mathare's False Favs

[mathare]

Sunday 1st November
1.30 Carlisle Lucky Pearl
2.20 Huntingdon Sadler's Star
2.55 Huntingdon Huguenot
3.30 Huntingdon Barnhill Brownie
3.50 Carlisle Heavenly Chorus

[mathare]

Another clean sheet . OK, there was a NR but the remainder all lost. Up 3.80pts whichever prices you use

Stats
377 from 460 (81.96%)
SP+10: 93.82pts
BSP: 64.87pts

[mathare]

Monday 2nd November
12.40 Plumpton What Luck
1.55 Kempton Ouragan Lagrange
2.30 Kempton Bouggler
3.50 Wolverhampton Kazbow
4.00 Plumpton Crystal Prince

[mathare]

Ouragan Lagrange went off at 10/1 (16.50 BSP) so too big for us to count but it was a clean sheet with everything losing so up another 3.80pts today

Stats
381 from 464 (82.11%)
SP+10: 97.62pts
BSP: 68.67pts

[mathare]

Tuesday 3rd November
2.40 Catterick Absa Lutte
3.00 Exeter Oh Crick
3.10 Catterick Lordship
3.30 Exeter Sunnyhillboy
3.40 Catterick Time Book
4.00 Exeter Supreme Keano
4.30 Exeter Clyffe Hanger

[mathare]

Another clean sheet extends the winning run to 17 consecutive lays and sees a daily profit of 6.65pts :D

Stats
388 from 471 (82.38%)
SP+10: 104.27pts
BSP: 75.32pts

[mathare]

Wednesday 4th November
12.10 Nottingham First Swallow
12.40 Nottingham Boogie Waltzer
1.00 Chepstow Song Sung Blue
1.20 Warwick More Like It
2.15 Nottingham Alexandros
2.40 Chepstow Gabreselassie
2.40 Chepstow Prince Noora
3.15 Chepstow Silver Spinner
3.40 Warwick Fourpointone
3.50 Chepstow Rouge Et Blanc

[mathare]

Boogie Waltzer went off at 16/1 (26.56 BSP) so won't be counted in the stats. First Swallow had an SP of 17/2 but a BSP of 11.5 so isn't included in the Betfair profit figures. Only one winner though, at 6/5 (2.18 BSP) so a profit of 6.28pts to SP+10% or 5.47pts to BSP.

Stats
396 from 480 (82.50%)
SP+10: 110.55pts
BSP: 80.79pts

I hope some of you are getting on these as they are on fire at the minute and making me good money!

[mathare]

Thursday 5th November
12.50 Haydock Solway Minstrel
1.10 Lingfield Location
1.30 Towcester Wasntme
1.55 Haydock Fresh Air And Fun
2.20 Lingfield Hightime Heroine
2.40 Towcester Wolf Moon
3.05 Haydock Hector's Choice
4.00 Lingfield Benozzo Gozzoli

[Mattw07]

I Havent followed this everyday, will be from now on.

So far ive had 118 Selections, 101 Winning, SR 85.59%

Average Odds of 5.26

1pt Level Stakes Profit - £36.34


Brilliant Work Mat

[mathare]

Your SR is much higher than expected. The overall is 82.50% and I'm showing 80.88% for the bets I have placed. That's 275 winning bets from 340, up 55.21pts while I have been following them with an overlay of 13.13%.

Glad it's working out for you Matt

[Street cry]

Good stuff guys, i haven't forgottwn about your stuff Matt but you have to manually go through excel line by line and correct certain data as it imports in to excel incorrectly

[mathare]

Good stuff guys, i haven't forgottwn about your stuff Matt but you have to manually go through excel line by line and correct certain data as it imports in to excel incorrectly

A few lines of VBA will probably sort that out :wink

[Mattw07]

The strike rates jumped above the 86% mark after another good day! I missed the last 2 weeks of october, think thats why my S/R is higher.

Cheers SC, theres no rush with it.

[Iron Chris]

Still going great Mat...

My own little system is still going nicley, I have been selecting one or two each day from the list of qualifiers and from a £200 bank and 1% staking I have made £25 profit in the first month. Like yours the whole list of selections have been going down recently as well so I will have to keep an eye on that when there have been more selections. There has been 19 out of 19 losers in the last two days, although two of them went off at 10/1 & 16/1 so wouldn't have counted.

