Ok here we go again, I wouldn't encourage anyone to risk their money on these bets, For the time being it will be only paper bets for me.
START BANK £1000
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Ok here we go again, I wouldn't encourage anyone to risk their money on these bets, For the time being it will be only paper bets for me.
START BANK £1000
16th Feb 2011
15.40 Leicester Randjo betfair 3.3 £10 -£10
15.50 Muss Dontpaytheferryman LAY 3.4 betfair £10 (non runner reduction factor 12% new odds approx 3.16) -£21.50
14.10 Leicester Pacha D'Oudairies LAY 4.8 betfair £10 +£9.50
Bank now £978.00
13.50 Newb --- Walkon LAY £5 @ sp betfair (only if lay sp is under 6) didn't get close should have had more confidence in my bet +£4.75
14.25 Newb --- Railway Dillon BACK £5 @ 8.2 Betfair 2nd, had a good race, but probably went off a bit too keenly -£5
14.35 Fake --- Occasionally yours BACK £8 @22.0 Betfair 4th... not the best run, but certainly not the worst -£8
14.55 Ling --- Emerald Girl BACK £15 @2.54 Betfair very bad run, one to avoid untill signs of form again -£15
15.10 Fake --- Rey Nacardo LAY £5 @ 3.7 betfair ran a good race,stumble early on did me a favour, but was lucky wellforth had a cracker +£4.75
15.55 Sand --- Megastar BACK £15 @ sp betfair no good, was outclassed by a handy flat runner, and ended up 3rd I think -£15
15.20 Sand --- Knighon Combe£10 @ bsp did'nt run a bad race, quick pace and perhaps went for home too early -£10
15.20 Sand --- Mr Big £10 @ bsp in front for much of the race, probably went off too quickly -£10
15.35 Newb --- Divine Folly £4 @ 32.0 betfair Didn't really get anywhere near, probably one of the best of the worst horses in the race -£4
16.50 Fake --- Miss Hippy £8 @5.2 betfair 3rd, but a fair way off the leaders -£8
17.00 Sand --- Almaydan £5 @ 14.0 betfai A very good 2nd although well off the leader but good performance of a 28bsp horse -£5
END BANK £907.50
Well today was a day of some relatively decent outside chancers although I was very much let down by what were supposed to be the better horses, perhaps in future I might start looking at the occasional horse on the place market, but we will have to see. Although the end figure is pretty terrible I think I can at least take some heart that some of the higher odds horses are not completely off the mark.
13.50 ascot teddys reflection £2 @15.0 betfair lost- very poor -£2
16.05 ascot di kaprio £3 @34.0 betfair lost 3rd but pervformed better than the 60bsp would have suggested -£3
14.10 haydock rudenphast to be placed £5 @6.0 betfair lost last place- no good -£5
13.20 ASCOT PROBLEMA TIC £30 @3.45 BETFAIR lost, under performed -£30
13.20 ASCOT SYNTHE DAVIS £10 @2.42 TO BE PLACED BETFAIR placed +13.49
End Bank £880.99
13.45 sand ---shalambar £7 @8.2 betfair------------------lost 5th -£7
14.20 sand ---dinarius £10 @betfair sp--------------------lost 2nd- close but no cigar -£10
15.25 sand ---Glorgio Quercus £10 @3.95 betfair--------------won, photo finish and inquiry?, Interferance by normally very reliable Tom Scudamore +£28.03
15.15 warw --Upthemsteps £5 @10.0 betfair-------------won, beat sp by 2.6 as well +£38
15.50 warw --Bench warrent £7 @sp betfair---------------lost 3rd, not far behind the winner -£7
16.25 warw --Tafika £3 @4.1 betfair-----------------------lost, didnt stay but ran a decent race low confidence means only -£3
19.25 wolv ---Snow dancer £4 @sp betfair -----------------didn't really get into it lost -£4
----------------Loyalty £4 @sp betfair ----------------------won, decent run, others didnt quicken later on +£12.92
16.15 ling --- the blue dog £7 @9.2 betfair ------------------did well, was right up there at the finish but only managed 2nd in the end- lost by a neck -£7
---------------the blue dog to be placed £2 @2.52 betfair ---------- placed +£2.89
end bank ==== £924.83
on the whole a decent day with some profit although still down overall. However a lot of my losing selections are not that far off so I can take heart from that, I actually gave my methods a couple of small tweaks which seemed to pay off today, although of course too early to get excited about anything.
