Merlin Footy Bets (Thread 2)

[Merlin]

Better start a new thread I think…with the other gone to 6 pages…


For Wednesday footy bet, I am gonna stay in Wales, and go non-league , to boot...

Newport County host Maidenhead – and this ought to be a home win for the Exiles…

Newport are expecting a good goal tally this year with a decent looking attacking line-up. They have a newish defence set-up, including the keeper…and they did well to hold Bishops Stortford (away) to a bore-draw last weekend.

Meanwhile, Maidenhead lost 1-0 at home to Fisher, albeit losing in the 89th minute…the reports suggest there was sloppy defending throughout and their manager typified it by calling them ¨Sunday Morning Defenders¨…

They wont relish crossing the Severn Bridge Wednesday night – that’s for sure – and to make it worse they have to pay the bridge toll on the way in…..

Just quickly…..They have 5 head-to-heads…

NEWPORT WON 4 OF THEM (3 AT HOME AND 1 AWAY)
1 DRAW AT MAIDENHEAD

1.83 is widely available, and everything looks set for a NEWPORT WIN…

NEWPORT COUNTY V MAIDENHEAD

HOME WIN @ 1.83

5 POINTS
..............................................

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 32.74 Points

[Merlin]

Probably another bet for Wednesday evening…..in the Brazilian League…but I will wait on reading the papers in the morning……..will be Midnight + kick-off time..UK time…

[Skittle]

Fair bit of diversity there Merlin. I was thinking of keeping it simple and going for Man City @ 1.64 ish.

Thought I might have been in for 5 points when Raith went to extra time with 10 men but it wasn't to be.

[Merlin]

I looked at that Man City game...and thought it could be a draw..but passed it over, as I did with the Premier games Wednesday - they look tricky to me..........

Good luck, Man City may win...but 1.64 is short to my mind....Derby are no pushovers, they are hard to beat..and I do fancy them to stay in the Premiership...

Unlucky with the Raith prediction...see the other * Merlin* had full points......think I get 2 points for the away goal scored....

[monty]

The Man City price is far to short for me as well. I think the club and fans have high expectations this season, but you can never underestimate the new boys? They will always want to prove themselves to everyone just to show they are worthy of being in the Premiership.

The early kick off between Spartak Moscow v’s Celtic appeals to me more. I think Celtic will find this a very hard match, and they will be lucky to come away with anything from this game. Celtic has had a great record at home while playing in Europe, but their away form has been dire.

I’ve not had a Monty bet for a while so here one today

Spartak Moscow to win (1.94) @ Betfair

[Merlin]

WAHOO...WE GOT A monty bet...

see other thread...

[Mug OUFC]

Never trust man city

[Skittle]

With the Rangers game last night, I was feeling more and more confident about it as kick off drew nearer and so it proved, albeit only just. With the Man City game I have the opposite feeling and I will be passing on that game now.

[Merlin]

….hope we talked you of a losing bet…S..

[Skittle]

It was certainly part of my thinking, ta.

Just layed Toulouse @ 5.8.

[Merlin]

[QUOTE=Merlin;431946]
NEWPORT COUNTY V MAIDENHEAD

HOME WIN @ 1.83

Half-time

1-1

[Merlin]

BET LOST.....
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 FT att - 1159
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 HT
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 Williams 42
Newport 1 Maidenhead 0 Bowen 28
....................................................

………………………………………………

BET TONIGHT IN BRAZILIAN SERIE A

BOTAFOGO V CORINTHIANS

HOME WIN @ 1.70

4 POINTS

[Merlin]

This game kicks-off in 45 minutes....its been tanked a bit on Betfiar...and is now into 1.58 – 1.60……ish….

The best fixed odds bookie is STAN JAMES @ 1.62…….

Fingers crossed…

[Merlin]

Losing bet...

FINAL SOCRE

BOTAFOGO 2 – 3 CORINTHIANS....

Doh.......at 8.30pm last night we had a thunderstorm which knocked out our electricity supply….everything was restored within an hour – bar the internet connection……..it has now come....22 hours later…..

I now have tons to catch up on (as all my income is gained either directly or indirectly… one way or another on-line)…

I just see I missed out on a winning footy bet tonight….as I mentioned on another thread the other day , I was planning to bet Cambridge @ 2.80….they beat Oxford 2-1…..(sorry Caged…)……..that would have been a 6 point bet – and recovered yesterdays losses……

I guess I am pissed off right now…..

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 23.74 Points
...................
(*5)............

