eruptive plots challenge

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here goes!!!! i dont bet too much on horses these days,but i got a fair knowledge on other sports,so my first bet is a £94.35 lay on man city tonight@ 2.06
if man city win the bank goes down £100.01.
watch this go :ass2 up

[mathare]

Good luck EP. I quite fancy Spurs to get something from tonight's match

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cheers matt.looking at the odds i felt that 2.06 was far too short given the importance of the game.i felt that the price of man city should have been around 2.4-2.5,and thats why i put it up as a lay.i did lay it myself but at only 10% of this challenge.i personally thought spurs would win but the home lay offered more value.
so a good start to the challenge and the bank stands at £1089.63 after betty has taken her comission:wiggle:

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here goes,first horse selection. duchess dora in the 3.15 chester £20 win @ 11/4 with bet 365.the reason for this selection,good proven form over 5f and a plum draw

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bank dropped £20 to £1069.63
todays bet take a mile 17.10 plumpton £20 win with betfair @3.7

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the bank won £51.30 today after commission lost a point by taking earlier odds though
new balance £1120.93

[frontrunner]

Well Done on getting off to a good start. Will be watching with interest :thumbs


Frontrunner
:spinning

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cheers frontrunner,its only a bit of fun,i'm just trying out a loss chasing exercise with no losses to chase yet,but obviously i will be soon.
todays selection is £20 win vaultage in the 16.30 wolves @5 on betfair

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due to a second yesterday the bank dropped to £1100.93.
this one is a bit of a gamble im tipping blackpool to qualify to the play off final.
they are currently 1-0 down, but the last time that forest beat blackpool was 7 games ago.
so the bet is blackpool to qualify £30 win @ 2.74 on betfair

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we won £49.60 after that miraculous second half.
new balance is £1150.53

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lets try and keep the run going then!!!
todays selection is magroom 19.30 bath the stake is £23.70 @6.4 on betfair

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the selection lost yesterday,it did trade at 11/10 in running but was soon beat.
the bank is down to £1126.30 now

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todays selection is cygnet 19.25 new,the stake is £31.70 @ 6.4 betfair.
i am getting my selections from the naps table(larry lynx).
as i stated earlier this is a loss chasing exercise.the staking plan is something that i have dreamt up

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the selection got stuffed yesterday.
todays selection flag of glory 14.30 new. stake £33.20 @2.82. i expect the price to drift as the lay price is 2.96
balance is now 1094.60

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lost again yesterday bank now £1061.40
todays selection verdant 14.30 new stake £32.30 @3.4

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we lost again yesterday bank down to £1029.10
todays selection is arabian spirit 16.10 ripon. stake £27.10 @ 6.35 betfair

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lost yesterday bank has gone down to 1002
todays selection poppy seed 14.30 bath £70 win @2.02 betfair

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non runner yesterday
todays selection royal exchange 14.30 nott.stake £87.80 @ 1.74 bf

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i'm managing to get more non runners than winners at the moment,another one yesterday.
todays selection fashion tycoon,stake £26.20 @9.6

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lost again yesterday,bank down to £975.80
todays selection treble jig in the 18.50 sand,stake £51.50 @2.7.
as i write it has drifted to 2.86 but the bet is on at 2.7

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i can see this system failing in a week or so,as keith points out that chasing systems dont work.
my mini bank on these selections has bust so now its paper trading from now.
the bank is down to £924.30 and i am getting in need of a few winners.
todays selection destiny's dream £58.20 @ 2.74 bf

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another loser yesterday and the bank falls to £866.10
todays selection ski sunday in the 20.15 new.stake £59.51 @2.7

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bank down to £806.59
sunday selection nedzers return 14.15 perth stake £102.05 @1.51

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we won £49.44 yesterday bank now on £856.03
todays selection anne of kiev in 19.10 wind.stake £44.88 @ 3.8

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a bit of a recovery yesterday winning £119.38 but lost a point as it drifted to 4.99 bfsp,so the bank is back up to £985.48.
todays sel is advertise in the 15.50 chep stake £53.20 @2.2 bf

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non runner yesterday
todays sel tiger o toole 20.20 sou.stake £32.85 @4.1

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a win of £96.84 gets us back on track.the bank now stands at £1081.92.
todays sel is bakongo in the 17.00 wol.stake £24.74 at bfsp

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bank down to £1057.18 yesterday
todays sel aestival in the 15.40 brighton,stake £36.30 @2.34 bf

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a win of £46.20 put the bank up to £1103.38
todays sel is barshiba 15.00 haydock.stake £22.85 @4.6 bf.