kemp 15.35 --- sire de grugy £5 @betfair sp if lower than 4.7 no bet-------- won, but no bet as went off too short, maybe 4.7 was too much to ask for
ling 13.35 -----jezza £4 @betfair sp if lower than 3.5 no bet ---------lost, didnt even get close, very bad temperment, unusual for Jezza -£4
newc 13.40----nevada royale to be placed £4 @betfair sp-----------------lost, had a decent race but didnt stay. -£4
newc 14.45 ---battle group £4 @6.2 betfair-----------------------------won, raced keenly with good ability, just shrugged off yuroc at the end +£19.76
newc 16.25--- whats up woody to be placed £4 (first 2) @sp betfair----- got second, others didnt finish, jumped well good decision only for place +£14.44
newc 15.50 ---paddy partridge £5 @6.2 betfair ---------------------got extremely close, no doubt I found the value but just lost,I would do same again -£5
-----------------flickas witness to be placed (first 3) £6 @betfair sp ---------3rd ran a half decent race well off the leaders so good place decision +£3.42
end bank £949.45
Tow 16.35 preuty boy £2 @betfair sp -----nowhere near, didnt see race but obviously a bad choice -£2
Tow 15.30 sawpit supreme £4 @betfair sp ----- 2nd traded at 1.11 before losing so was close. -£4
Font 14.10 bunglasha lady £3 @betfair sp ---------- won @4.5 by 5 lengths didnt see race as was working +£9.98
Font 14.40 as de fer £5 @3.85 betfair --------- non runner
end bank £953.43
Catt 15.10 Ice image £5 @7.8 betfair ---------- 3rd, not far away, but slowed badly for a jump a few before home---- -£5
plum 15.50 The hardy boy £4 @12.5 betfair -------------- fell -£4
wolv 18.00 Sweet origin £6.50 betfair sp- only if odds over 2.3------ won, but odds under 2.3 so no bet.
end bank £944.43
Bang 14.20 --- Empress Orchid £6 @bsp -------------------------------------2nd, outweighted? -£6
-------------------In the settlement (to be placed(first 2)) £5 @bsp -------- didnt settle in race, pulled up v early -£5
Bang 14.50 --- Inkberrow rose (to be placed(first 2)) £6 @bsp --------------won- 1st place so placed @2.27 +£7.41
Bang 15.50 --- Nortonthorpe Lad £6 @20.0 betfair ----------------------------5th? didnt quite stay, had a good run, went off at 55bsp. -£6
-----------------Devotion to duty £6 @7.2 betfair ----------------------------3rd but almost had it, shame -£6
Bang 16.20 --- Pie at midnight £6 @bsp ----------------------------------------won @3.47 didnt see race +14.25
-----------------Barrie burn £3 (to be placed (first 2)) @bsp ------------------no good 5th? didnt see race -£3
Folk 14.40 --- Victrix Gale £2 @bsp----------------------------------------------- won easily @5.4 +£8.36
Folk 16.10 --- Victory Gunner £5@bsp ------------------------------------------won @3.65 didnt see race +£12.35
----------------Dunkelly castle £3 (to be placed (first 2)) @bsp ----------------5th no good didnt see race -£3
----------------Rudinero £4(to be placed (first 2)) @bsp ----------------4th no good, didnt see race -£4
end bank £953.60
Donc 15.20 Glencree £10 @bsp 3rd, decent run but not good enough
Donc 17.05 Prince des marais £5 @bsp 3rd, 2 lengths off decent run but no cigar.
would like to search out more today but I really havnt got the time.
End bank 938.60
Im in south america at the moment and due to no decent connection no more method bets will be posted till i get back
Ok, Im at a bit of a loose end this afternoon so will do some bets for tomorrow. Might not be able to calculate the win or loss for a while though as I might be offline. I dont have a pound symbol on my keyboard here so i will use a $ instead but it represents pounds and not dollars!
14.40 kelso --- winter alchemy $10 @bsp lost
15.30 ling ---- chestnut ben $10 @bsp lost
16.30 ling ---- duke of ormond $10 bsp lost 3-4 length second grr
14.50 wolv ---- second encore $10 bsp lost 2nd
end bank $898.60
lets try some more for tomorrow..... lots and lots for tomorrow! Hopefully I can sniff out some value.
