How To Profit On Betfair: Trading On Sunday

With racing now 7 days a week, it can be difficult for a professional trader to have a day off. Well, you would think so anyway, but that is not the case. Although the summer months can be tough, with racing continuing until 9:30pm, their is one day that should never be traded on. That is a Sunday.


Why is this? Well, the main reason is that as many professional traders and gamblers take Sunday off, it means that there is a lot less liquidity in the market than normal. Less liquidity means that the odds are likely to fluctuate more. This is even more extreme for those Betfair traders who bet in-running. With little money in the in-running market, it means that stop loss triggers are often set off, when they wouldn’t be on any other day of the week. As any professional Betfair trader will tell you, the more times a stop loss is triggered, the more likely the day will result in a loss.


Even trading pre-race on a Sunday can be a minefield. With less money around, when someone puts a big bet in the market, the odds can move a good few ticks. Again, this can trigger a stop loss when normally it would not have been. If you are clever, you can take advantage of these market swings, but to be honest, if you profit 5-6 days of the week, then there is no need to find a different technique to profit on a Sunday. Take the day off, or go through the trades of the previous week to see if you can refine them.


How To Profit On Betfair

Option Trading – Essentials

When trading Stocks if you comprehend how to utilize them and understand exactly what you are doing, options trading can increase the revenues you make. Options can be an extremely useful device that the typical investor can make use of to improve their returns. You should think about Option Bot if you are looking for a software application which automates your options trading.

An option’s value fluctuates in direct relationship to the hidden safety. The cost of the option is only a fraction of the cost of the safety and therefore offers high leverage and lower threat – the most an option buyer can lose is the premium, or deposit, they paid on taking part in the agreement.

By purchasing the underlying Stock of Futures agreement itself, a much bigger loss is possible if the cost moves against the purchasers position.

An option is described by its sign, whether it’s a put or a call, an expiration month and a strike cost.

A Call option is a bullish agreement, giving the buyer the right, however not the commitment, to buy the hidden safety at a particular cost on or before a particular date.

A Put option is a bearish agreement, giving the buyer the right, however not the commitment, to sell the hidden safety at a particular cost on or before a particular date.

The expiration month is the month the option agreement expires.

The strike cost is the cost that the buyer can either buy call) or sell (put) the underlying safety by the expiration date.

The premium is the cost that is paid for the option.

The intrinsic value is the difference between the present cost of the hidden safety and the strike cost of the option.

The time value is the difference between present premium of the option and the intrinsic value. The time value is likewise affected by the volatility of the hidden safety.

Approximately 90 % of all out of the cash options expire worthless and their time value gradually declines until their expiration date.

This clue offers traders an extremely good pointer as to which side of an options agreement they must be on … expert options traders who make consistent revenues normally sell much more options than they buy.

The option agreements that they do buy are normally only to hedge their physical Stock Portfolios – that this is an effective difference between the punters and small traders who regularly buy low priced, from the cash and near to expiry calls and puts, hoping for a big benefit (unlikely) and the men who actually make the cash from the options market every month, by regularly offering these options to them – please think of this as you check out the rest of this post.

The seller of the option agreement is bound to please the agreement if the buyer chooses to work out the option.

For that reason, if he has actually offered Covered Call options over his Shares, and the Stock cost is above the option strike cost at expiration, the option is stated to be in-the-money, and the seller needs to sell his shares to the option buyer at the strike cost if he is exercised.

Sometimes an in-the-money option will not be exercised, however it is really uncommon. If exercised, the option seller (or writer) has actually to be prepared to sell the Stock at the strike cost.

He can constantly buy back the option prior to expiry if he opts to and write one at a greater strike cost if the Stock cost has actually rallied, however this lead to a capital loss as he will normally need to pay even more to buy the option back than the premium he received when he initially offered it.

Many option authors merely get exercised from the Stock then immediately re-buy even more of the exact same or an additional Stock and merely write even more call options against them.