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bank down to £1057.18 yesterday.
todays sel 17.50 NEW, lutine bell.stake £27.27@ 3.2

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another loser yesterday sends the bank down to £1029.91.
todays sel is sweet lightning in 16.10 red.stake £25.30 @5.3 bf

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bank back down to start again,£1004.61.
todays sel is in the 15.45 at leic,comedy act, stake £44.32 @2.04

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we won yesterday,bank back up to £1048.39.
todays sel is cityscape in th 16.50 nott.stake £30.96 @2.66 bf

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nr yesterday.
todays sel daring dream 15.40 ham.stake £27.74 @3.35

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a loss yesterday sends the bank down to £1020.65.
todays sel peopleton brook in the 20.55 good.stake £27.85 @4.2bf

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another loser yesterday and the bank drops to £992.80.
todays sel ziggy lee in the 15.40 muss.stake £30 @7.4bf

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another loser and the bank goes down to 962.80.
todays sel is aegean shadow in 16.30 brighton.stake 37.21 @3.3 bf

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a win yesterday puts the bank on 1044.10.
todays sel is on terms in 15.45 folk stake £25 at bf sp

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a generous sp win @3.77 wins us £65.78 after comm and almost clears my current loss recovery.the bank stands at 1109.88.
todays sel is marc aurele in the 19.20 bang.stake £21 @bf sp

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a second and the bank drops to 1088.88
todays sel is escape artist in the 16.30 bev.stake £24.50 @bfsp

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a loser yesterday and the bank drops to 1064.38.
todays sel is decorative in the 16.00 nott.stake £30 @bfsp

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the winner @2.98 wins 56.43 and clears my loss recovery.the bank stands @ 1120.81.so im back down to a base bet of £20 on plume in 21.00 good this evening @bfsp.

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fridays selection lost and the bank dropped to £1100.81.
todays sel is palisades park in the 14.30 sals.stake £21.30 @5 bf

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managed a last yesterday and dropped to £1079.51.
todays sel is becqu adoree in the 19.55 warwick.stake £22.20 @ 5.6 bf

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a loser yesterday, bank down to £1057.31
todays sel goldikova 14.30 asc.stake £29.50 @2.74 bf

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a winner won £48.20 and the bank stands @ £1105.51
todays sel is strawberrydaiquiri in the 15.05 asc. stake £21 @ 4.8 bf

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another winner yesterday clears my loss recovery and the bank has a new high of £1181.32,so we are back down to a base bet of £20 on afsare in the 17.00 asc @4.3 bf

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a new high of £1244.02 yesterday after that short head winner.
todays sel is anna salai in the 15.50 asc.stake £20 @7.4 bf
nb this horse looks weak in the betting

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the bank dropped to £1224.02 yesterday
2 for today
15.05 ascot wajir £10 bf sp
15.50 asc marchand d'or £20 bf sp
ill also have a £5 double @ bookies sp

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two downers sends the bank down to £1189.02.
todays sel is nanton in the 15.40 pont.stake £26.11@ 3.25.
for those who think my staking is a bit strange "i'll explain".
in my last 3 bets i've lost £55.what i am doing is carry on betting my £20 stake plus i am trying to recover 25% of that £55.so i todays case 25% of £55 is £13.75.i then divide 13.75 by 2.25 in which todays selection's odds are, which will come to 6.11 and then i come up with my stake of £26.11 on todays selection
if that loses tomorrow i will have to stake £20 plus 25% of £81.11 until i clear my loss recovery.
i hope what i have just written makes any sense

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after trading at 1.05 in running we still managed to get beat, and the bank dropped to 1162.91.
todays sel is Aegean Shadow in the 15.15 lin. i think that the current price of 2.04 is too short.stake £40 @bfsp

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another short price loser sends the bank down to £1122.99 and getting in need of a few winners again.
todays sel is Desert Liaison in the 15:00 Brig.there is a point diff between the back and lay at the moment,so we'll stake £30 @bfsp

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a last yesterday sends the bank down to £1092.99
todays sel is Noodles Blue Boy in the 16.40 carl.there is no money around at the moment so its a £30 win @bfsp

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7 losers on the bounce :lame: and the bank plummets to £1062.99,and i got a loss recovery of £181.11 to get back in this current sequence.
todays sel is Santefisio in the 14.00 good.stake £39 @bfsp

