mathare's False Favs

[mathare]

Five horses selected and five losers - too easy. A profit of 4.75pts today

126 from 149 (84.56%)
UP 43.97pts

[counterfeit]

Do you want a kiss of death?

I was thinking of puuting money on these

[Street cry]

me too start backing em Mat ha ha ha ha

[mathare]

I would neither discourage or encourage anyone to back or lay any of the horses I tip but I will say that I have started laying these with real cash so I am confident enough in them to have a small interest at this stage

[mathare]

Wednesday 2nd September
2.20 Lingfield Deuce
2.40 Hereford World Time
2.50 Lingfield Champagne Style
3.00 Brighton Berbice
3.10 Hereford King High
4.10 Hereford Benefit Game
4.30 Brighton Fong's Alibi

[barrelmaniac]

Ive got to say that I this system could go far, I like the idea of laying favorites. I came up with a similar system idea myself but a lack of data stopped me from trying it out, also I'm more of a backer rather than a layer, but it certainly looks like this system is pretty likely to do well so all all the best and I shall be following its progress closely like many other people on here.

[mathare]

Cheers BM. This is perhaps the most successful system I have ever come up with already, and is such a simple idea I am amazed it works. But it seems to so I am not arguing :)

[counterfeit]

nice job getting Champagne Style turned over - love it when an odds on loses

[barrelmaniac]

I hope your wrong about benefit game though- I have to say that it makes me a bit nervous when I end up backing on one of your lay selections


In all honesty looking at the whole field in that race, there is no way that I think benefit game has good value for backing, my system says back it so it shall be backed but I have to admit I think It certainly deserves to be in your false favs.

[mathare]

A winner at 3/1 and 6 losers (including Benefit Game) gives us a profit of 2.4pts today

Overall
132 from 156 (84.62%)
UP 46.37pts

[mathare]

Thursday 3rd September
2.00 Redcar Suzi's A Smartlady
2.30 Redcar Amno Dancer
3.25 Epsom Midnight Fantasy
4.25 Salisbury Enact
4.35 Epsom Sounds Of Jupiter
5.20 Redcar Finsbury
5.35 Salisbury Covert Ambition

[mathare]

One non-runner (Sounds of Jupiter) and the rest lost but Finsbury went off at 20/1 so it would be remiss of me to include that one in the stats so I will eliminate that one from the accounts. Even so that's a profit of 4.75pts on the day

Overall
137 from 161 (85.09%)
UP 51.12pts

[mathare]

Friday 4th September
3.20 Lingfield Roodee King
5.10 Chepstow Connor's Choice
5.50 Lingfield Excelling

[mathare]

3 more losers, up a further 2.85pts

Overall
140 from 164 (85.37%)
UP 53.97pts

[mathare]

Saturday 5th September
2.40 Kempton All The Aces
2.55 Haydock Kings Destiny
3.10 Kempton Musleh
3.30 Haydock High Standing
3.40 Thirsk Rangefinder
4.05 Haydock Kaptain Kirkup
4.20 Kempton Dhaawiah
4.50 Kempton Harlestone Snake
5.25 Kempton Balnagore

There are a few of those that I think have real chances of winning today but the system says they are qualifying lays so who am I to argue?

[barrelmaniac]

Its still looking good, keep up the good work!

Going well so far today- clean sheet for you so far today. I also have an interest in Dhaawiah losing so lets hope you are right on that one too!

[mathare]

Rangefinder the only winner at 7/2 so up 3.75pts today

Overall
148 from 173 (85.55%)
UP 57.72pts

[mathare]

Sunday 6th September
2.00 York William Morgan
3.35 Worcester Baddam
4.40 Worcester Koh Samui
4.50 York Without Prejudice
5.20 York Applaude
5.20 York Dechiper
5.20 York Stateside
5.40 Worcester Dee Cee Elle

It's unusual to get several in the same race but that's what we have today at York. Be interesting to see what happens there

[mathare]

Terrible day :( I'm ignoring the 5.20 as despite forecast odds of 6/1 they all went off much longer so even though they lost am I discounting them. Unfortunately that leaves us with three winners on the day, at 15/8, 4/6 and 6/1. Like I said, terrible day - down 7.50pts

150 from 178 (84.27%)
UP 50.22pts

[mathare]

Monday 7th September
2.40 Bath Fantastic Strike
3.10 Bath Red Rossini
3.10 Bath Theta Wave
3.30 Newcastle Society Music
4.20 Folkestone Ordoney
4.50 Folkestone Cluny
5.10 Bath Arab League

[mathare]

Ordoney @ 2/1 and Arab League @ 5/4 the winners today with everything else losing as desired. A profit of 1.18pts today

Overall
155 from 185 (83.78%)
UP 51.39pts

[mathare]

Tuesday 8th September
2.00 Goodwood Sky Quest
3.10 Goodwood Cool Valentine
3.45 Goodwood Mon Cadeaux
3.55 Lingfield Guiseppe Verdi
5.30 Goodwood Satwa Laird

[mathare]

Clean sheet, up 4.75pts

Overall
160 from 190 (84.21%)
UP 56.14pts

[barrelmaniac]

[mathare]

Wednesday 9th September
4.05 Uttoxeter Rajeh
5.10 Uttoxeter Willies Way
5.25 Doncaster Invincible Lad
5.40 Uttoxeter Knock Em Dead

This is probably the last lot for a while as I go on holiday tomorrow for 10 days

[mathare]

Down exactly 1 point today with Rajeh winning at 7/2 and the rest losing.

The bank is is good nick going in to the break then. Expect to see these back again on 21st September

Overall
163 from 194 (84.02%)
UP 55.14pts

[buddhabee]

Enjoy your holiday Mat

[mathare]

Tuesday 22nd September
2.00 Beverley Tropical Bachelor
2.30 Beverley Nuit Sombre
3.00 Beverley Dorback
3.20 Folkestone Maswerte
3.50 Folkestone Lady Pilot
5.00 Beverley Chichen Daawe
5.30 Beverley Tropical Duke

[mathare]

A winner at 7/1 in the last puts a dampener on proceedings and leaves us 2pts down on the day. It's especially annoying as it was too big a price when I put my lays on so I missed it. OK, that's good in a way as I didn't lose any real money on it but also annoying that it then shortened and won to bring these stats down a bit.

Overall
169 from 201 (84.08%)
UP 53.14pts

[Beaky]

I can't see that it's been covered before so can I ask what's the maximum odds you are prepared to lay any of these at please?