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MattR
22nd August 2012, 20:26
These will be my own picks, stats based but not a system.


I started this today and there were three today all of whom won, so we'll start with tomorrow's selection which will of course lose :rolleyes:


Osters v Brage

MattR
24th August 2012, 14:50
Osters v Brage WON 1-0 + 4.47



Weekend picks:

Saturday:
Flora Tallin v Tammeka Tartu
Incheon United v Jeju United

Sunday:
Molde v Valerenga
Landskrona v Degefors

MattR
27th August 2012, 14:51
Saturday:
Flora Tallin 1.14 v Tammeka Tartu won 5-1 +1.33
Incheon United 2.32 v Jeju United drew 0-0 -10.00

Sunday:
Molde 1.47 v Valerenga won 2-0 +4.47
Landskrona 2.00 v Degefors (this one's actually on today, monday!)

MattR
28th August 2012, 13:34
Two today

Kuressaare v Kalju Nomme 1.22
Fc Viljandi v Flora Tallin 1.23


Wed
Rops v Kooteepee
Atletico MG v Ponte Preta
Nautico v Figueirense

Thu
Flamengo v Sport Recife

Fri
Hacken v Orebro
Halmstad v Brage

MattR
28th August 2012, 18:59
Kuressaare v Kalju Nomme 1.22 WON 0-9 :yikes: +2.09
Fc Viljandi v Flora Tallin 1.23 WON 0-2 +2.19

MattR
28th August 2012, 19:26
Two more for tuesday


Avai 1.68 v BOA
Vitoria 1.35 v Gremio Barueri

MattR
29th August 2012, 14:44
Avai 1.68 v BOA WON 2-1 +6.46
Vitoria 1.35 v Gremio Barueri WON 1-0 +3.33

Bets: 12
Wins: 10
Pr/Lo: +19.89

Wed
Rops 1.41 v Kooteepee
Atletico MG 1.46 v Ponte Preta
Nautico 1.93 v Figueirense

MattR
30th August 2012, 15:49
Wed
Rops 1.41 v Kooteepee WON 3-0 + 3.90
Atletico MG 1.46 v Ponte Preta DREW 2-2 -10.00
Nautico 1.93 v Figueirense WON 3-2 +8.84


Bets: 15
Wins: 13
Draws: 2
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +22.62



Thu
Flamengo 1.59 v Sport Recife

MattR
31st August 2012, 13:49
Thu
Flamengo 1.59 v Sport Recife DREW 1-1 -10.00


Fri
Hacken 1.54 v Orebro
Halmstad 1.48 v Brage

Sat
Joinville v ABC
Hameenlinna v SJK

Sun
PK-35 v AC Oulu
Zalgiris Vilnius v Dainava Alytus

MattR
3rd September 2012, 02:55
Fri
Hacken 1.54 v Orebro WON 5-2 + 5.13
Halmstad 1.48 v Brage WON 4-0 +4.56

Sat
Joinville 1.39 v ABC DREW 0-0 -10.00
Hameenlinna v SJK 1.64 WON 0-2 +6.08

Sun
PK-35 1.69 v AC Oulu WON 1-0 +6.56
Zalgiris Vilnius 1.11 v Dainava Alytus WON 3-0 +1.05

Bets: 22
Wins: 17
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +25.99
ROI 11.81
Ave Odds 1.53

MattR
4th September 2012, 14:39
One today

Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev

Not exactly great odds I know! But they have beaten them 3-1 and 5-0 already this season and on the face of things that's actually probably a value price! Although it is football, so... :laugh

MattR
4th September 2012, 18:09
Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev WON 7-0 :laugh

This Estonian league has been very good this season for reliable low odds wins. Usually with most leagues there's a 1.10 to 1.20 team that cocks up and draws and wipes out any profit made on the other low odds bets but so far I've had 11 bets in this league on the top three teams when playing much weaker teams, with odds between todays 1.07 up to 1.25, averaging 1.14 and the for against record to date is 50 v 1 :laugh

MattR
6th September 2012, 13:29
One for Friday

America RN v Guaratingueta

MattR
10th September 2012, 19:55
Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev WON 7-0 +0.67
America RN 1.60 v Guaratingueta WON 4-1 +5.70

Bets: 24
Wins: 19
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +32.36
ROI 13.48
Ave Odds 1.52


Midweek picks:

Tues

Atletico Para v CRB
Avai v Ipatinga
Vitoria v BOA

Weds
Atletico MG v Sao Paulo

Thur
Kooteepee v SJK

MattR
12th September 2012, 02:11
Atletico Para 1.39 v CRB WON 4-1 + 3.71
Avai 1.45 v Ipatinga WON 2-1 + 4.28
Vitoria 1.46 v BOA WON 3-2 + 4.37

(note different odds on the first two games from my other system as i put these ones on this morning and Avai had moved out a bit)



Bets: 27
Wins: 22
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +44.71
Str Rate: 81.48%
ROI 16.56
Ave Odds 1.52

MattR
13th September 2012, 13:16
Weds
Atletico MG 1.85 v Sao Paulo WON 1-0 + 8.08


Bets: 28
Wins: 23
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +52.79
Str Rate: 82.14%
ROI 18.85
Ave Odds 1.52

Thur
Kooteepee v SJK

MattR
14th September 2012, 13:40
Thur
Kooteepee v SJK 2.04 lost 1-0 -10.00
Bets: 29
Wins: 23
Draws: 5
Losses: 1
Pr/Lo: +42.79
Str Rate: 79.31%
ROI 14.75%
Ave Odds 1.54

Three over the weekendFri
Criciuma 1.68 v ASA

Sat
PK-35 v Jippo
Fluminense 1.43 V Atletico GO

yerotsluap
15th September 2012, 13:50
wow Matt these picks seem to be going very well for you

MattR
15th September 2012, 15:04
Thanks Paul. I was hopeful they would be good enough to turn a profit as I the first step in picking them is part system that was doing ok on it's own, from there I'm then looking in more depth at the games to pick the one's for here. I am amazed myself at just how well they have started though! 2 more wins so far with Fluminense to go for the weekend.

MattR
16th September 2012, 03:06
Criciuma 1.68 v ASA WON 2-1 +6.46

Sat
PK-35 1.38 v Jippo WON 4-3 +3.61
Fluminense 1.43 V Atletico GO lost 1-2 -10.00


And sure enough the pick I'd have said was a so called 'banker' in the whole thread so far lost 2-1! :rolleyes: :laugh


Bets: 32
Wins: 25
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +42.85
Str Rate: 78.13%
ROI 13.39%
Ave Odds 1.53

MattR
17th September 2012, 20:19
Tues
Kalju Nomme v Kuressaare
Flora Tallin v FC Vijlandi
Atlantas v FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Weds
Suduva Marijampole v Tauras Taurage

MattR
19th September 2012, 00:51
Kalju Nomme 1.05 v Kuressaare WON 6-1 +0.48
Flora Tallin 1.08 v FC Vijlandi WON 5-0 +0.76
Atlantas v FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.28 WON 3-4 +2.66



Bets: 35
Wins: 28
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +46.75
Str Rate: 80.00%
ROI 13.36%
Ave Odds 1.50


Weds
Suduva Marijampole v Tauras Taurage

MattR
19th September 2012, 18:25
Weds
Suduva Marijampole 1.08 v Tauras Taurage WON 4-1 +0.76

Bets: 36
Wins: 29
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +47.51
Str Rate: 80.55%
ROI 13.20%
Ave Odds 1.49

MattR
21st September 2012, 12:51
4 for the weekend


Saturday
Fluminense 1.45 v Nautico
Tallina Kalev v Kalju Nomme
Tammeka Tartu v Flora Tallin
Ljungskile 1.58 v Umea

MattR
24th September 2012, 18:27
Fluminense 1.45 v Nautico won 2-1 + 4.89
Tallina Kalev v Kalju Nomme 1.10 won 1-3 +0.95
Tammeka Tartu v Flora Tallin 1.11 won 0-3 +0.95
Ljungskile 1.58 v Umea won 2-0 +5.51




Bets: 40
Wins: 33
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +59.29
Str Rate: 82.50%
ROI 14.82%
Ave Odds 1.47

MattR
25th September 2012, 13:44
One for today

Joinville 1.60 v BOA

MattR
26th September 2012, 13:29
Joinville 1.60 v BOA WON 3-0 +5.70

one for today

FK Ekranas 1.22 v Banga Gargzdai

MattR
28th September 2012, 13:58
FK Ekranas 1.22 v Banga Gargzdai won 2-0 +2.09


Bets: 42
Wins: 35
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +67.08
Str Rate: 83.33%
ROI 15.97%
Ave Odds 1.47


4 for the weekend

Ceara v Ipatinga
Kruoja v Dainava Alytus
Maribor v Mura 05
Ljungskile v Brage

MattR
5th October 2012, 14:17
A few picks over the weekend

Friday
America RN v CRB

Saturday
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras
Trans Narva v Kalju Nomme
Hacken v Syrianska
Atletico MG v Figueirense
Flora Tallin v Tallina Kalev

Sunday
Molde v Sandnes

Monday
Landskrona v Trelleborgs

MattR
9th October 2012, 14:10
Ok, need to update this.

