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Thread: bf last time out

  1. #1

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    bf last time out

    a few years ago i was trying out a system for bf last time out running in the same or lower class races but then life took over and i never finished the study any stats would be gratefully recieved as ive just started to revive it.

    I have an impressive bank of knowledge and experience. Unfortunately, I've lost the combination to this bank.


  2. #2

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    Based on data for beaten Favs LTO you would have made a big loss backing or laying, even taking class into account. However if you split it into race types you get a different picture:

    Classification Runners Winners Win S/R P/L Betfair ROI Betfair P/L to SP ROI to SP Lay P/L BF Lay ROI BF LWR LLR
    Amateur 295.00 44.00 14.92 -8.79 -2.98 -35.19 -11.93 -13.11 -4.44 3 29
    Apprentice 573.00 96.00 16.75 -4.34 -0.76 -62.07 -10.83 -37.41 -6.53 2 23
    Auction 568.00 165.00 29.05 -2.30 -0.41 -48.41 -8.52 -35.14 -6.19 5 13
    Chase 4047.00 736.00 18.19 -392.84 -9.71 -748.83 -18.50 117.69 2.91 4 31
    Claiming 439.00 100.00 22.78 -29.05 -6.62 -60.40 -13.76 -0.78 -0.18 3 20
    Classified 198.00 48.00 24.24 6.15 3.11 -7.94 -4.01 -19.26 -9.73 3 23
    Conditional Jockeys 365.00 60.00 16.44 9.12 2.50 -28.73 -7.87 -36.33 -9.95 3 22
    Conditions 160.00 33.00 20.63 48.69 30.43 -12.87 -8.05 -63.59 -39.75 3 17
    EBF 118.00 21.00 17.80 -44.63 -37.82 -49.02 -41.54 38.27 32.44 3 14
    Fillies 1412.00 291.00 20.61 246.23 17.44 -16.89 -1.20 -360.38 -25.52 3 24
    Grade 1 231.00 25.00 10.82 117.68 50.94 -36.97 -16.00 -143.21 -62.00 2 30
    Grade 2 246.00 37.00 15.04 -65.49 -26.62 -92.63 -37.65 49.70 20.20 2 17
    Grade 3 228.00 21.00 9.21 12.10 5.31 -55.42 -24.31 -31.11 -13.65 2 18
    Group 1 180.00 18.00 10.00 -37.75 -20.97 -53.30 -29.61 25.16 13.98 2 28
    Group 2 164.00 23.00 14.02 24.54 14.97 -2.90 -1.77 -38.16 -23.27 2 26
    Group 3 278.00 45.00 16.19 85.95 30.92 -4.58 -1.65 -112.13 -40.33 4 21
    Handicap 16530.00 2346.00 14.19 -1201.79 -7.27 -3008.21 -18.20 -25.38 -0.15 4 44
    Hunters Chase 176.00 31.00 17.61 36.74 20.87 -11.97 -6.80 -51.63 -29.34 2 21
    Hurdle 5570.00 934.00 16.77 -40.45 -0.73 -981.22 -17.62 -379.71 -6.82 6 44
    Juvenile 218.00 36.00 16.51 45.14 20.70 1.58 0.72 -64.68 -29.67 2 15
    Listed 635.00 101.00 15.91 108.78 17.13 -21.91 -3.45 -163.10 -25.68 2 30
    Maiden 3621.00 956.00 26.40 37.07 1.02 -384.56 -10.62 -276.81 -7.64 4 27
    Mares 482.00 89.00 18.46 25.59 5.31 -62.08 -12.88 -63.25 -13.12 2 21
    Median 410.00 123.00 30.00 -3.26 -0.80 -37.40 -9.12 -23.02 -5.61 5 15
    NHF 357.00 62.00 17.37 -9.11 -2.55 -88.24 -24.72 -18.53 -5.19 3 22
    Novice 2316.00 477.00 20.60 23.56 1.02 -301.80 -13.03 -192.02 -8.29 4 23
    Nursery 524.00 62.00 11.83 -66.86 -12.76 -125.81 -24.01 26.97 5.15 2 27
    Rated Stakes 21.00 5.00 23.81 5.04 24.00 3.75 17.86 -6.23 -29.66 2 7
    Selling 444.00 107.00 24.10 19.38 4.37 -22.13 -4.99 -51.30 -11.55 3 16

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  3. #3

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    I forgot to mention, these results already have the 5% commission deducted.

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  4. #4

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    thanks very much keith for the info

    I have an impressive bank of knowledge and experience. Unfortunately, I've lost the combination to this bank.


  5. #5

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    I did spend time adding nice colors on the spreadsheet but the cut'n'paste made them all black again

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  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by Win2Win View Post
    I did spend time adding nice colors on the spreadsheet but the cut'n'paste made them all black again
    No matter, it copy n pastes into a spreadsheet alright - shame there's not more of a breakdown in race type tho.

    PS: GS can now be followed on Twitter as @themastarata


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