[Merlin]

The Emerald Isle is gonna host my Friday Footy Betting – and I will need a good dose of Irish good fortune to come away a winner, to boot. (you will see why when you see my bets )

However, it is the 3rd round of the FAI Cup and I am hoping for at least 1 prima facie shock.

I will be having 3 bets – here they are:

Bray v St Patricks

Along with Cork City , St Pats are one of my favourite teams in Ireland, and for a while they led the premier division. Not sure whats happened to them… (there are rumours of player unease – what the issue are… I don’t know) .

They are clearly on a downward curve at the mo…Not only have they lost their title aspirations, but got stuffed in a European game too…….Mind you, Bray are not the most consistent of teams – but they have a couple of players coming back, most notably; Colm Tresson – and @ 5/2 are worth a tickle…
......................................................................................................................................

Limerick 37 v Douglas Hall

This tie is First Division v non-league……and naturally the league side; Limerick are favourites, and home , too.

But they play DOUGLAS HALL who are one of , if not the biggest non-league side in Cork, and they have a good tradition of doing well in this Cup. In actual fact , in the last round they beat a very good Cobh Ramblers side (Cobh are top of the 1st Divsion, currently).

7/1 is available, but when Betfair wakes up Friday afternoon, they may go to twice that…..
.........................................................................................................................................................

Cork v Kilkenny

The last game with a very small interest is the Cork v Kilkenny game.

Now Kilkenny are the whipping boys of Irish league soccer, they have only won 3 games all season (from 24) and are not surprisingly propping up the 1st Division.

However, even though Cork should win this game standing on their heads…..@ 1/5 is a no.no.no.no.no.no.no. Bet….

Since losing Roy O’Donovan , Cork have really struggled to score goals….and they could easily get done with a solitary goal here….

Last time out, Kilkenny beat Limerick 2-0 , and this may have put the fire in their belly…
............................................................................................................................................

BETS
……..

Bray v St Patricks
HOME WIN @ 5/2 = 4 POINTS

Limerick 37 v Douglas Hall
AWAY WIN @ 7/1 = 1 POINTS
............................................
Cork v Kilkenny
AWAY WIN @ 11/1 = 1 POINT

PLEASE NOTE - THERE IS A BET CHANGE HERE.....I WILL BE LAYING CORK (around 1.28) FOR 1 POINT and NOT betting Kilkenny...
..........................................

6 POINTS STAKED

PS: Will wait for Betfair to get a bigger price on DOUGLAS HALL…

Good Luck if you play…

[Skittle]

Sounds like the thunderstorm might have got to you with bets like those. Not your usual style is it ?

[Merlin]

I do think BRAY will win…S…..

Of course the other 2 are hoping for shocks…but they do have a squeak…..

CORK have been beaten at odds-on a few time already this summer……(I know, it cost me once)……and as I said about Douglas Hall…they are non-league Cup specialists…..well kind of…

Don’t think its much to risk…the possible returns are good…it’s a long season…and if I aint in front come March…I will drive your Hackney for you ……nude ….

[Merlin]

Actually...Skittle.....your comment made me re-examine these bets....I am going to change my mind on one of them...

So instead of BETTING 1 POINT on KILKENNY...I will lay CORK to 1 Point....hopefully at around 1.28 ish.....

[Skittle]

I hope you are in front come March..................I'm looking out of the window now, and my poor cab is shaking at the thought. Scared to go to bed now, I can feel a nightmare coming on.

[Merlin]

[Merlin]

OK..

Got BRAY @ 4.00
DOUGLAS HALL @ 7.00
LAYED CORK @ 1.25

[Merlin]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
..........................................

Raith v Alloa
Home win @ 1.50
8 POINTS

Leeds V Southend
Home win @ 1.89
4 POINTS

[monty]

Hi Merlin

I think Raith Rovers will win as well, but I'm not going to be touching it. In the past I've posted previews when Alloa Athletic are one of the teams involved. I never seem to have much luck in any of my bets when this team is included. I also had a big loss in this same fixture last year which ended 0-0, but best of luck mate, I hope you have better luck than I did.

[Merlin]

Glad you fancy them , too...mate....they have started will....hope history doesnt repeat itslf though...

[paul183195]

gotta ask ya merlin.....dont you ever sleep :). i was on here early this morning about 5.30 and there you was

[Merlin]

Most of my working life is online.....and I work from home…essentially………..

[Mug OUFC]

I suspect "work" is a strong word in this context :D :wink

[mathare]

I suspect "work" is a strong word in this context :D :wink

I bet most things Merlin does involving the internet are four-letter words beginning with 'w' and ending in 'k' though :wink

[paul183195]