Betting Tip 20 – Don’t Follow the Crowd


Profit/Loss figures in papers like the Racing Post, do not take into account whether or not there was a 331/ winner, which easily distorts the true picture, so beware. A comparison of strike-rate to profit, can give you a general idea, but it still doesn’t give you the complete picture.

Trainer trends, especially at certain tracks are usually worth following, however, the winners to runners ratio is seldom worth the majority even bothering with because of the work involved, for little return at the end of the year. One other problem with doing this, is that the bookies usually know about it as well these days, and so compensate for it in the price.

When looking for an edge, first of all run your idea through a few old copies of the RP. One important point to remember is that if the selections you are coming up with are heavily tipped in the papers, or worse napped, then you do not have an edge, and the bookies will have these covered with lower prices, as they know they’ll be backed whatever the price.

Backing against the crowd is something your intelligence tells you not to do, but the biggest tip I can give you in your quest for profits, is to make your selections before even looking at the prices, ratings, or tipsters, as this will severely influence your end decision.

When I’m selecting horse for Pro-Bets, they are picked due to the way the horse has either impressed me on its last run, or it looks to be clear of the field on form. Only once I am 100% certain I will be backing the horse, will I be interested in the prices a few minutes before the off. I then adjust my stake as per the price (see Secure Profit Maker on the Staking page), but it doesn’t influence whether I back it or not.

That means if it 1/5 I will back it to win, if it shows up as 33/1, I will back it to win, as my decision was made on the horses themselves, and not any outside influences.

It may prove difficult for you to read form without looking at the forecast prices, tipsters, etc., but if you do, you will find yourself backing better priced winners. And don’t bottle it by going EW.

If you must cover your bets for safety. Only go for those 11/1+, and place 80% to win, and the remaining 20% on the Tote Place pool. This is because the place portion at 11/1+ on the Tote out pays the bookies fractions on the majority of cases. Some times by a wide margin.

Professional Gambling Betting Secrets


Many people who want to make money from betting on horse racing, may already be capable of it with out knowing, others may just need a little fine tuning to make it possible.

As many of you already know, I generally supply between a 25-65% strike-rate on most of my horse racing systems and method bets.

First of all I would like to stress the need for a betting bank and a staking plan.

If you place level stakes on your horses from the day you get paid, to the day your money runs out without a betting bank, and a proper staking plan in place, then you are probably increasing the bookies holiday fund!!

Having a betting bank and staking system does one of a number of things;

It ensures you always have money to bet with, so you don’t miss out on that 33/1 winner because your broke, when the day before you had £20 on a 1/3 loser!!

It ensures you make the most of higher priced winners, but do not have a fortune on them, as they win less often, hence the higher odds.

You always know how much the total loss is over a long-term if everything goes pear-shaped.

It help you realise were you are going wrong with your selections, if the bank decreases over the long-term.

If it is profitable, your stakes increase with the betting bank, and eventually allows you to deduct an income off it, when the betting bank is large enough. Remember, a withdrawal from your betting bank, is equivalent to a few losers, so you must ensure you only take out what you know you will recover.

Now for the point of when to increase or decrease stakes.

Two option are available for this:

ONE
If your initial betting bank of £100 reaches £200+ then, and only then do you increase stakes by the amount you set at the start, probably 3%. After that, repeat the same rule as above, every time your betting bank DOUBLES.

The opposite applies when you betting bank halves in value, this ensures a losing run is handled, and you should never lose your initial bank.

TWO
You increase by 3% (or less) after each bet. Sometimes due to work, this may not be possible so adjusting at the end of each day is fine, just say consistent.

These two way of managing a staking plan ensure you are never betting out of your limits, and also helps you to get used to using bigger stakes.

You continue with the above until the day you pass on to the Nether World!! You obviously have to put a cap on what your MAXIMUM BETTING will be if you are ever lucky enough to reach it, otherwise stakes will get out of hand.

Also when you put a cap on the betting bank, anything over that at the end of each month is yours to spend freely.

WITHDRAWALS – BETTING INCOME

You should not really withdraw from you betting bank until you have at least a few grand, and never take more than the equivalent of 20% per year, preferably less. Remember, the less you take out at the beginning, the quicker your bank will grow, the sooner you can make a reasonable withdrawal.

With this kind of staking plan their are few worries during a losing run. You should always have the money to bet with.

If you ever get the urge for a fun/multiple/stupid bet!!! Pay for it out of your own pocket, not the betting bank, and put a minimum stake on it. Try not to do this though, although even I do it occasionally, I’m human, not perfect!! I would advise that if you must do fun bets, then run a seperate betting bank for them, this will help educate you.

I wish you luck, and hope this site helps you on your way to greater returns than you have had in the past. Please post any questions on the Forum. That way we can all help each other.

You’ll find much more information including staking plans, system, etc, by joining the Win2Win Membership.





Betting bank | Staking plan | Horse racing systems | Forum

Betting Tip 15 – Backing Odds On Horses


ODDS-ON HORSES – There are a number of punters that consider odd-on betting a no-no, as they seem to believe this is not value! This is due to them looking for that big priced winner, even at the price of ignoring a winner. You will find that the majority of these people will struggle to break even, let alone make a profit.

Bookmakers are betting odds-on in 99.9% of cases on each runner, and yet they make a profit. They also have the disadvantage of having to bet every horse. You have a choice, and with enough knowledge & experience you will learn which one’s to ignore.

With tax free betting, odd-on runners can now be used by anyone to turn a profit.

Anyone who says that horse Y will win, but at 2/5, is not value , so they back X horse in the race instead, have lost there marbles, and are the bookies pal.

The art is selecting which one’s you should back, and that my friend is your homework.