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a nose second and we drop to £1023.99
todays sel is Murura in the 15.25 donc.stake £32 @bfsp as there is almost a point between the back and the lay at the moment

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bank now down to £991.99
todays sel is Himalya in the 14.00 new.stake £56 @bfsp

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this current run is bordering ridiculous with seconds costing £££££££s. i need a few winners badly.
todays sel is Ouzbeck in the 14.40 uttx. as the price is a good i am going for a 50% recovery of my current loss of £308
stake £30 @16 bf

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loss cleared yesterday with a nice winner. the bank stands at £1363.49 now.
back to a base bet of £20 today on Fleetwoodsands in the 14.30 wolves at bfsp

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a winner yesterday @3.9 wins £55.10 after comm.so the bank hits a high of £1418.59 which is not bad by all means.
sticking with a base bet today,stake £20 on smarty sam in the 16.15 ham @bfsp

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a loser yesterday and the bank goes down to £1398.59.
todays sel is boogie waltzer in the 18.20 kemp.stake £22 @ bfsp

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lost again yesterday and the bank drops to £1376.59.
todays sel is saratosa sunshine in the 20.10 new.stake £29 @bfsp

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a winner yesterday and the bank is now £1407.45.
todays sel verdant in the 16.35 sand.stake £22 @ bfsp

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a wiiner yesterday @1.87 and the bank hits a new high of £1425.63
todays sel is bated breath in the 16.00 hayd.stake £20 @bfsp

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another winner and another high of £1441.21
todays sel is rule maker in the 15.40 ayr.stake £20 @bfsp

[mathare]

Nice going EP :thumbs

[eruptive plot]

cheers matt,i cant take all the credit as they are newspaper tips,but the way i am staking is making them more profitible than of level stakes,it just gets a bit scary when you go past 5 losers on the bounce.
we had a non runner yesterday
todays sel is Maggie's Treasure in the 14.30 bath.stake £20 @bfsp

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we lost yesterday
todays sel is play a cord in the 20.50 uttx.stake £21 @bfsp

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another loser yesterday and the bank is down to 1400.21.
todays sel is lillie langtry in the 15.10 new.stake £24.50@bfsp.
i tend to get the prices wrong all of the time, so ill judge my staking to the current price, but i'll take the sp from now on as most of my bets tend to get bigger if i leave them run

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another loser yesterday and the bank hits £1375.71
todays sel is aegean shadow in the 19.45 donc.stake £29.50 @bfsp

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too busy to post yesterday,just as well as the sel lost.we lost thursday and the bank has dipped to £1346.21.
todays sel is borderless scott in the 15.20 ches.stake £45 @ bfsp

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another poor show yesterday and a drop in the bank to £1301.21.
todays sel is tout regulier in the 15.00 strt.stake £31 @ bfsp

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we won £95.71 yesterday and the bank goes to £1396.92.
todays sel is City Stable in the 18.50 wolves.stake £22 @bfsp

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we lost yesterday and the bank drops to £1374.92.
todays sel is consult in the 21.00 yarm.stake £52 @bfsp

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we lost yesterday and the bank drops to £1374.92.
todays sel is consult in the 21.00 yarm.stake £52 @bfsp

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another :laughitupsmilie: performance by an odds on shot.the bank goes down to £1322.92.
todays sel is apace in the 16.00 ling stake £57 @ bfsp

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another stinker and the bank dips to £1265.92.
todays sel is outland in the 17.00 lei.stake £31 @ bfsp

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the losers continue and the bank drops to £1234.92.
todays sel is Orpsie Boy in the 21.20 pont.stake £31.92 @bfsp

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a winner at last!!!.the bank goes back up to £1356.21,but i am still chasing £85 to clear my current loss recovery.
todays sel is high standing in the 14.15 newb.stake £28.21 @ bfsp

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a loser yesterday,and the bank stands at £1328
todays sel is zefooha in the 17.50 redcr.stake £27 @bfsp

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another loser yesterday and the bank drops to £1301.
todays sel is our drama queen in the 20.40 wind.stake £37 @bfsp

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another downer yesterday and the bank drops to 1264.
todays sel is Qudwah in the 20.50 kemp.stake £48 @ bfsp

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we're starting to struggle again and i'm currently chasing £225 to end my loss recovery,which is not good.
the bank stands at 1216 now after another poor show.
todays sel is Kakatosi in the 19.40 sand.stake £39 @ bfsp

