Gingertipsters Tips

[gingertipster]

2:50 CHESTER
£12 @ 17/1 Celestial Halo (SP 14/1) 3rd
£2 @ 22/1 Celestial Halo
Combined price 18/1
Loss £14.00

2:40 GOODWOOD
£50 @ 2/1 River Kirov (SP 15/8)
£10 @ 7.6/1 Garvarnie Beau (8/1)
Combined price Evens
Loss £60.00

3:45 GOODWOOD
£33 @ 6.8/1 Royal Premiere (SP 4/1) 1st (Reduction factor 17.3%) Return £218.58
£22 @ 4.6/1 Garrusso (7/2)
Combined price 9/4
Combined stake £55.00
Profit including reduction £163.58

4:20 GOODWOOD
£43 @ 5.2/1 Lacework (SP 7/2) 1st Return £266.60
£27 @ 7.2/1 Nadawat (6/1)
£12 @ 17.5/1 Tarkarama (16/1)
£4 @ 22/1 Colchium 2nd (12/1)
Combined price 13/8
Combined stake £86:00
Profit £180.60

Days Stakes £215.00, Days Return £485.18, Days Profit £217.18
Total Stakes £379.26, Total Return £782.18, Total Profit £402.92
Balance £1402.92

[gingertipster]

2:20 CHESTER
£45 @ 4.8/1 Yazamaan (SP 100/30)
£20 @ 2.85/1 Desert Dew 2nd (2/1)
£11 @ 9.5/1 Monzante (15/2)
£15 @ 4.3/1 Yazamaan
£7 @ 2.4/1 Desert Dew
Combined price 5/6
Loss £98.00

2:50 CHESTER
£60 @ 4.3/1 Ask (SP 5/2) 1st (Reduction factor 27.8%) Return £246.28
£5 @ 13/1 The Whistling Teal (9/1)
£13 @ 5.6/1 Peppertree Lane
Combined price 11/8
Combined stake £78.00
Profit including reduction £168.28

Days Stake £176.00, Days Return £246.28, Days Profit £70.28
Total Stake £555.26, Total Return £1028.46, Total Profit £473.20
Balance £1473.20

[gingertipster]

1:45 ASCOT
£22 @ 13/1 Balkan Knight (SP 10/1) 3rd
£11 @ 11/1 Akarem (7/1)2nd
Combined price 11/2
Loss £33.00

2:40 LINGFIELD
£110 @ 1.98/1 Wake Up Smiling (SP 15/8) 1st Return £327.80
Profit £217.80

3:15 LINGFIELD
£54 @ 5.6/1 Hearthstead Maison (SP 4/1)2nd
£15 @ 4/1 Kid Mambo (9/4)3rd
Combined price 15/8
Loss £69.00

3:45 LINGFIELD
£40 @ 6/1 Brisk Breeze (SP 9/2) 2nd
£20 @ 2.45/1 Sunlight (15/8)
£7 @ 9/1 Gull Wing (7/1)
£2 @ 41/1 Shimona (20/1)
Combined price 4/5
Loss £69.00

Days Stakes £281.00, Days Return £327.80, Days profit £46.80
Total Stakes £836.26, Total Return £1356.26, Total Profit £520.00
Balance £1520.00,
% profit on stakes 62.18%, Strike rate 5/12 41.67%, In first 3 11/12 91.67%
Average price taken between 8/1 and 17/2, Average price per race 5/2
Average priced winner (incl. reduction factors) between 3/1 and 100/30

[gingertipster]

Who changed my sig?

[Win2Win]

Vegy's still suffering from the last time he changed mine, he doesn't know I still deduct 50pts of Rep a week

[gingertipster]

No more bets likely until Wednesday.
Probably put them here Tuesday night.

Ginge

[gingertipster]

1:45 YORK
£20 @10/1 (Ladbrokes) Pevensey (SP 6/1)
£20.00 Loss

2:15 YORK
£45 @ 3.8/1 Treadeagar (SP 11/4)
£15 @ 16/1 Ponty Rossa (10/1) 2nd
£8 @ 41/1 Smokey Oakey (33/1)
£17 @ 5.2/1 Smookh (4/1) 1st Return £105.40
£2 @ 54/1 Gazboola (22/1)
Combined price 11/10
Combined Stake £87.00
£18.40 profit

3:15 YORK
£17 @ 25/1 Moss Vale (SP 25/1)
£30 @ 6/1 (W.Hills) Al Qasi (SP 9/2)
£21 @ 8.6/1 Rising Shadow (SP 8/1)
£6 @ 41/1 Quito (SP 22/1)
£3 @ 28/1 Welsh Emporer (SP 33/1)
Combined price 15/8
£77.00 loss

Days Stakes £184.00, Days Return £105.40, Days Loss £78.60
Total Stakes £1020.26, Total Return £1461.66, Total Profit £441.40
Balance £1441.40

[gingertipster]

Hope I have not got the 3:15 wrong.

