can i do it ?????

[gingertipster]

:splapme We don't know what a horses true chances are. We can only guess.

Of course we do not know the true value WB thats why I said "in theory" But instead of guessing read the form book and make an informed opinion. Just like the Bookies odds compilers do.

If it can not be done then bookies would price up a race with all the horses the same price.

Are you really saying Wb that the stake should be the same on an 11/10 shot as it is for one at 20/1?

Ginge

[Vic]

That depends on how you bet Ginge - if you bet to win the same amount on each horse then of course you change your stake, but many folks on here follow a rising stake based on profitabilty plan - and yes, if their stake on a given day is £5, then it's £5 no matter waht the odds are - in fact all you need worry about is getting the best odds you can.

Of course the 11/10 will have a greater chance of winning than a 20/1 shot, in theory 47.6% vs 4.76% - but is the difference really that great, and say you can get 40/1 on the exchanges about the 20/1 shot.

There is no "right" way of doing it, just different ways of doing it - the true right way to do it is to be consistent in the approach and to get the best price you can:)

[buddhabee]

Horses have no concept of money. They have no concept of price. They have no concept of favourite. All they know is that they have someone on their back and a load of other horses around them and they are being made to run. It's other 'horse' factors that affect how they perform.

Their 'price' is a human concept and is a reference to the amount of money being put on that horse in the hope that it will win. And there are many 'human' factors that affect that.

[gazzbizz]

about all this fancy theorising whats happened to the tips?


Gazz:)

[gingertipster]

Yes Gazz.
Hope Paul and his family are O.K.

Maybe he went to Royal Ascot?

Ginge

[paul183195]

nice to see you guys have been keepin me thread active.:wink

due to very limited time on the forum i am going to suspend this thread for the time being . i will try to get it up and running as soon as humanly possible.sorry to anyone who is backing these but hopefully i will be back soon

[godolphin]

Paul,
Could Street cry or someone else post the selections on your behalf?

[Mavrick]

I am ashamed to say this is the first time that I've seen this thread. Has Paul knocked this on the head as I see he is still posting elsewhere on the forum or has someone bought his system out and sworn him to secrecy? :)