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we recovered £115.22 yesterday and the bank recovers to £1331.22.
todays sel is Stefanki in the 18.00 folk.stake £38.22 @ bfsp

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one to three,what a laugh!!!!!!!.anyway enough moaning,the bank drops to £1293
todays sel is king of eden in the 18.30 york.stake £37 @ bfsp
one to three:omg:
one to three:yikes:
one to three:censored:
one to three:headbange
one to three:laughitupsmilie:

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another loser and we drop to £1256.
todays sel is miss zooter in the 15.20 nmk.stake £35 @bfsp

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due to an unknown reason i was unable to log in on my phone yesterday(just as well though as my selection lost).
we had a winner saturday an the bank climbed to £1358.75.
todays sel is wake up call in the 15.45 yar.stake £37.75 @bfsp

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a winner yesterday and the bank hits £1393.73.
todays sel is Dandino in the 14.45 good.stake £22.73 @bfsp

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another winner and getting close to a new high.the bank now stands at £1419.41.
todays sel is London Stripe in the 14.10 good.stake £21.41 @bfsp

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we lost yesterday and dropped back to £1398.
todays sel is Jacqueline Quest in the 17.15 good.stake £28 bfsp

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we lost yesterday and the bank stands at £1370.
todays sel is Watch Amigo in the 17.40 nmk.stake £25 bfsp

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we lost yesterday and the bank stands at £1370.
todays sel is Watch Amigo in the 17.40 nmk.stake £25 bfsp

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a winner yesterday and the bank stands at £1420.58.
todays sel is Pipette in the 16.30 new.stake £21.58 @ bfsp(non runner)

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todays sel is Sarrsar in the 15.15 rip.stake £24.58 @bfsp

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we lost yesterday and dropped to £1396.
todays sel is Miss Dutee in the 15.15 chep.stake £30 @ bfsp

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another loser and we dropped to £1366
first of 2 sels today runs in the 17.10 pont, jimmy the poacher.stake £28 bfsp

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second sel is Miss Clairton in the 19.05 kemp.stake £30 bfsp

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2 losers and we drop down to £1308.
i'll be doing 2 sels a day from now on an when the footy starts ill be posting those bets as well.
the first of the 2 sels runs today in the 15.10 hayd and its mottley crew, its a decent price,stake £25 bfsp.
ill adjust my stake for tonights sel once i know the result of the first sel

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second sel today is jet away in the 19.55.stake £42 bfsp

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one out of two and the generous bfsp puts the bank on £1392.36.
the first of our 2 runs in the 16.00 brighton,Piazza San Pietro.stake £23.36 bfsp

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the second sel today is fantasy fry in the 18.55 hayd. stake £20 bfsp

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we reached a new high today of £1462.58.
first sel saturday runs in the 3.20 asc,set the trend,stake £22 @5.6 bf(highest bet so far 5.7)

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second sel for saturday but it runs first
15.10 nmk,sunraider.stake £22.58 @5.8

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first footy bet will be a leeds win vs derby county.i will edit this post for the staking once the 2 horse results are known.the betfair odds represents a 46% chance,the head to head historical stats represents a 64% chance http://www.footymad.net/head-to-head-statistics/?teama=323&teamb=181
stake £20 win @2.18

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ok the footy bet got off on the wrong foot, but a nice winner in set the trend sends the bank up to £1516.14 and another new high.
after 90 or so bets,to make a 50% rise in the bank, i've got to be more than happy.i think i'll give it another week to see how it goes,and if i dont drop too much i'll increase my base bet to £30.
as for today the first of 2 selections runs in the 15.20 leic. stake £22.14 on Ertikaan @ bfsp

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first sel lost,second sel is strong suit in the 16.15 curr.stake £40 bfsp

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both sels lost yesterday,bank down to £1454
2 sels today Caledonia Princess 6.40 Windsor stake £23.50
Lost In The Moment 19.10 wind(will post the stake for this one arond 6.50)£20 win

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2 winners yesterday and the bank rises to £1633.56 and another new high :happyboun
as from now the base bet rises to £30
the first of todays sels runs in the 3.30 ling,Deep South.stake £30 win @bfsp.

