Can you pick 10 correct?

[monty]

Ok guys… I’ve been thinking about a winning bet from last weekend. Some of you might have read about it. The bet I’m talking about was posted on another forum, when guy called Trogdor successfully picked all 10 selections correct and he won over $23,000.
I’ve managed to pick 9 out of 10 correct twice before, but I’ve never managed to hit all ten...
This will be a fun bet, so I’ll only be putting on my minimum stake on my 10 just incase I managed to get them all.
What I would like you all to do? is pick your best 10 teams from the weekend’s fixtures. Your selections can be from any football league you want?
Now remember, you don’t have even place a bet on your teams, as I just want to see what the average amount of results that people will get right from their 10 selections.

So I would be grateful if you all posted up your 10 picks. I think you will all be surprised how low it will turn out. I’ll have a guess and say most people will get around 5 correct from 10

Don’t be chicken have go…:D

Monty’s 10

Werder Bremen v’s Eintracht Frankfurt … (Saturday)
Liverpool v’s Derby-C … (Saturday)
Arsenal v’s Portsmouth … (Sunday)
Nancy v’s St Etienne … (Saturday)
Ranger’s v’s Gretna … (Saturday)
Dundee Utd v’s Falkirk… (Saturday)
Morton v’s Queen of the South … (Saturday)
Ayr Utd v's Alloa Ath … (Saturday)
Roma v’s Siena … (Sunday)
Valenciennes v’s Metz … (Saturday)

[MattR]

Ok, I'll have a go.....

Az Alkmaar v Excelsior (Friday)
Liverpool v Derby (Saturday
APOEL v Doxa (Saturday)
Zilinia v Senec (Saturday)
Rangers v Gretna (Saturday)
Feyenoord v Willem (Saturday)
Basel v Thun (Sunday)
Ajax v Groningen (Sunday)
Brann v Sandefjord (Sunday)
Man Utd v Sunderland (Sunday)


As you say there's always 1 or 2 will let you down.

[monty]

Ok, I'll have a go.....

Az Alkmaar v Excelsior (Friday)
Liverpool v Derby (Saturday
APOEL v Doxa (Saturday)
Zilinia v Senec (Saturday)
Rangers v Gretna (Saturday)
Feyenoord v Willem (Saturday)
Basel v Thun (Sunday)
Ajax v Groningen (Sunday)
Brann v Sandefjord (Sunday)
Man Utd v Sunderland (Sunday)


As you say there's always 1 or 2 will let you down.

Thanks Mate,...

Hopefully a few more people will have a go at this, after all it's just a bit of fun to prove how hard it is to do.

[MattR]

Ok, I'll have a go.....

Az Alkmaar v Excelsior (Friday) WON 3-0
Liverpool v Derby (Saturday WON 6-0
Zilinia v Senec (Saturday) WON 2-0
Rangers v Gretna (Saturday) WON 4-0
Feyenoord v Willem (Saturday) WON 2-0
Man Utd v Sunderland (Satruday) WON 1-0
Basel v Thun (Sunday)
Ajax v Groningen (Sunday)
Brann v Sandefjord (Sunday)
APOEL v Doxa (Sunday)

As you say there's always 1 or 2 will let you down.

6 down, 4 to go! No goals conceded yet Someone will blow it though

[MattR]

Az Alkmaar v Excelsior (Friday) WON 3-0
Liverpool v Derby (Saturday WON 6-0
Zilinia v Senec (Saturday) WON 2-0
Rangers v Gretna (Saturday) WON 4-0
Feyenoord v Willem (Saturday) WON 2-0
Man Utd v Sunderland (Satruday) WON 1-0
Basel v Thun (Sunday) WON 2-1
Ajax v Groningen (Sunday) DREW 2-2
Brann v Sandefjord (Sunday) WON 1-0
APOEL v Doxa (Sunday) WON 3-2


9/10 There's always one!

[mathare]

Y'know the biggest problem with bets like this (in my opinion) - people always underestimate the potential for a draw.

You've both gone for 10 winners and I'm gonna stick my neck out here and say that of those 20 games there will be 3 draws in there

[monty]

Y'know the biggest problem with bets like this (in my opinion) - people always underestimate the potential for a draw.

