Going to give this a try, it is going to be 2 different challenges in the one thread, £1000 starting in each:
First is the, Off to a Flyer(OFT) selections, This will be a bet on the first Fav at each meeting daily.
The other is the Get Out of Jail(GOJ) selections, which will be a bet on the last Fav at each meeting.
Selections are for unamed favs. Daily stakes will be 5% of total bank, divided by the number of selections. Irish Racing is included.
From (10/02/07) stakes will be 3% of the Bank per selection.
The aim is obviously to reach 5000 mythical pound, but also i want to see how this works out over a good bit of time.
I have been paper-trading January so far:
66 races(abandoned meetings included with return being entered as 0):
OTF - 27 wins 6 NR (45% SR 27/60) +37.70pts
GOJ - 27 wins 6 NR (45% SR 27/60) +71.25 pts
I have gone back to September and trialed it up to the end of December, starting with 1000 each month. The data was promising (well for the OTF selections):
December (140 races)
OTF - 50 wins 5 NR (37% SR 50/135) -77.53pts
GOJ - 40 wins 9 NR (31% SR 40/131) -209.21pts
November (136 races)
OTF - 62 wins 1 NR (46% SR 62/135) +83.59
GOJ - 52 wins 2 NR (39% SR 52/134) -1.66
October (128 races)
OTF - 47 wins 2 NR (37% SR 47/126) +169.26
GOJ - 38 wins 3 NR (30% SR 38/125) -134.55
September (127 races)
OTF - 47 wins 0 NR (37% SR 47/127 ) +42.55
GOJ - 44 wins 2 NR (35% SR 44/125 ) +123.6
Total P/L for (Sep '06 - Dec '06)
OTF - +217.87
GOJ - -221.82
If there are any comments/suggestions to improve this feel free to post :wink .
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