The buyer of an option has no obligations at all – he either sells his option later at a profit or a loss, or exercises it if the Stock cost is in-the-money at expiration and he can make a profit.

The large bulk of options are held until expiration and merely decay in cost until there is no point in the unlucky buyer offering them. Very few options are in fact exercised by the buyer. The large bulk expire worthless.

Having stated all this, lets appearance at an example of ways to make use of options to acquire leverage to a Stock cost movement when the trend does go in our favor …

For this example we will make use of MSFT as the hidden safety. Let’s presume MSFT is trading for $24.50 a share and it is early January. We are bullish on this Stock and based upon our technical analysis we think that it will visit $27.50 within two months.

In this example, we will ignore Brokerage expenses, however they do have an effect on the percentage returns. The rates and cost moves of the Stock and the options are hypothetical – they are planned as a guide only.

Purchasing 1000 physical shares will cost $24,500 and if we sell our position at $27.50 a share, we will make a profit of $3,000 or a 12 % return on our capital. If we take this position for a potential of 12 % or $3,000 revenue, we will have $24,500 at threat.

Rather of utilizing money to buy the physical Stock, we can buy 10 call options with an expiration that is at least 3 months into a strike and the future cost that is close to present cost of the hidden safety.

10 agreements stands for 1000 shares of the stock, a call option is bullish, 3 months until expiration offers us some time for a quick step, and purchasing an option with a strike cost that is close to the present cost of MSFT permits us to obtain the full capacity of the intrinsic value. For even more options trading details check the site

How To Make Profits on the Exchange?

All punters would like to make a profit from gambling, and with the betting exchanges now a part of the normal betting world it is essential to have an account with at least one of them.

A simple way of showing the profit potential of an exchange is to compare a horse racing system that breaks even or shows a small loss using bookmaker SP, but using BSP (Betfair Starting Price) it shows a profit. You can clearly see this in the example below from real results during 2011.





P/L Exc












You can see this system would show a profit of £39.25 in 2011 (5% deductions included), while using a normal bookmaker you would have shown a loss of £14.72, ouch!!  The difference is a whopping £55, and this is just to £1 stakes. This is why using Betfair is a MUST.




One thing that using an exchange means is that some systems that worked way back in the 90′s but stopped due to overuse may now again be profitable, so it may be worth searching the internet for old free systems and checking them on the likes of Raceform, Proform or Horseracebase to see if they are now profitable. Some stats sites don’t have BSP so just add 10% to SP as you should average 8%-12% better than SP on an exchange.

If you are already using a profitable system backing at SP then you are losing profits by not backing the horses on the betting exchanges.

Another way of profiting on the exchanges is to LAY horses, that is backing the horse not to win. It’s easy to find a losing horse but it is actually more difficult to profit from laying than it is compared to win betting. This is because the lay bet has to include the overbet, that’s the 8%-12% bonus win backers get.

One line of ‘gambling’ the betting exchanged opened up is trading. This basically means buying and selling the actual Betfair prices to lock in a profit. This is usually done before the race is off, so you may back a horse at 4.0 in the belief the price will drop, and then lay at 3.8 for the same stake which producse a profit on that horse. You can then do what we call ‘greening up’ which splits that profit between all runners so no matter what wins you profit. Simple and easy money? Not quite, many people fail by not bailing out when the price movement goes against you, it is controlling the bailout that usually determines whether you make long term profits or not.

One good thing with trading is that you can use high stakes with little risk. A £100 stakes may only risk less than 5% of it at anyone time, especially if you are only dealing with 1 or 2 ticks.

One further form of profiting on an exchange is to use Back to Lay (Lay to Back is best ignored when starting out). You find a horse that always runs well in a race and expect the price to drop in-running, so you back the horse before the race and lay it in-running, greening up to lock in a profit on all runners. However this is more risky, if the horse falls before you bail out then you lose 100% of the stake, but you do make more profit than just trading the odd tick before the race.

So as you can see, having an exchange account is essential, not only for better odds but also to give you many more options on the types of bets you can do.