You've both gone for 10 winners and I'm gonna stick my neck out here and say that of those 20 games there will be 3 draws in there

Your 100% right mate,

The reason I picked 10 home wins is I've always read that over a season home wins will account for around 50% of the games played, and the other 50% is shared between Aways and Draws, so going by thise figures there could be up to 5 matches drawn from the 20 matches picked already.

Mathare....I'll look forward to seeing your 10....:D

[vegyjones]

Vegy's 10

Fulham V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR DRAW
LIVERPOOL V Derby County WON :D
MANCHESTER UNITED V Sunderland WON :D
COVENTRY CITY V Preston North End WON :D
Bristol Rovers V NOTTINGHAM FOREST DRAW :(
Ebbsfleet United v STEVENAGE BOROUGH WON :D
TORQUAY UNITED V Stafford Rangers WON :D
HIBERNIAN V Inverness Caledonian Thistle WON :D
GLASGOW RANGERS V Gretna WON :D
ARBROATH V Elgin WON :D

[monty]

Vegy's 10

Fulham V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR
LIVERPOOL V Derby County
MANCHESTER UNITED V Sunderland
COVENTRY CITY V Preston North End
Bristol Rovers V NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ebbsfleet United v STEVENAGE BOROUGH
TORQUAY UNITED V Stafford Rangers
HIBERNIAN V Inverness Caledonian Thistle
GLASGOW RANGERS V Gretna
ARBROATH V Elgin

Thank's Mate...

[vegyjones]

Vegy's 10

Fulham V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR DRAW
LIVERPOOL V Derby County WON :D
MANCHESTER UNITED V Sunderland WON :D
COVENTRY CITY V Preston North End WON :D
Bristol Rovers V NOTTINGHAM FOREST DRAW :(
Ebbsfleet United v STEVENAGE BOROUGH WON :D
TORQUAY UNITED V Stafford Rangers WON :D
HIBERNIAN V Inverness Caledonian Thistle WON :D
GLASGOW RANGERS V Gretna WON :D
ARBROATH V Elgin WON :D

8 / 10 :( One a last minute equaliser!

Can anyone top that?

[Merlin]

St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford

All Home wins….

[monty]

St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford
St Patricks V Waterford

All Home wins….

Hi M

I had thought you would have picked your teams from the Brazilian Divison 4 League?

[eastyorkshireracing]

.....I had thought you would have picked your teams from the Brazilian Divison 4 League?

Merlin knows about Brazilians?



Gordon

[Merlin]

Hi M

I had thought you would have picked your teams from the Brazilian Divison 4 League?

I will have a go...

[vegyjones]

I don't think it is generally underestimating the draw potential.

Normally people choose games in an acca where they think a team will dominate and the margin will be 2 goals plus.

A draw inclines you think the match will be close and your preferred result is not guaranteed until the whole of the 90+ minutes are up. Whereas the thinking behind mine is most of the games wil be over by HT and I can sit back and relax!

[MattR]

You're right Mat, that's why an acca is so hard to get up. Look at Man utd v Sunderland last time they were up. Who'd have picked 0-0 for that?

[mathare]

You're right Mat, that's why an acca is so hard to get up. Look at Man utd v Sunderland last time they were up. Who'd have picked 0-0 for that?

Exactly.

This is what I meant maybe more than underestimating the draw potential. The more bets in the acca the greater the likelihood that one of the games won't go the way you expect. And as most people put perceived bankers in accas of this size it's more likely to be a draw that brings the bet crashing down rather than a win for the other team.

Trebles used to be my limit on the football. Now I stick to singles, and only rarely do those.

But out of interest, do we have to use win/draw/win markets here or can I get adventurous?

[buddhabee]

But out of interest, do we have to use win/draw/win markets here or can I get adventurous?

What? Like Postponed and Match Abandoned ?

Now that would be worthy of 23K :D

[monty]

But out of interest, do we have to use win/draw/win markets here or can I get adventurous?