ALL AT $10 BSP
15.00 exeter------- call to arms --no good 6th
15.35 exeter------- pascha bere no good at all
16.10 exeter ------ days of pleasure---- lost- 3rd but long way off
----------------------Lady de la vega ---- lost- 2nd unlucky
15.15 kemp --------Lion on the prowl ---- 2nd BY A NECK!!!
--------------------silver accord ------lost 4th
--------------------neltara ---------lost 5th
--------------------romulus d artaix ---lost-3rd
16.25 kemp -------betabob no good 6th
-------------------rileyev WON 5.24 bsp
17.00 kemp ------- minder ---lost- only 80 lengths behind winner!
14.20 southwell ----pineapple pete --lost no good
-------------------these dreams ------lost no good
15.30 southwell ---beau fighter ----WON 1.99 bsp
17.40 southwell --- Goal ------- WON 2.58 bsp
So continuing the same trend, many higher priced horses coming very close,hopefully its only a matter of time before I start to strike some decent winners.
Ok another day, some more selections.
16.25 Haydock --- saphire des bois lost 3rd, long way off
------------------invisible man lost 2nd - another second!
------------------tyrone house lost 5th no good
15.40 Hereford ---- A P ling lost 3rd no good
20.20 kemp --------sir boss lost 2nd
15.30 Warwick -----Rudinero DOUBLE STAKE ($20) lost no good
-------------------crack at dawn HALF STAKE ($5) lost no good
16.05 Warwick----- Headhunted HALF STAKE ($5) lost 3rd, should have done better
17.10 Warwick----- Ton Chee 5th? no good
Whitewash today oh dear!
Lets try again, Loads for tomorrow!!!! Its a good job that its not real money
- all stakes 10 pounds bsp unless otherwise stated $=pounds as no pound symbol on this computer
14.20 Carlisle -----Lady Bluesky won @2.42
14.50 Carlisle----- Si Bien lost no good at all
16.00 Carlisle------ Blackpool Billy lost no good
----------------------Ocarina 4th no good
17.10 Carlisle ---- The green hat lost 3rd grrr
14.10 Chepstow --- American lady lost 2nd grrr
15.15 Chep----------Strongbows Legend lost 2nd grrr grrr
16.25 Chep----------Lyster lost 5th no good
16.55 Chep---------Back to bid pulled up
14.40 Kemp---------Malice or Mischief non runner
19.10 Kemp -------- Camera shy lost 5th
19.40 kemp---------Inside knowledge lost 6th
----------------------Delorain lost 5th
20.10 Kemp--------Thunderball won @7.43
----------------------Tislaam lost- last place
20.40 Kemp--------Fine Ruler lost 10th no good
15.00 swell --------Goskar rock (half stake $5) lost 7th
16.45 swell --------Saulty Max lost pulled up
17.20 swell --------Bromhead lost 5th
----------------------Dance sauvage lost pulled up
Things not going too well, its only experimental so onwards we go. No money to lose so im gunna have a play around and see what i can come up with- these method bets have already given me some insight on some issues. b Plenty again for tomorrow!
14.30 ling------sailing north NON RUNNER
---------------lissleton cross lost no good
15.35 ling ----- Hinton admiral won 2.74
16.10 ling-------Arctic lynx lost 3rd
----------------waabel lost no good
----------------fawley green lost no good
14.40 newb -----Emporer concerto lost pulled up
15.15 newb-----full of joy lost pulled up
----------------senor shane lost pulled up
16.25 newb------shalambar lost pulled up
17.00 newb------Ice bucket lost a far back 3rd
14.50 sedge------moon melody lñost no good
15.25 sedge------priceless art lost by a shoulder
16.00 sedge------sitting tenant NON RUNNER
16.35 sedge------nelliedidthat lost 3rd
17.10 sedge------samizdat lost FELL
-----------------groove master lost FELL
17.45 wolv-------laylas dancer lost 3rd
18.50 wold-------neytiri lost 5th
-----------------magical star lost 4th
Well What a shocker, but onwards we go. No time recently but more selection coming soon
Ok here are some more.
17.45 Bushwacker $10 bsp
15.20 Monitor closely
15.55 Piceno
-------Il batista (half stake)
and thats it, not many for tomorrow.
ok, sorry for the lack of updates, I have been too busy with some other projects and the method bets ended up being rather an experimental adventure rather than what my original plan was. I will now close this thread prematurely but I will be trying 2 new £1000 challenges with two different ideas so keep an eye open for it
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