wb versus the handicapper

[wb]

Thanks lads.

Bank: £9731.35
Stakes: £291.94


2.40 Chep - Travello - matched at 3.75
3.25 Ling - Gunship - matched at 3.05
3.45 Chep - Iris's Prince - matched at 5.8
4.20 Chep - Purple Patch - matched at 15.5
4.30 Ling - Aqua Pura - - matched at 9.8
5.40 Kemp - Prince Charlemange -- matched at 10

[wb]

I was looking at the wrong list when typing the prices I got matched at. Fixed it now.

[wb]

2.40 Chep - Travello - matched at 3.75 Won :)
3.25 Ling - Gunship - matched at 3.05 PU
3.45 Chep - Iris's Prince - matched at 5.8 2nd
4.20 Chep - Purple Patch - matched at 15.5 2nd
4.30 Ling - Aqua Pura - - matched at 9.8 4th
5.40 Kemp - Prince Charlemange -- matched at 10 nowhere

A frustrating day with one winner and 2 near misses.

Today's loss: £656.86

Stats.
No. Bets: 142
Winners: 31
Strike Rate: 21.83%
Starting Bank: £1,000.00
Bank all-time high: £10,263.92
Bank all-time low: £609.37


Current Bank: £9074.49

Next Stake: £272.23

[John]

Can't win 'em all mate. :) And you're doing a fantastic job.

[wb]

Thursday.

There are actually 2 in the one race, but both get backed with the full stake. I'll update the prices afterwards.

Bank: £9074.49
Stakes: £272.23

2.10 Sth - Witchry - matched at 12.0
2.10 Sth - Stoneacre Boy - matched at 6.0

[wb]

No winners.

Bank: £8530.03
Next stake: £255.90

[wb]

4.15 Ling - Woodygo - matched at 9.4
5.20 Ling - Hawk Arrow - matched at 12.0

[wb]

No winners again :(

Bank: £8018.23
Stakes: £240.54

2.55 Newb - More Likely - matched at 9.2
4.10 Kemp - Majestic Cheer - matched at 6.2
4.20 Ling - Kings Quay - matched at 7.0
4.25 - Bang - Allistathebarrista - 10.0
4.55 - Bang - Nice Try - matched at 5.0
5.00 - Navan - Another Nation - matched at 7.8
5.20 - Ling - Quaidu Roi - matched at 7.0

[wb]

The poor run continues with only one winner today. I'm going to have a look over the stats, as I don't think the AW bets are working.


Today's loss: £481.08

Stats.
No. Bets: 153
Winners: 31
Strike Rate: 20.92%
Starting Bank: £1,000.00
Bank all-time high: £10,263.92
Bank all-time low: £609.37


Current Bank: £7537.15

Next Stake: £226.11

[scaaty]

The poor run continues with only one winner today. I'm going to have a look over the stats, as I don't think the AW bets are working.

Looking back at the beginning of this thread, you had I think 25 bets with just two odds-on winners and the bank had almost halved, then it turned around big style - with a 33/1 winner on the AW ! Obviously you'll know better than I do, I don't know how far back your stats go, but a 2nd and two 3rds on the AW today looks pretty good to me ... as John said earlier you can't win 'em all and you're still well in profit. :)

[wb]

Looking back at the beginning of this thread, you had I think 25 bets with just two odds-on winners and the bank had almost halved, then it turned around big style - with a 33/1 winner on the AW ! Obviously you'll know better than I do, I don't know how far back your stats go, but a 2nd and two 3rds on the AW today looks pretty good to me ... as John said earlier you can't win 'em all and you're still well in profit. :)

Thanks Scaaty. Sometimes you can get caught up in the wins, and it makes you take the losses even harder. I have very detailed records, so I'll do a thorough check.

[wb]

I've had a deep look into this, and while I have had a couple of wins on the AW, it shows a loss overall over the past few hundred bets. Therefore, this thread will remain NH only (I'll be setting up a new bank for the upcoming flat season). Interestingly, chases show a far higher profit than any other type of race, so I may concentrate on them more.

[John]

Yep, well said Scaaty. :)

Also Wayne, it looks like you might have took more of a battering than others on these today because of your price on NICE TRY - the horse was floating around 6.0-6.4 just before the off... if you'd been luckier to have got on closer to the off, I reckon you'd have almost broken even. I got 6.2 on it, and lost only £4.44 today, which was less than today's calculated BB. With a higher price it would have been a break even day almost. Anyway mate, I trust your judgement so will continue to follow these as I am doing. :)

[wb]

No bets for Sunday.

[wb]

Bank: £7537.15
Stakes: £226.11

4.00 Strat - Englishtown - matched at 5.0
4.30 Strat - Iloveturtle - matched at 8.0

[GreenHorn]

Bank: £7537.15
Stakes: £226.11

4.00 Strat - Englishtown - matched at 5.0
4.30 Strat - Iloveturtle - matched at 8.0

Are these two non-runners? Can't seem to see em on betfair?

[GreenHorn]

Sorry, just to clarify: These are in the 3.00 and 3.30 respectively, not the 4.00 and 4.30...

Get your act together Wayne...

[wb]

Get your act together Wayne...

Me???

Change your clocks people!!

http://www.racingpost.co.uk/horses/c...date=2007-3-26

http://www.racingpost.co.uk/horses/c...&data=postdata

[susanwells]

Change your clocks people!!

[mathare]

Sporting Life has them in the 4.00 and 4.30 respectively.

How are people finding them in the wrong cards?

[MattR]

Doo doo doo doo :D

[paul183195]

and i thort it was just me who got the times mixed up

[wb]

What cards are people using that is causing these mix ups?

[GreenHorn]

My clock's fine - I just logged onto betfair and didn't see em in the 4.00 and 4.30 so checked the other races and they were in the 3.00 and 3.30??

The clock on my comp is definitely correct - is it something to do with the fact that they change their clocks at different times stateside? (think they do anyhoo!). Betfair American run, no?

[mathare]

It's all correct in Betfair too here

[scaaty]

You need to have the time set as UK Time in your Betfair profile ( My Account/My Profile/Set Preferred Tiime Zone) - if it's set to GMT it'll be an hour out now.

[Mavrick]

The clock on my comp is definitely correct - is it something to do with the fact that they change their clocks at different times stateside? (think they do anyhoo!). Betfair American run, no?

I think America changed their clocks on the 11th of March. GMT won't change, but the UK will now be on GMT+1. +2 Where I'm at.

[GreenHorn]

Ah, thanks for that.... Sorry Wayne :wink

[wb]

The poor run coninues with another frustrating day. A 2nd and a 4th yesterday.

Bank: £7084.93
Next Stake: £212.58

No bets today.

[wb]

3 for today.

Bank: £7084.93
Stakes: £212.58

2.30 Towc - Hardy Buck - matched at 7.4
3.05 Towc - Hurlers Cross - matched at 4.4
3.35 Towc - Lorient Express - matched at 3.2