Just to keep it easy I would prefer if everyone used the win/draw/win markets, but if you want to get adventurous you can use any market you want, after all its just a fun thing...:D

[Mug OUFC]

i am still in shock, and slightly suspicious, that trogdor puts that sort of stake on a 10 fold acca to be honest

Liverpool
Man Utd
Arsenal
Oxford Utd
Torquay
Rangers
Roma
Lyon
Barcelona
AC Milan

[eastyorkshireracing]

Hi All,

OK lets have a go. Ten selections one bet easy hehe

All Games to be played Saturday 1 September.....

(Prices based on William Hill odds)

Fulham v Tottenham (Away win) @ 6/5
Liverpool v Derby (Home win) @ 1/5
Man Utd v Sunderland (Home win) @ 1/5
Colchester v Burnley (Home win) @ Evens
Scunthorpe v Sheff Utd (Home win) @ 19/10
Coventry v Preston NE (Home win) @ 8/11
Gillingham v Walsall (Away win) @ 2/1
Leyton Orient v Northampton (Home win) @ 8/11
Yeovil v Tranmere (Home win) @ 11/10
Macclesfield v Darlington (Away win) @ 5/4

If it was to be correct the return for a £1 Acca would be.....

£ 777

Who knows.....

Gordon

[Skittle]

Will study more later, but to begin with;

Bet 1, AZ @ 1.17.

[monty]

Will study more later

That's what Merlin must be doing, he been studying his picks for the last 4 hours...


Cum'on Merlin where's your 10?...:D

[Merlin]

That's what Merlin must be doing, he been studying his picks for the last 4 hours...


Cum'on Merlin where's your 10?...:D

SORRY...BEEN CELEBRATING................

[Healio]

Bolton v Everton - Draw @ 11/5
Fulham v Tottenham - Away @ 5/4
Liverpool v Derby - Home @ 1/6
Middlesbrough v Birmingham - Draw 9/4
Newcastle v Wigan Athletic - Home @ 8/11
Reading v West Ham - Away @ 21/10
Man Utd v Sunderland - Home @ 1/5
Arsenal v Portsmouth - Home @ 4/9
Blackburn v Man City - Draw @ 11/5
Aston Villa v Chelsea - Away 4/7

1273/1.

Just to make this more interesting, the first person/poster to get ten up in one bet, I will credit one of their betting accounts 50 euro/Sterling Equivalent or send them some sort of voucher/cash!!

[monty]

Just to make this more interesting, the first person/poster to get ten up in one bet, I will credit one of their betting accounts 50 euro/Sterling Equivalent or send them some sort of voucher/cash!!

Cheers Mate....

[Skittle]

Will study more later, but to begin with;

Bet 1, AZ @ 1.17.

2, Manure @ 1.22.
3, Liverpool @ 1.18.
4, Rangers @ 1.14

........more later.:D

[mathare]

Little thought has gone into this but I may as well have a crack:

Liverpool v Derby over 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (BlueSq)
Liverpool v Derby @ 1/5 (general)
Colchester v Burnley @ 5/4 (Boyle Sports)
Coventry v Preston @ 5/6 (Paddy Power)
Leyton Orient v Northampton @ 10/11 (Bet365)
Carlisle v Cheltenham @ 3/4 (Expekt)
Rangers v Gretna @ 1/6 (Coral)
St Mirren v Celtic @ 2/5 (Expekt)
East Fife v Forfar @ 1/2 (William Hill)
Arbroath v Elgin @ 4/9 (general)

[mathare]

Liverpool v Derby over 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (BlueSq)
Liverpool v Derby @ 1/5 (general)
Colchester v Burnley @ 5/4 (Boyle Sports)
Coventry v Preston @ 5/6 (Paddy Power)
Leyton Orient v Northampton @ 10/11 (Bet365)
Carlisle v Cheltenham @ 3/4 (Expekt)
Rangers v Gretna @ 1/6 (Coral)
St Mirren v Celtic @ 2/5 (Expekt)
East Fife v Forfar @ 1/2 (William Hill)
Arbroath v Elgin @ 4/9 (general)

Not too bad I guess...

[presto]

arsenal, roma and celtic winning but ajax are 2-1 down after 60 mins