mathare's Football Bets

[counterfeit]

There's a lot of money to be made from footy bets but I would have no idea how to approach it professionally. You seem to be doing quite well.

I met someone at poker last week who makes a living out of Asian Handicapping (it's all foreign to me - :)).

Perhaps I should follow this more closely in readiness for next season to see if I can start making money from it.

[mathare]

19/04/08 to 20/04/08

Premiership
Blackburn v Man Utd
Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11 (Stan James) W (1-1) +0.91pts

Newcastle v Sunderland
0.5pt Sunderland 1st team booking @ 7/10 (Bet365) W (Whitehead, 27th min) +0.35pts

0.5pt Sunderland most bookings @ 10/11 (Blue Square) W (0-5) +0.45pts

Man City v Portsmouth
Portsmouth 1st team booking @ 21/20 (Blue Square) W (Hreidarsson, 41st min) +1.05pts

[mathare]

A clean sweep this weekend :D

I went half stakes on the Tyne and Wear derby because it was a derby match and close to the end of the season so I had my doubts about the stats holding up but they did admirably. So four out of four and another 2.76pts to the total profit :)

Totals
59/99 = 59.60%
+20.30pts

[mathare]

26/04/08 to 27/04/08

Premiership
Chelsea v Man Utd
Under 5.5 cards @ 4/5 (Bet365) L (7 cards) -1pt
I considered the spread markets here but the equivalent odds are worse on the the spreads than the fixed odds markets for this particular bet.

Wigan v Reading
Wigan @ 11/10 (Stan James) L (0-0) -1pt

Portsmouth v Blackburn
Draw @ 23/10 (Bet365) L (0-1) -1pt

Everton v Aston Villa
Under 30.5 booking points @ evens (Paddy Power) L (60 booking points) -1pt

[mathare]

A stinking weekend last weekend with all four bets going the wrong way, some thanks to events late in the game too when the refs went a bit mental. Ah well, such is life I guess.

Totals
59/103 = 57.29%
+16.30pts

[mathare]

03/05/08 to 04/05/08

Premiership
Man Utd v West Ham
Man Utd (-4) corner h'cap @ 10/11 (Stan James) L (4-2) -1pt
0.14pt saver on draw (+/-4) corner h'cap @ 7/1 (SkyBet) L (4-2) -0.14pt

Aston Villa v Wigan
0.5pts J Carew first goalscorer @ 9/2 (Stan James) L -0.5pts
0.5pts G Agbonlahor first goalscorer @ 5/1 (Paddy Power) L -0.5pts

Reading v Tottenham
Exactly 2-3 goals @ evens (Paddy Power) L (0-1) -1pt
0.5pts D Berbatov anytime goalscorer @ 2/1 (Coral) L -0.5pts

Arsenal v Everton
Under 2.5 goals @ 4/5 (Paddy Power) W (1-0) +0.8pts

Liverpool v Man City
Liverpool (-2) corner h'cap @ 10/11 (Paddy Power) W (12-5) +0.91pts

[mathare]

Another poor weekend last weekend with only two winners from eight bets. Is this because it's the end of the season and some teams have nothing to play for? Or was it sheer bad luck plain and simple? A loss of just under 2pts whatever the cause.

Totals
61/111 = 54.95%
Profit = +14.37pts

[mathare]

One last throw of the dice...

11/05/08

Premiership
Chelsea v Bolton
Chelsea (-4) corner h'cap @ 10/11 (Skybet) W (9-1) +0.91pts
0.14pts draw (+/-4) corner h'cap @ 7/1 (Skybet) L (9-1) -0.14pts

Liverpool v Tottenham
Draw @ 12/5 (Bet365) L (0-2) -1pt

Portsmouth v Fulham
Under 2.5 goals @ 5/6 (Bluesquare) W (0-1) +0.83pts

I'll also be having 1pt at evens with Bet365 on Fulham to NOT be relegated. They are outside the drop zone going in to the final set of matches and I expect them to stay there. W +1pt

[mathare]

That's a little better. No need for the saver on the corner handicap after all as Chelsea comfortably came ahead on the corner count. Liverpool ran out winners in a truly nothing match between two draw specialists but Fulham did the business against a weakened Pompey side ahead of their FA Cup final appearance next weekend. Three out of five this weekend and a profit of 0.60pts

Totals
64/116 = 55.17%
+14.97pts

I'd have settled for figures like that if someone had offered them to me when I started this thread so I am pleased with my performance this season and am looking forward to a bigger and better season starting in August :)

[mathare]

Just been balancing my books and have realised a bet I had marked down as a loser is actually void. Berbatov anytime goalscorer from a couple of weeks back. So my figures are actually:

64/115 = 55.65%
+15.47pts

[MattR]

Well done with this Mat, never easy with football.