Seems little confidence in either Al Qasi or Moss Vale. The formers trainer has a poor record with his older horses but with barely more than half a season to race should be capable of better this time around. Could be champion sprinter material. As could Moss Vale, his trainer actually has a better first time out strike rate than second tme. Had the worst draw 1 of 22 first time out last season though he is the sort physically that may need a run. 29/1 on Betfair still looks massive! Do I go in again?

Better not be too greedy.

Ginge

[gingertipster]

Welcome Milerjohn.

Hope you have a good time on this site.

Don't let the neg rep put you off.

[bigcumba]

Welcome Milerjohn.

Hope you have a good time on this site.

Don't let the neg rep put you off.

He might notice your welcome a bit more if you put in a thread he's likely to read... like the one he posted in

[gingertipster]

2:15 YORK
£25 @ 4.7/1 Topatoo (7/2)(out to over 11/2 now,looks far too big) 1st Return incl. reduction factor £115.59. Went in again to make it the main bet but did not have time to put it up here.
£18 @ 12/1 (Ladbrokes) Portal (8/1)(hopefully will not rain too much for her) 3rd
£24 @ 7/4 (Ladbrokes)Anna Pavlova (4/6) 2nd
Combined price 8/13
Combined stake £67.00
£48.59 profit incl reduction factor

2:45 YORK
£36 @ 6.2/1 Proponent (7/1)
£40 @ 4/1 (Tote) Adagio (5/2)
£4 @ 28/1 Al Shemali 3rd (18/1)
Combined price 7/4
£80.00 Loss

2:55 SALISBURY
£18 @ 7.4/1 Island Odyssy (9/1)(possibly already too wet, out to 9/1)
£18 @ 2.45/1 Lisathedaddy (5/2)
Combined price 11/8
(Half bet until I know the going)
Believe it or not backed Moon Empress at 12/1 on course and made £177 on the race.
£36.00 loss

4:35 SALISBURY
£75 @ 4.4/1 My Love Thomas (4/1)(now down to below 11/4)
£30 @ 5/2 Cha Cha Cha 2nd (7/2)
Combined price 11/10
£105:00 Loss

(Real Days Profit £192.00 minus RF)
Days stakes £288.00, Days Return incl. RF £115.59,Mythical Days Loss £172.41
Total Stakes £1308.26, Total Return £1577.25, Total Profit £268.99
Balance £1268.99

[gingertipster]

He might notice your welcome a bit more if you put in a thread he's likely to read... like the one he posted in

You following me around Bigcumba, I thought you were not interested in what I have to say. Then again you probably need some tips on how to back horses.

[bigcumba]

You following me around Bigcumba, I thought you were not interested in what I have to say. Then again you probably need some tips on how to back horses.

Checking what people are posting is part of my remit as a mod on here Ginge... which means I read your posts whether I'm interested or not. As for your last comment regarding needing tips on how to back horses.... ah you got me sussed now.

[Win2Win]

You following me around Bigcumba, I thought you were not interested in what I have to say. Then again you probably need some tips on how to back horses.

We use Rep as a guide whether to check posts or nor, so we need to verify every letter of your posts

[gingertipster]

So all of you have to look at every post do you?

Can't one do one group of threads, one another?

[mathare]

So all of you have to look at every post do you?

Can't one do one group of threads, one another?

Does it matter how we do what we do?

Not all mods are available at all times so we all tend to check what we can when we can.

Plus there is a league table of bannings that all mods are trying to top :D

[counterfeit]

Any chance of an update on the last couple of days so we can see where your bank is?

[Win2Win]

Any chance of an update on the last couple of days so we can see where your bank is?

Nairobi!!!!

[gingertipster]

2:45 YORK
£52 @ 6.2/1 Munsef (7/2)
£16 @ 10.5/1 Allegretto (13/2)
£5 @ 14/1 Geordieland 2nd (17/2)
£4 @ 23/1 Orcadian (16/1)
Combined price 2/1
£77.00 Loss

3:30 NEWBURY
£32 @ 10.5/1 Adversane (12/1)(Punters natural aversion to 2nd strings and small trainers seems to have forced the price out for Adversane (now 15/1) and Troiatiri (22/1). I make the former only 0.5% less a chance than its stable companion and the latter almost treble the 4.3% 22/1 represents)
£20 @ 8.2/1 Mujahaz (15/2)1st Return £203.20
£18 @ 14.5/1 Troiatiri (8/1)
Can't resist a further
£5 @ 15/1 Adversane
£5 @ 22/1 Troiatiri
£2 @ 8.6/1 Mujahaz (1st)
Combined price 11/4
Combined stakes £82.00
£121.20 Profit

4:40 NEWBURY
£33 @ 6.2/1 Ancient Culture (13/2)
£5 @ 6.8/1 Ancient Culture
£38.00 Loss

Days Stakes £197.00, Days Return £203.20, Days Profit £6.20
Total Stakes £1505.26, Total Return £1780.45, Total Profit £275.19
Balance £1275.19

[gingertipster]

Update on todays bets above

[vegyjones]

If Triolati should be 3 times it's current odds, surely it's a no bet as it doesn't represent value? That's the way I have so far understood things from your persepctive!

[mathare]

If Troiatiri should be 3 times it's current odds, surely it's a no bet as it doesn't represent value? That's the way I have so far understood things from your persepctive!