Ceara v Ipatinga DREW 1-1
Kruoja v Dainava Alytus WON 2-0
Maribor v Mura 05 WON 1-0
Ljungskile v Brage DREW 1-1


Friday
America RN v CRB DREW 1-1

Saturday
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras WON 3-0
Trans Narva v Kalju Nomme WON 0-2
Hacken v Syrianska WON 5-1
Atletico MG v Figueirense WON 6-0
Flora Tallin v Tallina Kalev WON 3-1

Sunday
Molde v Sandnes WON 3-2

Monday
Landskrona v Trelleborgs LOST 0-3


Results to date (time to test Keith's new forum that we can paste tables in :biggrin: )




STAKED
540.00


PR/LO
52.63


WON
43


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
9.75


AVE ODDS
1.45


PTS PROFIT
+5.26

MattR
9th October 2012, 14:12
:doh Where's the table? It's showing when I edit thread but not once posted? Must be doing something wrong!


Anyway for now here's todays

ASA v Guaratingueta

MattR
10th October 2012, 17:24
ASA 1.54 v Guaratingueta WON 3-1 + 5.13

Ok now for another try for a table!



STAKED
550.00


PROFIT/LOSS
57.76


WON
44


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
10.50


AVE ODDS
1.46




Ok, it should be above hopefully..... Really easy to add, a great addition Keith :thumbs

MattR
10th October 2012, 17:25
Hmm :headbange Am I missing something? It shows when I go to edit the post but not when it's posted?? :doh

MattR
12th October 2012, 20:19
Weekends picks

Sat 13th Oct
Avai v CRB

Sun 14th Oct
Atletico MG v Sport Recife
Coritiba v Bahia
Nautico v Palmeiras
Sao Paulo Figueirense
Mjondalen v Strommen

MattR
15th October 2012, 18:43
Nice clean sweep at the weekend (well apart from the game that didn't play!)


Sat 13th Oct
Avai 1.47 v CRB WON 1-0 +4.47


Sun 14th Oct
Atletico MG 1.29 v Sport Recife WON 2-1 + 2.76
Coritiba 1.68 v Bahia WON 2-1 +6.46
Nautico 1.79 v Palmeiras WON 1-0 +7.51
Sao Paulo 1.29 Figueirense WON 2-0 +2.76
Mjondalen v Strommen Postponed



STAKED
600.00


PROFIT/LOSS
81.70


WON
49


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
13.62


AVE ODDS
1.46





Two for midweek

16th
Vitoria v ASA

18th
Sao Paulo v Atletico GO

MattR
17th October 2012, 14:45
16th
Vitoria v ASA WON 2-0 +5.13


One tomorrow

18th
Sao Paulo v Atletico GO

MattR
19th October 2012, 14:33
Sao Paulo v Atletico GO WON 2-0 +2.95



STAKED

620.00



PROFIT/LOSS

89.77



WON

51



DREW

8



LOST

3



ROI
14.48



AVE ODDS
1.46




One for the weekend

Joinville v CRB

MattR
23rd October 2012, 17:22
Three for tonight

Atletico Para v Guarani C
Criciuma v Gremio B
Goias v ASA

MattR
25th October 2012, 15:16
Joinville v CRB WON 3-1

Atletico Para v Guarani C DREW 1-1
Criciuma v Gremio B LOST 3-4 :doh
Goias v ASA WON 4-0





STAKED
660.00



PROFIT/LOSS
77.28



WON
53



DREW
9



LOST
4



ROI
11.71



AVE ODDS
1.46

MattR
25th October 2012, 15:17
Picks for Fri to Sun

Fri
Avai v Parana
Tom Tomsk v Petrotrest

Sun
Aluminij v Mura 05
Dnepr v Karpaty Lviv

MattR
2nd November 2012, 13:35
Weekends selections (bold the selections not the fact I'm picking them :laugh or then again....)

Friday
Hartberg v SV Grodig

Saturday
America RN v BOA
Vaslui v Ceahlaul
Shakhter Donetsk v Metalurg Z

Monday
Pandurii v CS Turnu Severin