I think I will have to bite the bullet and start putting the selections up to try and provide you with some competition...:wink

[mathare]

A non-runner yesterday plus a big bunch of losing horses - just what the doctor ordered! Location went off at 8/1 SP but 12.81 BSP so is not included in the Betfair profit figure which means a profit of 6.65pts to SP+10% yesterday but only 5.70pts to BSP. Personally I got on Location at 11.0 on Betdaq so for a while at least it was in the right price bracket.

Stats
403 from 487 (82.75%)
SP+10: 117.20pts
BSP: 86.49pts

[mathare]

Friday 6th November
1.20 Hexham Chapel Flowers
1.40 Fontwell Parlesotho
1.50 Hexham Etoile d'Or
2.10 Fontwell Rare Article
2.20 Hexham Double Default
3.50 Hexham Bright Sparky

[mathare]

Two non-runners (Chapel Flowers and Rare Article) plus a winner in Etoile d'Or (7/4 SP, 2.84 BSP) but we can't have everything our own way all the time can we? The others lost though to leave us with a profit of 1.01pts to BSP and 0.93pts to SP+10%

Stats
406 from 491 (82.69%)
SP+10: 118.13pts
BSP: 87.50pts

[mathare]

Saturday 7th November
11.55 Doncaster Aspro Mavro
11.55 Doncaster Jordaura
12.30 Sandown Blue Express
1.15 Wincanton Now Listen To Me
1.45 Wincanton Pepite De Soleil
2.40 Doncaster Sir Gerry
3.15 Doncaster Baila Me
3.20 Sandown Nagam
3.25 Wincanton Carruthers
3.45 Doncaster One Way Or Another

[mathare]

Jordaura won at 7/1 (9.35 BSP) and Baila Me went off at 10/1 SP (12.5 BSP) so isn't included in the stats. Sir Gerry's SP of 17/2 means it counts for the SP+10% stats but the BSP was 12.13 so is not included in the Betfair SP profit figures. All this means a losing day whichever prices we use but it could have been much worse.

Stats
415 from 501 (82.83%)
SP+10: 118.03pts
BSP: 84.85pts

Still not looking too bad for my stretch target of 100pts to BSP by the end of the year though

[Street cry]

Yep Very good stuff Mat even 20 points ayear would make it worthy of inclusion in your portfolio

[mathare]

Yep Very good stuff Mat even 20 points ayear would make it worthy of inclusion in your portfolio

Absolutely, and it's averaging closer to 20 points a month at the minute so it's going much better than I expected

[mathare]

Sunday 8th November
1.00 Hereford Sir Bumble
1.40 Ffos Las Next Week
2.45 Ffos Las Dev
3.15 Ffos Las Factotum
3.50 Ffos Las Foxesbow
3.50 Ffos Las Rio Laine

[mathare]

Next Week was a non-runner. Factotum won at 9/4 (3.85 BSP) but the others all lost giving us a profit of 1.33pts to SP+10% and 0.95pts to BSP

Stats
419 from 506 (82.81%)
SP+10: 119.35pts
BSP: 85.80pts

[mathare]

Monday 9th November
12.40 Southwell Sarobar
1.10 Southwell Silver Steel
1.20 Carlisle Reindeer Dippin
1.45 Southwell Qulinton
2.35 Wolverhampton Order Order
2.55 Carlisle Mister Potter
3.30 Carlisle Nelliedonethat
4.00 Carlisle Sir Kezbaah
4.10 Wolverhampton La Gifted
4.40 Wolverhampton Alqaahir

[barrelmaniac]

when doing my selections, I noticed that La gifted and Alqaahir are probably extremely poor value for backing, so even though they have a chance of winning I think they are very good value lays, so hopefully they will come good for you.

[mathare]

Winners in Qulinton and Order Order plus one at too big a price in Mister Potter (10/1, 11.50) but despite that the others losing means a profit of 3.06pts to BSP and 2.80pts to SP+10%

Stats
426 from 515 (82.72%)
SP+10: 122.15pts
BSP: 88.86pts

[mathare]

Tuesday 10th November
1.40 Exeter Kahsabelle
2.00 Lingfield Divy
2.10 Exeter High Carol
3.40 Exeter Fighting Chance

[mathare]

Fighting Chance a winner at 5/2 (3.7 BSP) but the rest lost. However, High Carol has a BSP of 12.5 so isn't counted in the Betfair stats so it's a loss of 0.80pts to BSP but a profit of 0.10pts to SP+10%

Stats
429 from 519 (82.66%)
SP+10: 122.25pts
BSP: 88.06pts

[mathare]

Wednesday 11th November
1.50 Warwick Play On Words
2.10 Bangor Skippers Brig
2.20 Warwick Recif De Thaix
4.00 Southwell Premier Lad