I think Ginge is saying Triolati has a greater chance of winning than the odds represent. He thinks it should be about 7/1, not 22/1.

[counterfeit]

Nairobi!!!!

[vegyjones]

Ah I get it! :) Cheers Mat! Was worried I had the initerpretation of value all confused for a minute! :D

[gingertipster]

2:10 NEWBURY
£30 @ 7.4/1 Foreign Affairs (14/1)(Ooops ! Gone for a walk, made the wrong choice for the main bet? Possibly not fit for his reapearance) Dull in his coat, not fit.
£3 @ 12/1 Group Captain (8/1)3rd
Combined price 4/1
£33.00 Loss

2:45 NEWBURY
£38 @ 5/1 Ramonti (4/1) 2nd
£13 @ 3.9/1 Jeremy (4/1)
Combined price 7/4
£51.00 Loss

3:15 NEWBURY
£46 @ 6.6/1 Zaham (4/1) 1st Return £349.60
£16 @ 8.4/1 Players Please (7/1)
£11 @ 18/1 Prince Sabaah (12/1)
£3 @ 23/1 Soft Morning (16/1)
£4 @ 26/1 Duke Of Tuscany (20/1) 2nd
Combined price 7/4
Combined stakes £80.00
£269.60 Profit

5:25 NEWBURY
£38 @ 5.4/1 Cape Hawk (3/1) 2nd
£38.00 Loss

Days Stakes £202.00, Days Return £349.60, Days Profit £147.60
Total Stakes £1707.26, Total Return £2130.05, Total Profit £422.79
Balance £1422.79
% profit on stakes 24.76%, Strike Rate 36%, In First Three 84%.
Average price taken Between 8/1 and 15/2, Avg price per race Between 85/40 and 9/4
Average priced winner incl. reduction factors 4/1.

[gingertipster]

Update above.
Even better day in real money. Backed Zaaid 4/1, stood out in the paddock.

Probably will not be any more bets until Goodwood, unless I decide to go to Bath.

[Win2Win]

.....unless I decide to go to Bath.

Was wondering what the smell was in the forum

[gingertipster]

8th Day, May 24th

2:00 GOODWOOD
£20 @ 8.5/1 Aegean Prince (9/2)
£4 @ 31/1 Eger Igor (20/1) 3rd
£3 @ 13/1 Al Khaleej (12/1) 2nd
£21 @ 10/1 Shot Gun (10/1)
2 @ 14/1 Al Khaleej
Combined Price 5/2
£50 Loss

2:35 GOODWOOD
£15 @ 8.4/1 Man Of Vision Non Runner
£7 @ 8.2/1 Man Of Vision
£3 @ 18/1 Broghill (10/1) 3rd
£3 Loss

3:10 GOODWOOD
£38 @ 6.2/1 So Sweet (6/1)
£6 @ 12/1 Cosmodrome (10/1) 1st Return £78.00
£3 @ 17/1 Les Fazzani (7/1)
£3 @ 7.8/1 So Sweet
Combined Price 11/4
Combined Stake £50
£28 Profit

5:30 GOODWOOD
£80 @ 2.4/1 Genari (5/2) (Did get some 2.7/1 but as it is no longer available thought it would not be right to put it up, same with Aegean Dream 2:00 some 10/1)
£7 @ 19/1 Bee Stinger (20/1) 3rd
£10 @ 9.5/1 Neardown Beauty (11/2)
£3 @ 27/1 Bee Stinger
£5 @ 54/1 Lopinot (16/1)
Combined Price 6/5
£105 Loss

Quite a few outsiders seem to be value so would not be surprised if I had my first winnerless day.

Days Stakes £208.00 Days Return £78.00 Days Loss £130.00
Total Stakes £1915.26 Total Returns £2208.05 Total Profit £292.79
Balance £1292.79

[gingertipster]

More Bets above

[gingertipster]

9th Day May 25th

2:00 GOODWOOD
£23 @ 12/1 Landucci (12/1)
£26 @ 4.9/1 Blue Java (4/1) 2nd
£15 @ 3.7/1 The Cayterers (9/2)
£5 @ 14/1 Raza Cab (10/1) (May be best to wait to back Raza as unfashionable connections mean possibly better later or on tote)
Combined Price 10/11
£69 Loss

2:35 GOODWOOD
£45 @ 4.3/1 Illustrious Blue (11/4) 1st Return £238.50
£11 @ 5.2/1 Hard Top (11/2)
£8 @ 7.6/1 Championship Point (5/1) (missed putting himin last night at over 10/1)
Combined Price 11/10
Combined Stake £64
£174.50 Profit

3:45 GOODWOOD
£27 @ 11/1 Aajel (10/1) 3rd
£23 @ 14/1 Venerable (12/1)
£25 @ 26/1 Sunbach (10/1)
(Also did Mafeking 25/1 (11/1) but price has now gone)
Combined Price 9/2
£75 Loss

Days Stakes £208 Days Return £238.50 Days Profit £30.50
Total Stakes £2123.26 Total Returns £2446.55 Total Profit £323.29
Balance £1323.29