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Thread: Newbie lays the favourites!

  1. #1

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    Newbie lays the favourites!

    Here goes nothing... ;)

    No horse over 5.0 will be layed.

    The payout (including backers stake) on each lay will be 5% of the bank.

    Betfairs 5% commission will be taken from net profits.

    All prices will be taken from Betfair when I post.

    And so it begins....

    2:40 ... Ling ... Broughtons Revival ...4.9 @ £10.20
    4:10 ... Ling ... Padlocked ... 3.7 @ £13.51
    4:20 ... Bev ... Guiseppe Verdi ... 3.6 @ £13.88

    I hope I don't end up on the wall of shame!



  2. #2

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    2:40 ... Ling ... Broughtons Revival ...4.9 @ £10.20 Non-Runner
    4:10 ... Ling ... Padlocked ... 3.7 @ £13.51 Win :(
    4:20 ... Bev ... Guiseppe Verdi ... 3.6 @ £13.88 Win :(

    A very bad day, think I'm going to have to review my selection process... :splapme


    Stats:
    No. of bets: 3
    Unsuccessful bets: 2
    Strike rate: 0%
    Current Bank: £927.63



  3. #3

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    I think we've found a new backing system :D

    Actually, I hope it goes well for you. There's always room for a good Layer.

    I've never understood the attraction of bestiality but looking back over my life it does appear as though I married a cow, lived with a moose, been out with at least 5 dogs and spent a lot of time being chased by whales.


  4. #4

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    Lol, fair comment given the results.

    If you wanted to make a backing system out of my last selection then it would be

    "if a favourite has won on an all weather track and is racing on turf for the first time then back it."

    I thought going from all weather to turf for the first time would be a bad thing, apparently not. Still... lesson learned for next time. :)



  5. #5

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    Hmm, my last post in this thread hasn't been approved yet, if I did something wrong can the admin let me know please? Thanks :)

    These are my selections for tomorrow, I'll add the price I get 30m before the off. If I can't get less than 5.0 on ink spot I might have to change that rule because I'm confident that horse is not going win. I could be taking a big chance on Baffled but I think the odds are way too short on it.

    2:10 ... Ling ... Baffled
    2:20 ... Ayr ... Ink Spot



  6. #6

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    Don't change nothing einherjar and everbody else can back your lays to win.:D


    You win the first one you win no more.:splapme G'd luck



  7. #7

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    Going from the AW to turf these days is a big bonus, as most trainers train on the same AW track at home.

    FREE Live Odds Comparison Software

    Keith Driscoll - Administrator
    Managing Director, Win2Win Limited



    Filipino UK Filipino Forum | Win2Win Racing - Free Tips


  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by einherjar View Post
    Hmm, my last post in this thread hasn't been approved yet, if I did something wrong can the admin let me know please? Thanks :)
    As a newbie, the software picks up on certain keywords that spammers use. It's just a protection for the folk on here. Most are apporved, but folk on here no longer see all the spam we get.

    FREE Live Odds Comparison Software

    Keith Driscoll - Administrator
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    Filipino UK Filipino Forum | Win2Win Racing - Free Tips


  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by Win2Win View Post
    Going from the AW to turf these days is a big bonus, as most trainers train on the same AW track at home.
    Ahh, now I see why my selections weren't too clever!

    Thank you for the info, this is one of the reasons I joined this forum.

    What about going from turf to AW? Is that still a disadvantage or do the training methods mean the horse is usually happy on both surfaces by the time it starts racing?



  10. #10

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    Ok, lets see if I can improve on yesterdays atrocity!

    2:10 ... Ling ... Baffled 2.3 @ £20.15 :(
    2:20 ... Ayr ... Ink Spot 7.6 @ £6.10 :)

    Baffled is a bit of a risk but I still think there's too much confidence placed in this untested nag. Ink Spot is a total no-hoper which is why I've broken my <5.0 rule.

    Very, very close on Baffled, took a photo finish to decide it.

    Ink Spot came 2nd? I don't get that. Did I make a mistake when analysing the form? Did anyone else look at this horse and think it had a hope in hell of getting placed?

    An improvement on yesterday, but still an overall loss. :(


    Stats:
    No. of bets: 4
    Unsuccessful bets: 3
    Strike rate: 25&#37;
    Current Bank: &#163;907.54



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