11.50
If it ends as draw + 10.00
If it ends home/away win +14.56

Balance: 1105.17
Liabilitiy: -300.54
New Balance: 804.63

Healio
19th August 2007, 18:14
Inter v Roma
Lay: Draw @ 3.6 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 15.5 for €18.62
1-1 @ 7.4 for €42.19
2-2 @ 21 for €13.00
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: +10.00
If it ends home/away win: +13.52

Balance: 804.63
Liabilitiy: -341.58
New Balance: 463.05

Healio
19th August 2007, 20:03
Real Madrid v Sevilla
Lay: Draw @ 3.55 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 13.0 for €21.67
1-1 @ 8.6 for €34.87
2-2 @ 17 for €16.56
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: +10.00
If it ends home/away win: +21.59

Balance: 463.05
Liabilitiy: -328.51
New Balance: 134.54

MattR
19th August 2007, 20:34
I can't work out those figures to what you have Healio.

Lay is for 3.55 at £100 so a liab of £255 (don't have euro symbol so using £)



0-0 13 @ 21.67 = presumably 13 decimal so £260.04
1-1 8.6 for £34.87 = £265.01
2-2 17 for £16.56 = £264.96

So 0-0 = -255+260-34.87-16.56 -46
1-1 = -255+265-21.67-16.56 -28
2-2 = -255+264.96-21.67-34.87 -47

A Home or Away = +100 -73 +27

Or am I missing something and getting confused here!

Healio
20th August 2007, 10:09
Or am I missing something and getting confused here!

No it is me who is confused, not subtracting the losing stakes for the correct score!! :splapme

Healio
20th August 2007, 12:47
In light of what MattR has pointed out to me here are the revised results:

Portsmouth vs Bolton
Lay: Draw @ 3.5 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €25.00
1-1 @ 7.4 for €39.06
2-2 @ 18.5 for €14.29
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -25.38/-43.81/-31.57
If it ends home/away: +44.72/+44.72

Fulham vs Middlesboro
Lay: Draw @ 3.45 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €24.50
1-1 @ 7.2 for €39.52
2-2 @ 18 for €14.41
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -53.93/-38.91/-64.02
If it ends home/away win: +16.67/+16.67

Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Lay: Draw @ 3.55 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11 for €25.50
1-1 @ 7.4 for €39.84
2-2 @ 18.5 for €14.57
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -54.42/-40.07/-65.34
If it ends home/away win +15.18/15.18

Tottenham vs Derby
Lay: Draw @ 4.2 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 16 for €21.33
1-1 @ 7.4 for €50.00
2-2 @ 18.5 for €18.29
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -68.29/-39.62/-71.33
If it ends home/away win: +5.48/+5.48

Auxerre vs Caen
Lay: Draw @ 3.3 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 8.2 for €31.94
1-1 @ 7 for €38.33
2-2 @ 23 for €10.45
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -48.79/-42.40/-70.28
If it ends home/away win +14.37/+14.37

Man Utd vs Man City
Lay: Draw @ 3.45 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 11.5 for €24.29
1-1 @ 7.2 for €41.13
2-2 @ 18 for €15.00
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -44.09/-37.01/-67.92
If it ends home/away win: +5.69/+5.69

1860 Munich v Kaiserslautern
Lay: Draw @ 3.6 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 14 for €20.77
1-1 @ 7.6 for €40.91
2-2 @ 15.5 for €18.62
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -49.53/29.39/-51.68
If it ends home/away win: +14.80/+14.80

Sheff Wed v Wolves
Lay: Draw @ 3.4 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 12.5 for €21.74
1-1 @ 7.2 for €40.32
2-2 @ 15 for €17.86
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -48.18/-29.60/-52.06
If it ends home/away win: +15.18/+15.18

Liverpool vs Chelsea
Lay: Draw @ 3.2 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 8.2 for €31.94
1-1 @ 7.2 for €37.10
2-2 @ 21 for €11.50
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -38.60/-33.44/-59.04
If it ends home/away win: +14.56/+14.56

Inter v Roma
Lay: Draw @ 3.6 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 15.5 for €18.62
1-1 @ 7.4 for €42.19
2-2 @ 21 for €13.50
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -45.69/-22.12/-50.81
If it ends home/away win: +20.79/+20.79

Real Madrid v Sevilla
Lay: Draw @ 3.55 for €100.00
Back:
0-0 @ 13.0 for €21.67
1-1 @ 8.6 for €34.87
2-2 @ 17 for €16.56
If it ends as 0-0/1-1/2-2: -41.43/-28.65/-46.95
If it ends home/away win: +21.59/+21.59

**The home/away part is made up of (lay stake after commission minus the stakes on the correct score) in all examles commission is 4.9% (i.e. 95.10 profit).

Lesson learned without losing anyway, although i only followed for very small stakes.

Actual P&L:
Won: 159.29
Lost: -87.84
Profit: +71.45
Balance: 1071.45