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i may not get time to update after the 3.30 so ill post my sel now.
stake £30 win @ bfsp on Rare Tern 17.00 ling

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im betting these to 10% of the challenge bets but made a mess today, i wanted to bet 3.68, but placed a £3 win not realising my intended bet.when i tried to get the other 68p win it wouldnt allow it.
so todays challenge. first bet is £30 win bfsp on Gallego 16.40 sals
no second bet

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no good yesterday and the bank dropped to £1543.56
2 for today i will edit this post for staking purposes once i know the result of the first horse
Hearts of Fire 16.50 sals stake £38.56 @bfsp
Croeso Cusan 6.20 Chepstow. £44 win @ bfsp

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5 losers on the bounce now and in need of a winner or 2 bank down to 1461
first sel today is Pirate's Song in the 18.00 nmk.stake 46 @bfsp

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second sel today is dunmore boy in the 6.55 catt. stake £50 @bfsp

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another bad day yesterday and the bank dips to £1365 :thumbsdown:
2 for today
Bated Breath 15.20 nmk.stake £60 @bfsp
The Scorching Wind 3.25 Doncaster.stake £45 @bfsp

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spurs v man city stake £50 win over 2.5 goals @2 bf

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a bad day at the office would put it mildly for yesterdays selections.
how the spurs v man city stayed 0-0 i will never know.there could easily have been 6 or 7 goals scored judging by the chances created.
as for the horses,my second selection lost 10 lengths at the start :mad:
anyway the bank is getting desperate(£1210), and if it drops below £1000 i will have to revert to £20 wins and start again.
the first sel today is Blissful Moment in the 2.40 Pontefract.stake £65 @bfsp

[Win2Win]

This always happens after a good run, bank high and increase in stakes. It comes right in the long term. :thumbs

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second one today king of swords in the 17.10.stake £67 bfsp

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i havnt had chance to post for the last 2 day as ive been laying a new floor in my living room/hall/downstairs loo etc.
i am now in desperate need of a good run now as i am currenly trying to claw back £555 of recovery since i reached my new high a week or so ago.the bank now stands at £1078.here are the 2 for today i will edit this post once i know the outcome of my first selection.
Crown Prosecutor 2.50 York stake £49 @bfsp(if this wins it will get me out of the brown smelly stuff)
Demolition 3.25 york

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after laying my floor i decided to rip out my old cables for my computer and phone as they were damaged.not a good idea as ive been offline until now,so i never got chance to get my second bet on wednesday,just as well as it got stuffed.
the bank now is now standing at £1029 and i have decided to stop chasing my recovery target,because it stands at £600 and to chase 25% of that would seriously risk blowing the lot
as from now the bets are going to be totally random.i'm not sure what strategy i will adopt, but the bets will be more for entertainment with more football bets

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first bet for a while due to my home improvements.
one bet for today, Main Aim in the 3.05 Goodwood.stake £100 @bfsp

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down on my luck at the moment and missed a few winners yesterday at a decent price.its just i am too busy at the moment on home improvements.the bank now stands at £929
anyway one for today,House Point 3.10 Leicester,stake £50 @bfsp

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another loser and the bank drops to £879.
todays sel is Boom And Bust in the 8.20 Kempton.stake £50 @ 10.5 bf

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another downer and the bank hits £829
todays sel is Margot Did in the 3.50 Salisbury.stake £77 @bfsp

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loser again and we drop to £751
todays sel is Lost In The Moment in the 3.50 Lingfield.stake £72 @ bfsp, currently trading at 3

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in trouble now,this thread need a lot of help,the bank is down to £679.
todays sel is Starspangledbanner in the 3.35 Haydock.stake £90 @ 2.56( a lot more money in the lay que) so asuming it will shorten

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heading for a bust now with another loser
another one for today,orpenindeed in the 20.20 wolves.stake £83 @bfsp

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bank down to £596.
a footy bet for today,birmingham vs liverpool.this fixture has thrown up a lot of draws in recent years.
todays bets are correct scores.
stake £50 on a 2-2 score @21 on bf
stake £20 on a 3-3 score @90 on bf

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how stupid of me to think that liverpool can score 2 or 3 goals away from home :laughitupsmilie:,they couldnt do that at home versus the bottom side.god help them against the old enemy next week.
bank down to £526

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its been a long break from this thread but one for today
£26 win @bfsp on the midnight club,it runs in the 14.55 at gowran park

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its been 18 months or so since i last posted on this thread but i've had a whisper that this horse is absolutely bouncing in the yard,it could be anything.
so the bet is £10 e/w on tartak in the 4.00 cheltenham its currenly 65 for the win and 11 for the place.that is what i took